Celtic vs Celta Vigo
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtic
Celta Vigo
|
Probability %
1
x
2
35%
27%
37%
|
Pred
X
|
Avg. Goal
2.88
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtic
Celta Vigo
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
45%
55%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.88
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtic
Celta Vigo
|
HТ/FT Probability %
22%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtic
Celta Vigo
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
62%
38%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.88
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtic
Celta Vigo
|
Probability %
51%
|
Pred
Away +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.88
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
Double chance : Celtic or draw
Form and context
Both sides arrive at Celtic Park with no points from their opening two Europa League games. Celtic lost to Ferencvaros and Benfica, while Celta Vigo went down to Omonia Nicosia and Juventus. Celtic sit four points clear at the top of the Scottish Premiership after a 7-1 win over Hearts, and Celta are eighth in La Liga following a 2-1 victory over Alaves.
Team news
- Celtic: Cameron Carter-Vickers and Yang will miss out, with Carter-Vickers targeting the weekend trip to Hibs. Callum Osmand was withdrawn at half-time against Hearts with a hamstring issue but should be available. Alistair Johnston is a doubt, and Jota is not in the Europa League squad.
- Celta Vigo: Borja Iglesias is ruled out for six weeks with a calf injury. Carl Starfelt will miss a return to Parkhead through injury.
What the numbers say
- Celtic's last five in all competitions: 7-1 win over Hearts, 4-1 loss at Benfica, 2-0 win at Motherwell, 0-1 loss to Rangers, 1-3 loss to Ferencvaros.
- Celta's last five in all competitions: 2-1 win over Alaves, 1-2 loss to Juventus, 0-0 at Elche, 5-0 win over Racing Santander, 0-1 loss at Omonia Nicosia.
- Celtic have lost four of their last six in all competitions, and have conceded two or more in six of their last seven home league phase games.
- Celta have conceded just five goals in their last eight matches.
Our view
Celtic's domestic form is strong but their European results have been poor, and the absence of Carter-Vickers leaves the defence short. Celta have been solid defensively and are unbeaten in six La Liga games, though they have yet to score a point in this competition. Ferran Jutgla has called it a very important match for the visitors.
Most likely outcome: home win - Celtic's home advantage and attacking form outweigh Celta's defensive record.
WHO WILL WIN?
0%
0%
0%
Total votes: 0
WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?
0%
0%
Total votes: 0
WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?
0%
0%
Total votes: 0
STADIUM
Celtic Park
LOCATION
Glasgow
- Celtic host Celta Vigo in the UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 league phase.
- No previous head-to-head meetings between the two clubs.
- Celtic's recent form is mixed: three wins followed by two heavy defeats (7-1 and 4-1).
- Celta Vigo have won just one of their last five matches, with one draw and three losses.
- Celtic average 2.09 goals per game compared to Celta Vigo's 1.13.
- Celtic dominate possession on average (67.18%) versus Celta's 51.57%.
- Celtic also lead in shots per game, averaging 17.72 to Celta's 11.11.
- Prediction model favors a Celtic win or draw, each at 45%, with an away win at just 10%.
- Attack comparison leans toward Celtic (67% vs 33%), while Celta rates stronger defensively (70% vs 30%).
- The Poisson distribution model gives Celtic a 100% edge over Celta's 0%.
- Recommended bet: Double Chance Home/Draw at odds of 1.54 with 1xBet.
- Overall prediction split is nearly even: 48.5% Celtic versus 51.5% Celta Vigo.
Last matches for CEL
Premiership 2026-2027
Celtic
7
Heart Of Midlothian
1
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
Celtic
1
Benfica
4
Premiership 2026-2027
Celtic
2
Motherwell
0
Premiership 2026-2027
Celtic
0
Rangers
1
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
Celtic
1
Ferencvarosi TC
3
Premiership 2026-2027
Celtic
1
ST Johnstone
0
Premiership 2026-2027
Celtic
2
ST Mirren
1
Premiership 2026-2027
Celtic
3
Aberdeen
0
Premiership 2026-2027
Celtic
2
Falkirk
1
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Qualifying
Celtic
1
Lask Linz
5
Last matches for CEL
La Liga 2026-2027
Celta Vigo
2
Alaves
1
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
Celta Vigo
1
Juventus
2
La Liga 2026-2027
Celta Vigo
0
Elche
0
La Liga 2026-2027
Celta Vigo
5
Racing Santander
0
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
Celta Vigo
0
Omonia Nicosia
1
La Liga 2026-2027
Celta Vigo
1
Malaga
1
La Liga 2026-2027
Celta Vigo
1
Getafe
1
La Liga 2026-2027
Celta Vigo
0
Real Sociedad
0
La Liga 2026-2027
Celta Vigo
0
Athletic Club
2
La Liga 2026-2027
Celta Vigo
0
Valencia
0
