Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest

Chelsea
l l l l l
1 - 3
1.93
xG
2.07
Full Time
Nottingham Forest
d w d w w
João Pedro
90'+3'
T. Awoniyi
2'
Igor Jesus
15'
T. Awoniyi
52'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Nottingham Forest

Chelsea and Nottingham Forest are meeting at Stamford Bridge for this Premier League match. Looking at recent form, Chelsea have been inconsistent, with two wins and two losses in their last five games, while Nottingham Forest have been stronger, with two wins, two draws, and just one loss in the same period. In their previous meetings, these teams have often produced goals, with four of the last seven matches seeing at least three goals scored between them, including Chelsea winning 3-0 and 3-2 in recent encounters.

This match looks quite open and close to call. Chelsea have the home advantage, but Nottingham Forest are in better shape right now and have shown they can compete with Chelsea in recent head-to-head games. Given the tightness of the statistics and both teams' recent results, this feels like a match that could go either way, with a draw being a very possible outcome.

Last Updated: 02 May 2026 06:00 AM
starting lineups
 
Robert Sánchez
 
Marc Cucurella
 
Tosin Adarabioyo
 
T. Chalobah
5.9
 
M. Gusto
7
 
M. Caicedo
 
R. Lavia
 
J. Derry
 
E. Fernández
 
C. Palmer
7.7
 
João Pedro
 
M. Sels
 
L. Netz
6.9
 
Morato
 
Jair
 
Z. Abbott
 
J. McAtee
 
Nicolás Domínguez
 
R. Yates
 
D. Bakwa
8.7
 
T. Awoniyi
6.9
 
Igor Jesus
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Chelsea
L. Delap
' Out: J. Derry
45
L. Colwill
' Out: Tosin Adarabioyo
46
Andrey Santos
' Out: R. Lavia
58
F. Jørgensen
' Out: Robert Sánchez
66
Substitutes for Nottingham Forest
Neco Williams
' Out: Z. Abbott
45
N. Milenkovic
' Out: Jair
46
E. Anderson
' Out: Nicolás Domínguez
46
M. Gibbs-White
46' Out: Igor Jesus
46
C. Wood
66' Out: M. Gibbs-White
66
O. Hutchinson
' Out: D. Bakwa
80
statistics
68 Ball Possession 32
1 Goals 3
1.93 Expected Goals 2.07
match facts

REFEREE

A. Taylor

STADIUM

Stamford Bridge

LOCATION

London

  • Chelsea have won four of their last five away matches against Nottingham Forest, including a 0-3 victory in October 2025.
  • Nottingham Forest are unbeaten in their last two visits to Stamford Bridge, drawing 1-1 in October 2024.
  • Nottingham Forest are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches, while Chelsea have been inconsistent with two losses in their last five.
  • Nottingham Forest's attack is rated 100% stronger than Chelsea’s based on recent form, while Chelsea’s defense is only 15% better.
  • Nottingham Forest average 1.22 goals per game but have scored five in their most recent away match.
  • Chelsea dominate possession with an average of 58.92%, but Forest are efficient with only 41.23%.
  • The prediction heavily favors a draw or away win (Double Chance), with a high odd of 2.26 at 1xBet.
  • Nottingham Forest have a 45% chance of winning according to the prediction, equal to the chance of a draw, while Chelsea have just 10%.
  • Nottingham Forest are the more disciplined side, averaging fewer yellow cards (2 per game) than Chelsea (3).
  • Based on head-to-head history, Chelsea have a 71% advantage, but recent form heavily favors Nottingham Forest.
  • The match is projected to be low-scoring, with an average of 1.65 goals for Chelsea and 1.22 for Nottingham Forest.
  • Nottingham Forest’s defensive strength is rated 85% better than Chelsea's, suggesting a tight contest.
Last Updated: 02 May 2026 06:00 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
44 Corners 27
96 Fouls 98
11 Offsides 21
120 Shots 94
36 Shots on Goal 31
25 Yellow Cards 17
1 Red Cards 1
12 Goals 10
10 Goals Conceded 12
2 Clean Sheets 1
premier league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#10
38
14
10
14
6
52
#16
38
11
11
16
-3
44