Derby have been up and down lately, winning two of their last five but also losing one and drawing a couple. They look fairly steady without being spectacular. Watford, on the other hand, have had a rough run with three losses in their last five, including some heavy defeats, though they did manage two strong wins in that stretch. So Watford seem to be struggling for consistency while Derby look a bit more settled.

There are no recent meetings between these two to look back on, so there's no history of high-scoring games to go by. Derby have generally kept things tight in their games, while Watford have had some scorelines that went either way. Overall, this looks like a close match, but Derby appear slightly more reliable right now, so I'd lean toward a Derby win, though a draw is also quite possible.