Southampton are having a rough spell. They've lost three of their last five games and only managed one win in that stretch, so confidence looks low right now. Middlesbrough, on the other hand, are in much better shape - they're unbeaten in four of their last five, with a win and a string of draws, and their games have been full of goals, including several ending two-two.

Because Southampton and Middlesbrough haven't met recently, there's no history to lean on, but the form points one way: Middlesbrough look the stronger side going into this one, and their matches tend to be open and high-scoring. Southampton's struggles suggest they'll find it hard to keep up, so Middlesbrough look most likely to come away with the win.