Elche vs Valencia

Elche
w d d w w
0 - 1
1.33
xG
0.96
Full Time
Valencia
w l d d l
U. Sadiq
69'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Elche Elche
Valencia Valencia
Probability %
1 x 2
41%
29%
30%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
2.62
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Elche Elche
Valencia Valencia
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
51%
49%
Pred
Under
Avg. Goal
2.62
Score Pred.
2-1
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Elche Elche
Valencia Valencia
HТ/FT Probability %
24%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Elche Elche
Valencia Valencia
Probability %
Yes/ No
56%
44%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
2.62
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Elche Elche
Valencia Valencia
Probability %
57%
Pred
Home +0
Avg. Goal
2.62
Score Pred.
2-1

Double chance : draw or Valencia

Form and context

Elche are still waiting for their first home league win of the season, having taken just one point at the Martinez Valero, though they arrive on a strong run of eight points from their last 12 in La Liga. Valencia sit 19th with six points and are without a win since Javier Aguirre took charge, following two draws and a home defeat to Villarreal.

Team news

  • Elche: Marc Aguado is the only confirmed absentee because of an ankle injury, while the coach is monitoring several situations, with Fer Nino troubled by back pain that stopped him finishing the Rayo match. Anselmi said there is no single confirmed absence beyond that and could not confirm everyone is at 100 per cent.
  • Valencia: No confirmed team news yet.

What the numbers say

  • Elche have kept three consecutive clean sheets, something the club had not managed for six years.
  • Elche have nine points from six away games this season, already more than their entire 2025/26 league away tally.
  • Valencia have taken 17 of their last 27 points as the visiting team.
  • In all competitions, Elche's last five include a 1-3 win at Pinatar and a 0-3 win at Rayo Vallecano, while Valencia's last five feature a 1-2 home loss to Villarreal and a 0-0 with Athletic Club.

Our view

Both sides have been far happier on the road than at home, which makes this a tricky one to call. Elche's defensive solidity and recent points haul give them the edge in momentum, but Anselmi has warned that a wounded Valencia tend to rebel.

Most likely outcome: draw - Elche's clean-sheet run meets a Valencia side that has drawn two of three under Aguirre.

Last Updated: 30 Oct 2026 05:32 PM
starting lineups
 
M. Dituro
6.66
 
G. Valera
 
Roy Revivo
6.91
 
V. Chust
 
Federico Redondo
 
Buba Aboubacar
 
T. Lemar
 
J. Morcillo
 
G. Villar
 
F. Nino
 
Lucas Cepeda
6.96
 
S. Dimitrievski
 
José Luis Gayà
 
Pepelu
 
C. Tarrega
 
A. Martinez
 
L. Rioja
 
G. Rodriguez
 
A. Mayol
 
P. Maffeo
 
A. Danjuma
6.3
 
J. Guerra
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Elche
F. Buonanotte
' Out: T. Lemar
24
Tete Morente
68' Out: G. Valera
68
R. Sanchez
' Out: Buba Aboubacar
68
A. Osorio
' Out: Lucas Cepeda
68
G. Diangana
' Out: J. Morcillo
78
Substitutes for Valencia
U. Sadiq
' Out: P. Maffeo
61
D. Raba
' Out: L. Rioja
78
F. Ugrinic
' Out: A. Mayol
78
J. Vazquez
' Out: A. Danjuma
88
M. Diakhaby
88' Out: J. Guerra
88
statistics
69 Ball Possession 31
0 Goals 1
1.33 Expected Goals 0.96
match facts

REFEREE

L. Bestard Servera

STADIUM

Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche)

LOCATION

Elche

  • Elche host Valencia at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in La Liga 2026-2027.
  • Both sides sit on 45% in the prediction model, with a draw also rated at 45% - a tight affair expected.
  • The prediction advice leans toward a double chance of draw or Valencia, priced at 1.67 with Betano.
  • Elche come into this in strong form with three wins and two draws from their last five matches.
  • Valencia are also unbeaten in their last five, picking up three wins and two draws.
  • Both teams have been defensively solid recently, with Elche keeping two clean sheets in their last five.
  • Valencia have kept clean sheets in two of their last five outings as well.
  • The two sides are evenly matched on goals, averaging 0.99 (Elche) and 1.04 (Valencia) per game.
  • Elche edge the possession battle with an average of 53.17% compared to Valencia's 46.95%.
  • The last meeting between these clubs ended 1-0 to Valencia in April 2026, while January's clash finished 1-1.
  • Valencia hold the head-to-head edge in the prediction model at 62% versus Elche's 38%.
  • The Poisson distribution model also favours Valencia at 70% against Elche's 30%.
Last Updated: 30 Oct 2026 05:32 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
44 Corners 52
130 Fouls 122
30 Offsides 28
73 Shots 125
22 Shots on Goal 45
31 Yellow Cards 18
1 Red Cards 0
7 Goals 11
11 Goals Conceded 7
1 Clean Sheets 4
la liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#17
11
2
4
5
-4
10
#19
11
2
3
6
-9
9
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

2.45
1xBet
3.40
Bet365
3.36
Pinnacle
100.01 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.45
3.37
3.22
98.48%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.38
3.28
3.14
95.83%
SBO SBO Logo
2.34
3.09
2.85
90.76%
Dafabet Dafabet Logo
2.34
3.35
3.15
95.85%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.32
3.38
3.36
97.61%

HIGHEST ODDS

3.00
Bet365
2.30
Pinnacle
3.88
Pinnacle
97.48 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
3.00
2.20
3.50
93.15%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.99
2.05
3.78
92.01%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.99
2.05
3.78
92.01%
Betano Betano Logo
2.95
2.05
3.75
91.45%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.94
2.30
3.88
96.84%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.64
Marathonbet
2.45
Marathonbet
3.34
Marathonbet
92.05 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.64
2.45
3.34
92.05%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.64
2.45
3.34
92.05%
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.62
2.30
3.30
89.33%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.62
2.40
3.10
89.21%
Betano Betano Logo
2.57
2.45
3.30
90.88%