Elche vs Valencia
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Elche
Valencia
|
Probability %
1
x
2
41%
29%
30%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.62
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Elche
Valencia
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
51%
49%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.62
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Elche
Valencia
|
HТ/FT Probability %
24%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Elche
Valencia
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
56%
44%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.62
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Elche
Valencia
|
Probability %
57%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.62
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
Double chance : draw or Valencia
Form and context
Elche are still waiting for their first home league win of the season, having taken just one point at the Martinez Valero, though they arrive on a strong run of eight points from their last 12 in La Liga. Valencia sit 19th with six points and are without a win since Javier Aguirre took charge, following two draws and a home defeat to Villarreal.
Team news
- Elche: Marc Aguado is the only confirmed absentee because of an ankle injury, while the coach is monitoring several situations, with Fer Nino troubled by back pain that stopped him finishing the Rayo match. Anselmi said there is no single confirmed absence beyond that and could not confirm everyone is at 100 per cent.
- Valencia: No confirmed team news yet.
What the numbers say
- Elche have kept three consecutive clean sheets, something the club had not managed for six years.
- Elche have nine points from six away games this season, already more than their entire 2025/26 league away tally.
- Valencia have taken 17 of their last 27 points as the visiting team.
- In all competitions, Elche's last five include a 1-3 win at Pinatar and a 0-3 win at Rayo Vallecano, while Valencia's last five feature a 1-2 home loss to Villarreal and a 0-0 with Athletic Club.
Our view
Both sides have been far happier on the road than at home, which makes this a tricky one to call. Elche's defensive solidity and recent points haul give them the edge in momentum, but Anselmi has warned that a wounded Valencia tend to rebel.
Most likely outcome: draw - Elche's clean-sheet run meets a Valencia side that has drawn two of three under Aguirre.
Last Updated: 30 Oct 2026 05:32 PM
Substitutes for Elche
Substitutes for Valencia REFEREE
L. Bestard Servera
STADIUM
Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche)
LOCATION
Elche
- Elche host Valencia at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in La Liga 2026-2027.
- Both sides sit on 45% in the prediction model, with a draw also rated at 45% - a tight affair expected.
- The prediction advice leans toward a double chance of draw or Valencia, priced at 1.67 with Betano.
- Elche come into this in strong form with three wins and two draws from their last five matches.
- Valencia are also unbeaten in their last five, picking up three wins and two draws.
- Both teams have been defensively solid recently, with Elche keeping two clean sheets in their last five.
- Valencia have kept clean sheets in two of their last five outings as well.
- The two sides are evenly matched on goals, averaging 0.99 (Elche) and 1.04 (Valencia) per game.
- Elche edge the possession battle with an average of 53.17% compared to Valencia's 46.95%.
- The last meeting between these clubs ended 1-0 to Valencia in April 2026, while January's clash finished 1-1.
- Valencia hold the head-to-head edge in the prediction model at 62% versus Elche's 38%.
- The Poisson distribution model also favours Valencia at 70% against Elche's 30%.
La Liga 2026-2027
Valencia
La Liga 2025-2026
Valencia
La Liga 2025-2026
Elche
La Liga 2022-2023
Valencia
La Liga 2022-2023
Elche
La Liga 2021-2022
Valencia
La Liga 2021-2022
Elche
La Liga 2020-2021
Elche
La Liga 2020-2021
Valencia
Last matches for ELC
La Liga 2026-2027
Elche
0
Valencia
1
Copa del Rey 2026-2027
Elche
3
Pinatar
1
La Liga 2026-2027
Elche
3
Rayo Vallecano
0
La Liga 2026-2027
Elche
0
Villarreal
0
La Liga 2026-2027
Elche
0
Celta Vigo
0
La Liga 2026-2027
Elche
3
Espanyol
1
La Liga 2026-2027
Elche
2
Real Madrid
3
La Liga 2026-2027
Elche
1
Athletic Club
1
La Liga 2026-2027
Elche
2
Real Sociedad
3
La Liga 2026-2027
Elche
0
Barcelona
5
Last matches for VAL
La Liga 2026-2027
Valencia
1
Elche
0
La Liga 2026-2027
Valencia
1
Villarreal
2
La Liga 2026-2027
Valencia
0
Athletic Club
0
La Liga 2026-2027
Valencia
2
Racing Santander
2
La Liga 2026-2027
Valencia
2
Real Sociedad
3
La Liga 2026-2027
Valencia
1
Alaves
0
La Liga 2026-2027
Valencia
0
Sevilla
1
La Liga 2026-2027
Valencia
0
Barcelona
5
La Liga 2026-2027
Valencia
1
Deportivo La Coruna
3
La Liga 2026-2027
Valencia
0
Real Betis
1
