Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa
T. Leite
21'
Lucas Duarte
47'
B. Faria
43'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Felgueiras 1932
Lusitânia Lourosa
|
Probability %
1
x
2
43%
30%
27%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.33
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Felgueiras 1932
Lusitânia Lourosa
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
59%
41%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.33
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Felgueiras 1932
Lusitânia Lourosa
|
HТ/FT Probability %
23%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Felgueiras 1932
Lusitânia Lourosa
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
49%
51%
|
Pred
No
|
Avg. Goal
2.33
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Felgueiras 1932
Lusitânia Lourosa
|
Probability %
59%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.33
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
Double chance : draw or Lusitânia Lourosa
Form and context
Felgueiras 1932 and Lusitânia Lourosa meet in the Segunda Liga on Sunday afternoon. Felgueiras have lost three of their last five in all competitions, while Lourosa are unbeaten across their last five in all competitions and have won three of them.
Team news
- Felgueiras 1932: No confirmed team news yet.
- Lusitânia Lourosa: No confirmed team news yet.
What the numbers say
- Felgueiras have scored 1.1 goals per game and conceded 1.0 across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Lourosa average 1.4 goals for and 0.9 against over the same span in all competitions.
- The head-to-head is split: Lourosa won the most recent meeting 2-1, after Felgueiras won 3-1 in August 2025.
- The model gives the draw and the away win 45% each, with a home win at 10%.
Our view
Lourosa arrive with the stronger recent record in all competitions, but the two head-to-head results show this fixture can swing either way. Felgueiras have found goals harder to come by, which makes a tight, low-scoring game the likeliest shape of the afternoon.
Most likely outcome: draw - Lourosa's unbeaten run points to them avoiding defeat, but Felgueiras' home record in this fixture keeps it level.
Last Updated: 23 Oct 2026 02:31 PM
Substitutes for Felgueiras 1932 Michel Costa
' Out: R. Ribeiro
46
M. Rivas
69' Out: Lucas Duarte
69
Afonso Peixoto
' Out: B. Ouacharaf
90
Rui Rampa
' Out: Armando Lopes
90
Substitutes for Lusitânia Lourosa G. Souza
' Out: B. Araujo
33
M. Teixeira
' Out: Fabinho
65
J. Silva
' Out: J. Santos
65
Paulite
' Out: Saliou
79
M. Tablante
84' Out: Danny
84
REFEREE
J. Goncalves
STADIUM
Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos
LOCATION
Felgueiras
- Felgueiras 1932 host Lusitânia Lourosa in the Segunda Liga 2026-2027.
- Head-to-head favours Lusitânia Lourosa, who won both previous meetings (2-1 and 3-1).
- Felgueiras are in poor form with just one win in their last five matches.
- Lusitânia Lourosa have two wins and two draws in their last five outings.
- Felgueiras average only 0.80 goals per game, while the visitors average 0.81.
- Lusitânia Lourosa average a hefty 14.88 shots per match compared to Felgueiras' 7.88.
- Possession is nearly even, with Felgueiras at 52.77% and Lusitânia at 50.13%.
- Prediction model gives the draw and away win 45% each, with a home win at just 10%.
- Form comparison strongly favours the visitors at 73% versus 27%.
- Poisson distribution leans heavily toward Lusitânia Lourosa at 83%.
- Only the head-to-head metric favours Felgueiras (60%).
- Recommended bet is Double Chance Draw/Away at odds of 1.57 with Betano.
Total
Per Match
3
Corners
5
1
Corners
1.7
0
Fouls
0
0
Fouls
0
0
Offsides
0
0
Offsides
0
13
Shots
7
4.3
Shots
2.3
4
Shots on Goal
4
1.3
Shots on Goal
1.3
8
Yellow Cards
5
2.7
Yellow Cards
1.7
1
Red Cards
0
0.3
Red Cards
0
6
Goals
5
2
Goals
1.7
5
Goals Conceded
6
1.7
Goals Conceded
2
0
Clean Sheets
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
Last matches for FEL
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
25 OCT, 2026
Felgueiras 1932
2
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
D
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
12 OCT, 2026
Felgueiras 1932
0
Benfica B
1
L
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Felgueiras 1932
1
Penafiel
2
L
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Felgueiras 1932
0
Vizela
1
L
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Felgueiras 1932
2
Chaves
1
W
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
24 AUG, 2026
Felgueiras 1932
1
Farense
1
D
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
17 AUG, 2026
Felgueiras 1932
1
AVS
1
D
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
Felgueiras 1932
0
Feirense
0
D
Segunda Liga 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Felgueiras 1932
5
Oliveirense
1
W
Segunda Liga 2025-2026
09 MAY, 2026
Felgueiras 1932
1
Portimonense
1
D
Last matches for LUS
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
25 OCT, 2026
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
Felgueiras 1932
2
D
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Lusitânia Lourosa
1
Chaves
1
D
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
14 SEP, 2026
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
Sporting CP B
1
W
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
07 SEP, 2026
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
AVS
1
W
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
Academica
0
W
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
Torreense
2
D
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Lusitânia Lourosa
1
Amarante
0
W
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
10 AUG, 2026
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
FC Porto B
0
W
Segunda Liga 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Lusitânia Lourosa
1
Leixoes
2
L
Segunda Liga 2025-2026
09 MAY, 2026
Lusitânia Lourosa
1
Torreense
2
L
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
2.26
1xBet
3.25
Dafabet
3.55
Pinnacle
96.91 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
2.26
3.02
3.27
92.64%
Betfair
2.25
2.90
3.10
89.94%
Marathonbet
2.24
3.02
3.24
92.06%
Dafabet
2.22
3.25
3.45
95.42%
Betano
2.20
3.10
3.40
93.35%
Pinnacle
2.19
3.22
3.55
95.34%
William Hill
2.15
2.90
3.30
89.85%
Bet365
2.15
3.10
3.10
90.07%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.50
Bet365
2.11
Pinnacle
4.25
1xBet
100.51 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
3.50
2.00
3.40
92.61%
Betfair
3.00
1.91
3.75
89.00%
1xBet
Bonus
2.96
1.90
4.25
90.95%
Marathonbet
2.94
1.90
4.10
90.06%
Pinnacle
2.93
2.11
4.17
94.78%
Betano
2.85
2.00
3.90
90.31%
William Hill
2.80
2.05
3.75
89.96%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.00
Bet365
2.30
Betano
3.66
1xBet
96.03 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
3.00
2.25
3.00
90.00%
William Hill
2.62
2.20
3.60
89.77%
1xBet
Bonus
2.59
2.27
3.66
90.92%
Marathonbet
2.57
2.27
3.55
89.98%
Betano
2.57
2.30
3.65
91.09%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.27
Pinnacle
1.65
Pinnacle
95.55 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.27
1.65
13.63%
Bet365
2.25
1.62
13.58%
Betfair
2.25
1.57
18.53%
Marathonbet
2.23
1.60
5.33%
1xBet
Bonus
2.23
1.60
4.82%
Betano
2.22
1.65
13.39%
HIGHEST ODDS
10.00
Bet365
1.08
Betano
97.47 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
10.00
1.06
31.51%
William Hill
8.50
1.07
30.71%
Betfair
8.50
1.05
30.98%
Marathonbet
8.40
1.01
18.29%
1xBet
Bonus
8.40
1.01
9.18%
Betano
6.90
1.08
18.84%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
18.93%
HIGHEST ODDS
6.00
Bet365
1.14
Betano
95.80 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
6.00
1.12
23.67%
William Hill
5.50
1.12
23.27%
Betano
5.40
1.14
31.41%
Marathonbet
5.35
1.09
18.30%
1xBet
Bonus
5.35
1.09
9.17%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.92
Bet365
2.52
Pinnacle
108.97 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.92
1.88
6.76%
Marathonbet
1.57
2.27
6.47%
1xBet
Bonus
1.57
2.27
6.07%
Pinnacle
1.55
2.52
9.58%
Betano
-
-
-
-
47.19%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.92
Bet365
2.32
Pinnacle
105.06 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.92
1.88
13.49%
Marathonbet
1.62
2.16
13.13%
1xBet
Bonus
1.62
2.16
11.48%
Pinnacle
1.61
2.32
15.89%
Betano
-
-
-
-
47.10%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.61
Marathonbet
2.17
Marathonbet
92.43 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
1.61
2.17
10.20%
1xBet
Bonus
1.61
2.17
10.21%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.91
Bet365
1.83
William Hill
93.46 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.91
1.80
92.67%
Betfair
1.91
1.80
92.67%
Marathonbet
1.90
1.78
91.90%
1xBet
Bonus
1.90
1.80
92.43%
Betano
1.90
1.80
92.43%
William Hill
1.85
1.83
92.00%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.44
Bet365
1.36
William Hill
1.70
Betano
49.55 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.44
1.33
1.44
46.71%
Betano
1.34
1.34
1.70
48.06%
William Hill
1.30
1.36
1.62
47.13%
Betfair
1.30
1.33
1.53
45.98%
Marathonbet
1.29
1.33
1.57
46.21%
1xBet
Bonus
1.29
1.33
1.57
46.21%
