Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa

Felgueiras 1932
d w l l l
2 - 2
Full Time
Lusitânia Lourosa
d w w w d
T. Leite
21'
Lucas Duarte
47'
B. Faria
43'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
Probability %
1 x 2
43%
30%
27%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
2.33
Score Pred.
2-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
59%
41%
Pred
Under
Avg. Goal
2.33
Score Pred.
2-0
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
HТ/FT Probability %
23%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
2-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
Probability %
Yes/ No
49%
51%
Pred
No
Avg. Goal
2.33
Score Pred.
2-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
Probability %
59%
Pred
Home +0
Avg. Goal
2.33
Score Pred.
2-0

Double chance : draw or Lusitânia Lourosa

Form and context

Felgueiras 1932 and Lusitânia Lourosa meet in the Segunda Liga on Sunday afternoon. Felgueiras have lost three of their last five in all competitions, while Lourosa are unbeaten across their last five in all competitions and have won three of them.

Team news

  • Felgueiras 1932: No confirmed team news yet.
  • Lusitânia Lourosa: No confirmed team news yet.

What the numbers say

  • Felgueiras have scored 1.1 goals per game and conceded 1.0 across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
  • Lourosa average 1.4 goals for and 0.9 against over the same span in all competitions.
  • The head-to-head is split: Lourosa won the most recent meeting 2-1, after Felgueiras won 3-1 in August 2025.
  • The model gives the draw and the away win 45% each, with a home win at 10%.

Our view

Lourosa arrive with the stronger recent record in all competitions, but the two head-to-head results show this fixture can swing either way. Felgueiras have found goals harder to come by, which makes a tight, low-scoring game the likeliest shape of the afternoon.

Most likely outcome: draw - Lourosa's unbeaten run points to them avoiding defeat, but Felgueiras' home record in this fixture keeps it level.

Last Updated: 23 Oct 2026 02:31 PM
starting lineups
 
Mateus Pasinato
 
Armando Lopes
 
A. Freitas
 
J. Pinto
 
F. Cruz
 
R. Ribeiro
 
Francisco Franco
 
B. Ouacharaf
 
Lucas Duarte
 
T. Leite
 
B. Araujo
 
F. Machado
 
B. Faria
 
D. Collard
 
Ricardinho
 
Fabinho
 
D. Paulo
 
Arsenio
 
J. Santos
 
Saliou
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Felgueiras 1932
Michel Costa
' Out: R. Ribeiro
46
M. Rivas
69' Out: Lucas Duarte
69
Afonso Peixoto
' Out: B. Ouacharaf
90
Rui Rampa
' Out: Armando Lopes
90
Substitutes for Lusitânia Lourosa
G. Souza
' Out: B. Araujo
33
M. Teixeira
' Out: Fabinho
65
J. Silva
' Out: J. Santos
65
Paulite
' Out: Saliou
79
M. Tablante
84' Out: Danny
84
statistics
54 Ball Possession 46
2 Goals 2
match facts

REFEREE

J. Goncalves

STADIUM

Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos

LOCATION

Felgueiras

  • Felgueiras 1932 host Lusitânia Lourosa in the Segunda Liga 2026-2027.
  • Head-to-head favours Lusitânia Lourosa, who won both previous meetings (2-1 and 3-1).
  • Felgueiras are in poor form with just one win in their last five matches.
  • Lusitânia Lourosa have two wins and two draws in their last five outings.
  • Felgueiras average only 0.80 goals per game, while the visitors average 0.81.
  • Lusitânia Lourosa average a hefty 14.88 shots per match compared to Felgueiras' 7.88.
  • Possession is nearly even, with Felgueiras at 52.77% and Lusitânia at 50.13%.
  • Prediction model gives the draw and away win 45% each, with a home win at just 10%.
  • Form comparison strongly favours the visitors at 73% versus 27%.
  • Poisson distribution leans heavily toward Lusitânia Lourosa at 83%.
  • Only the head-to-head metric favours Felgueiras (60%).
  • Recommended bet is Double Chance Draw/Away at odds of 1.57 with Betano.
Last Updated: 23 Oct 2026 02:31 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
3 Corners 5
0 Fouls 0
0 Offsides 0
13 Shots 7
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Yellow Cards 5
1 Red Cards 0
6 Goals 5
5 Goals Conceded 6
0 Clean Sheets 0
segunda liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#1
8
5
3
0
7
18
#15
8
1
4
3
-2
7
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

2.26
1xBet
3.25
Dafabet
3.55
Pinnacle
96.91 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.26
3.02
3.27
92.64%
Betfair Betfair Logo
2.25
2.90
3.10
89.94%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.24
3.02
3.24
92.06%
Dafabet Dafabet Logo
2.22
3.25
3.45
95.42%
Betano Betano Logo
2.20
3.10
3.40
93.35%

HIGHEST ODDS

3.50
Bet365
2.11
Pinnacle
4.25
1xBet
100.51 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
3.50
2.00
3.40
92.61%
Betfair Betfair Logo
3.00
1.91
3.75
89.00%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.96
1.90
4.25
90.95%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.94
1.90
4.10
90.06%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.93
2.11
4.17
94.78%

HIGHEST ODDS

3.00
Bet365
2.30
Betano
3.66
1xBet
96.03 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
3.00
2.25
3.00
90.00%
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.62
2.20
3.60
89.77%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.59
2.27
3.66
90.92%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.57
2.27
3.55
89.98%
Betano Betano Logo
2.57
2.30
3.65
91.09%