Form and context

Fatih Karagümrük host Keçiörengücü in the 1. Lig on Monday afternoon. The home side have won just one of their last five in all competitions and were beaten 1-0 by Mardin BB on 15 October, while Keçiörengücü are unbeaten across their last five in all competitions, including a 2-0 win at BB Bodrumspor on 9 October. Karagümrük have won both listed head-to-head meetings, most recently 1-0 in April 2025.

Team news

• Fatih Karagümrük: No confirmed team news yet.
• Keçiörengücü: No confirmed team news yet.

What the numbers say

• Karagümrük average 1.3 goals for and 1.3 against across the matches counted; Keçiörengücü average 1.9 for and 1.0 against.
• Keçiörengücü's last five in all competitions read unbeaten: 0-0 with 76 Iğdır Belediyespor, 2-0 at BB Bodrumspor, 1-1 with Sivasspor, 1-1 at Van BB and 3-0 over Sarıyer.
• Karagümrük's recent run in all competitions includes a 4-3 defeat at Batman Petrolspor and a 1-1 home draw with Muğlaspor.
• The model splits the result almost evenly between draw and away win (45% each), with a home win at 10%.

Our view

Keçiörengücü arrive with the stronger recent record and a better scoring rate, but Karagümrük's perfect head-to-head record in the two listed meetings gives the hosts some historical edge. With no confirmed team news on either side, form and the goal numbers carry most of the weight.

Most likely outcome: draw - Keçiörengücü's unbeaten run meets a Karagümrük side that has drawn twice in its last five, and the model rates draw and away win equally.