Form and context

FC Ingolstadt 04 host league leaders MSV Duisburg at the Audi-Sportpark on Saturday. Ingolstadt sit ninth with 14 points from 10 games, while Duisburg top the table on 25 points. Ingolstadt have won their last two league matches, and Duisburg are unbeaten in five competitive games with four wins in that run.

Team news

• FC Ingolstadt 04: No confirmed team news yet.
• MSV Duisburg: Jakob Bookjans is out for several months with a cruciate ligament tear, and Dennis Borkowski and Jan-Simon Symalla are also injured, leaving the midfield short. Borkowski is expected back shortly, while Symalla is targeted for a winter return. Christian Viet could return to the squad after ankle problems.

What the numbers say

• Ingolstadt's last five in all competitions: 1-0 win over Rot-Weiss Essen, 3-0 win at Waldhof Mannheim, 2-4 loss to SV Wehen, 0-3 loss at Viktoria Köln and 1-2 loss to Hoffenheim II.
• Duisburg's last five in all competitions: 1-1 with Viktoria Köln, 4-2 win at Saarbrücken, 3-2 win over Hoffenheim II, 4-1 win at Wehen and 2-1 win over Havelse.
• Duisburg average 2.5 goals scored per game across their last 10 matches, compared with 1.3 for Ingolstadt.
• The last meeting on 4 March 2026 ended 0-0; Duisburg won the previous encounter 2-1 on 27 September 2025.

Our view

Duisburg arrive as the division's form side and the league leaders, with a scoring rate well above Ingolstadt's. Ingolstadt have responded well to their recent setback with back-to-back wins, but the visitors' unbeaten run makes them the stronger side on current evidence.

Most likely outcome: away win - Duisburg's five-game unbeaten streak and superior goal output point their way.