Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe

Galatasaray
l w l w w
- - -
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Fenerbahçe
w w l w d
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Galatasaray Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Probability %
1 x 2
43%
25%
32%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
3.25
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Galatasaray Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
37%
63%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
3.25
Score Pred.
2-1
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Galatasaray Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
HТ/FT Probability %
25%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Galatasaray Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Probability %
Yes/ No
65%
35%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
3.25
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Galatasaray Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Probability %
58%
Pred
Home +0
Avg. Goal
3.25
Score Pred.
2-1

Double chance : draw or Fenerbahçe

This is a big local rivalry between Galatasaray and Fenerbahçe. Galatasaray have been in good form lately, winning three of their last five games, while Fenerbahçe have struggled badly - losing three of their last five by heavy scores, including some very lopsided defeats. So Galatasaray come in looking much stronger and more settled.

Their recent meetings against each other have mostly been tight, with several draws and low-scoring games, though one recent match did end in a clear win for one side. Overall this looks like a close, hard-fought game rather than a wide-open one. Given Fenerbahçe's poor recent run, Galatasaray look the stronger side here, but the history between these two suggests it could easily end level - so a draw is just as likely.

Last Updated: 24 Oct 2026 12:01 AM

WHO WILL WIN?

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Total votes: 0

WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?

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Total votes: 0

WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?

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Total votes: 0

match facts
  • The Istanbul derby sees Galatasaray host Fenerbahçe in the Süper Lig 2026-2027 on October 26, 2026.
  • Galatasaray enter in strong form with three straight wins, scoring four goals in two of those matches.
  • Fenerbahçe's recent form is shaky, with three defeats in their last five, including heavy 6-0 and 8-0 losses.
  • The last meeting ended 3-0 in Fenerbahçe's favor, the most recent chapter of a tight, historic rivalry.
  • H2H history is closely balanced: 5 Galatasaray wins, 5 draws and 2 Fenerbahçe wins in the last 12 meetings.
  • Four of the last 12 derbies ended goalless, underlining how cagey this fixture can be.
  • Fenerbahçe edge the attacking numbers with 1.95 average goals per game versus Galatasaray's 1.84.
  • Galatasaray dominate the median possession battle, 57% to 43%.
  • The prediction model points to a double chance of draw or Fenerbahçe at 1.70 with 1xBet.
  • Win probabilities are dead even: 10% Galatasaray, 45% draw, 45% Fenerbahçe.
  • Despite home advantage, Galatasaray rate just 22% for defence in the prediction comparison against Fenerbahçe's 78%.
  • The Poisson distribution model favors Fenerbahçe at 70%, though H2H trends lean 62% toward Galatasaray.
Last Updated: 24 Oct 2026 12:01 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
45 Corners 66
230 Fouls 174
26 Offsides 24
131 Shots 135
44 Shots on Goal 36
54 Yellow Cards 42
0 Red Cards 5
15 Goals 7
7 Goals Conceded 15
7 Clean Sheets 5
süper lig standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#1
8
6
1
1
6
19
#3
8
5
1
2
16
16
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

2.23
1xBet
3.90
1xBet
3.06
1xBet
96.93 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.23
3.90
3.06
96.93%
Dafabet Dafabet Logo
2.22
3.80
2.95
95.00%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.21
3.78
3.00
95.20%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.20
3.80
2.80
93.04%
Betano Betano Logo
2.18
3.75
2.90
93.44%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.71
Pinnacle
2.55
Pinnacle
3.41
Pinnacle
94.84 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.71
2.55
3.41
94.84%
Betano Betano Logo
2.70
2.40
3.30
91.74%
Betfair Betfair Logo
2.63
2.40
3.25
90.53%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.62
2.50
3.25
91.80%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.62
2.33
3.40
90.50%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.42
Betano
2.80
Betano
3.06
Marathonbet
91.14 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano Betano Logo
2.42
2.80
3.05
91.06%
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.40
2.62
3.00
88.36%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.40
2.75
3.00
89.80%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.38
2.79
3.06
90.47%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.38
2.79
3.06
90.47%