Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
|
Probability %
1
x
2
43%
25%
32%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
3.25
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
37%
63%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
3.25
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
|
HТ/FT Probability %
25%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
65%
35%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
3.25
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
|
Probability %
58%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
3.25
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
Double chance : draw or Fenerbahçe
This is a big local rivalry between Galatasaray and Fenerbahçe. Galatasaray have been in good form lately, winning three of their last five games, while Fenerbahçe have struggled badly - losing three of their last five by heavy scores, including some very lopsided defeats. So Galatasaray come in looking much stronger and more settled.
Their recent meetings against each other have mostly been tight, with several draws and low-scoring games, though one recent match did end in a clear win for one side. Overall this looks like a close, hard-fought game rather than a wide-open one. Given Fenerbahçe's poor recent run, Galatasaray look the stronger side here, but the history between these two suggests it could easily end level - so a draw is just as likely.
Last Updated: 24 Oct 2026 12:01 AMWHO WILL WIN?
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Total votes: 0
WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?
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Total votes: 0
WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?
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Total votes: 0
- The Istanbul derby sees Galatasaray host Fenerbahçe in the Süper Lig 2026-2027 on October 26, 2026.
- Galatasaray enter in strong form with three straight wins, scoring four goals in two of those matches.
- Fenerbahçe's recent form is shaky, with three defeats in their last five, including heavy 6-0 and 8-0 losses.
- The last meeting ended 3-0 in Fenerbahçe's favor, the most recent chapter of a tight, historic rivalry.
- H2H history is closely balanced: 5 Galatasaray wins, 5 draws and 2 Fenerbahçe wins in the last 12 meetings.
- Four of the last 12 derbies ended goalless, underlining how cagey this fixture can be.
- Fenerbahçe edge the attacking numbers with 1.95 average goals per game versus Galatasaray's 1.84.
- Galatasaray dominate the median possession battle, 57% to 43%.
- The prediction model points to a double chance of draw or Fenerbahçe at 1.70 with 1xBet.
- Win probabilities are dead even: 10% Galatasaray, 45% draw, 45% Fenerbahçe.
- Despite home advantage, Galatasaray rate just 22% for defence in the prediction comparison against Fenerbahçe's 78%.
- The Poisson distribution model favors Fenerbahçe at 70%, though H2H trends lean 62% toward Galatasaray.
Süper Lig 2025-2026
Fenerbahçe
Süper Lig 2025-2026
Galatasaray
Süper Lig 2024-2025
Fenerbahçe
Süper Lig 2024-2025
Galatasaray
Süper Lig 2023-2024
Fenerbahçe
Süper Lig 2023-2024
Galatasaray
Süper Lig 2022-2023
Fenerbahçe
Süper Lig 2022-2023
Galatasaray
Süper Lig 2021-2022
Galatasaray
Süper Lig 2021-2022
Fenerbahçe
Süper Lig 2020-2021
Galatasaray
Süper Lig 2020-2021
Fenerbahçe
Last matches for GAL
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Galatasaray
4
Lille
2
Süper Lig 2026-2027
Galatasaray
1
Genclerbirligi
0
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Galatasaray
1
Barcelona
4
Süper Lig 2026-2027
Galatasaray
3
Kasımpaşa
1
Süper Lig 2026-2027
Galatasaray
0
Trabzonspor
4
Süper Lig 2026-2027
Galatasaray
1
Kocaelispor
0
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Galatasaray
1
Sporting CP
3
Süper Lig 2026-2027
Galatasaray
3
Başakşehir
2
Süper Lig 2026-2027
Galatasaray
3
Göztepe
2
Süper Lig 2026-2027
Galatasaray
2
Yeni Çorumspor
2
Last matches for FEN
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Fenerbahçe
2
Slavia Praha
2
Süper Lig 2026-2027
Fenerbahçe
3
Alanyaspor
0
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Fenerbahçe
0
Aston Villa
6
Süper Lig 2026-2027
Fenerbahçe
3
Rizespor
0
Süper Lig 2026-2027
Fenerbahçe
8
Eyüpspor
0
Süper Lig 2026-2027
Fenerbahçe
0
Gazişehir Gaziantep
0
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Fenerbahçe
1
AS Roma
1
Süper Lig 2026-2027
Fenerbahçe
1
Beşiktaş
2
Süper Lig 2026-2027
Fenerbahçe
2
Samsunspor
0
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Qualifying
Fenerbahçe
2
Lyon
1
