Lecce vs Fiorentina

Lecce
w l l l l
1 - 1
1.46
xG
1.25
Full Time
Fiorentina
d w d w w
Tiago Gabriel
71'
J. Harrison
30'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Fiorentina

Lecce has been struggling lately, losing most of their recent games. They did manage a good win a couple of weeks ago, but their form has been poor overall.

Fiorentina's recent results have been mixed, with a couple of wins, a couple of draws, and a recent loss. When these two teams met earlier in the season, Fiorentina won a close, low-scoring game. Based on the current form and the head-to-head result, Fiorentina is more likely to win this match.

Last Updated: 18 Apr 2026 06:00 PM
starting lineups
 
W. Falcone
 
A. Gallo
7
 
Tiago Gabriel
 
Jamil Siebert
 
Danilo Veiga
 
O. Ngom
 
Y. Ramadani
 
K. Ndri
 
L. Coulibaly
6.7
 
S. Pierotti
 
W. Cheddira
7.2
 
D. de Gea
 
R. Gosens
 
L. Ranieri
6.9
 
Marin Pongračić
 
Dodo
 
C. Ndour
 
N. Fagioli
 
R. Mandragora
 
A. Gudmundsson
 
R. Piccoli
7.2
 
J. Harrison
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Lecce
Lameck Banda
' Out: K. Ndri
56
N. Štulić
' Out: W. Cheddira
57
O. Gandelman
' Out: O. Ngom
57
C. Ndaba
' Out: A. Gallo
85
Substitutes for Fiorentina
L. Balbo
' Out: R. Gosens
11
M. Solomon
' Out: A. Gudmundsson
60
M. Brescianini
' Out: C. Ndour
80
G. Fabbian
' Out: N. Fagioli
80
J. Fazzini
80' Out: J. Harrison
80
statistics
55 Ball Possession 45
1 Goals 1
1.46 Expected Goals 1.25
match facts

REFEREE

F. Maresca

  • Match: Lecce vs Fiorentina in Serie A 2025-2026.
  • Fiorentina won the last H2H meeting 1-0 in November 2025.
  • Lecce's recent form shows 4 losses in their last 5 matches.
  • Fiorentina are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 away matches (2W, 2D).
  • Lecce averages only 0.55 goals per match this season.
  • Fiorentina averages nearly double the goals (0.97) per match.
  • Fiorentina dominates possession on average (52% vs Lecce's 42%).
  • Median stats show Lecce with more shots (15 vs 11) in a recent match.
  • Prediction models heavily favor Fiorentina with a 68% total win probability.
  • The most likely result is a draw or Fiorentina win (Double Chance).
  • Bookmaker 1xBet offers 1.34 odds for Draw/Fiorentina Double Chance.
  • Lecce's defensive rating is low at 18% compared to Fiorentina's 82%.
Last Updated: 18 Apr 2026 06:00 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
21 Corners 29
113 Fouls 112
12 Offsides 18
74 Shots 97
27 Shots on Goal 36
18 Yellow Cards 25
2 Red Cards 0
8 Goals 14
14 Goals Conceded 8
1 Clean Sheets 3
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#15
38
9
15
14
-9
42
#17
38
10
8
20
-22
38