Riga vs FK Jablonec
|
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Riga
FK Jablonec
|
Probability %
1
x
2
41%
28%
31%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.66
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Riga
FK Jablonec
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
50%
50%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.66
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Riga
FK Jablonec
|
HТ/FT Probability %
22%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Riga
FK Jablonec
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
55%
45%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.66
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Riga
FK Jablonec
|
Probability %
57%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.66
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
Double chance : Riga or draw
Form and context
Riga host FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC on 2026-11-05. Riga are unbeaten in their last five in all competitions, including a 1-1 draw at Pafos and a 1-1 home draw with Kairat Almaty. FK Jablonec opened their recent run with a 0-0 home draw against Brighton, following a 3-2 defeat at SC Freiburg.
Team news
- Riga: No confirmed team news yet.
- FK Jablonec: No confirmed team news yet.
What the numbers say
- Riga average 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across the 10 matches counted in all competitions.
- FK Jablonec average 1.38 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across the 8 matches counted in all competitions.
- There are no head-to-head meetings between the two clubs in the data.
- The prediction model splits the result almost evenly: 45% home win, 45% draw and 10% away win.
Our view
Both sides have been hard to beat recently in all competitions, and the model sees little to separate them, with the home win and the draw rated equally. Riga's slightly stronger scoring average at home gives them a narrow edge, but FK Jablonec's defensive record suggests goals may be limited.
Most likely outcome: draw - the model rates a home win and a draw equally, and neither side has shown a clear recent advantage.
Last Updated: 03 Nov 2026 08:36 PMREFEREE
V. Kopiyevsky
- Riga and FK Jablonec meet in the UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027, with no previous head-to-head record between the sides.
- Prediction model favors a Riga win or draw, with a double chance recommendation from the data.
- Riga are given a 45% chance of victory, while a draw also sits at 45% and an away win at just 10%.
- Riga are winless in their last five matches, with four draws and one defeat.
- FK Jablonec have won just one of their last five, losing three and drawing one.
- Both of Riga's most recent matches finished 1-1, highlighting a run of low-scoring stalemates.
- FK Jablonec's last two matches ended in a 0-0 draw and a 3-2 loss, showing mixed defensive form.
- Riga average 1.06 goals per game, while FK Jablonec average 0.92, suggesting a tight contest.
- Riga dominate possession with an average of 56.14% compared to FK Jablonec's 42.17%.
- Riga also lead the shot count with 17.80 per game against FK Jablonec's 10.00.
- The Poisson distribution model gives Riga a strong 70% edge over FK Jablonec's 30%.
- Defensive comparison slightly favors Riga at 56% versus FK Jablonec's 44%, while attack leans FK Jablonec's way at 55%.
Last matches for RIG 
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
22 OCT, 2026
Riga
1
Pafos
1
D
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
15 OCT, 2026
Riga
1
Kairat Almaty
1
D
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
27 AUG, 2026
Riga
2
KI Klaksvik
1
W
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
20 AUG, 2026
Riga
0
KI Klaksvik
0
D
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
13 AUG, 2026
Riga
1
Gyori ETO FC
1
D
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
06 AUG, 2026
Riga
1
Gyori ETO FC
0
W
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
28 JUL, 2026
Riga
5
Vardar Skopje
2
W
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
22 JUL, 2026
Riga
3
Vardar Skopje
2
W
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Qualifying
14 JUL, 2026
Riga
3
Ararat-Armenia
2
W
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Qualifying
07 JUL, 2026
Riga
0
Ararat-Armenia
2
L
Last matches for FKJ
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
22 OCT, 2026
FK Jablonec
0
Brighton
0
D
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
15 OCT, 2026
FK Jablonec
2
SC Freiburg
3
L
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
27 AUG, 2026
FK Jablonec
1
Rangers
0
W
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
20 AUG, 2026
FK Jablonec
0
Rangers
1
L
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
13 AUG, 2026
FK Jablonec
2
Rīgas FS
1
W
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
06 AUG, 2026
FK Jablonec
2
Rīgas FS
0
W
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
30 JUL, 2026
FK Jablonec
2
NK Varazdin
0
W
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
23 JUL, 2026
FK Jablonec
2
NK Varazdin
3
L
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
2.39
Dafabet
3.50
Bet365
3.15
1xBet
97.89 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Dafabet
2.39
3.45
3.00
96.01%
Pinnacle
2.37
3.45
3.04
96.09%
Betano
2.37
3.40
3.00
95.29%
Bet365
2.35
3.50
2.88
94.48%
1xBet
Bonus
2.34
3.42
3.15
96.41%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.02
Pinnacle
2.23
Pinnacle
3.69
Pinnacle
95.19 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.02
2.23
3.69
95.19%
Bet365
3.00
2.20
3.50
93.15%
Betano
3.00
2.10
3.55
91.64%
Marathonbet
2.88
2.06
3.68
90.55%
Betfair
2.88
2.10
3.40
89.48%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.70
William Hill
2.50
Bet365
3.30
Marathonbet
93.16 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
2.70
2.38
3.10
89.84%
Betano
2.65
2.50
3.10
90.91%
Bet365
2.60
2.50
3.10
90.32%
Marathonbet
2.55
2.44
3.30
90.50%
1xBet
Bonus
2.55
2.44
3.30
90.50%
