Riga vs FK Jablonec

UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027 | League Stage - 3

Riga

d d w d d

1 - 1

1.11

0.84

Full Time

FK Jablonec

w l w l d

Reginaldo Ramires

34'

S. Nebyla

49'

12.46 X3.50 22.90

Predictions

	Probability % 1 x 2	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Riga FK Jablonec	Probability % 1 x 2 40% 28% 33%	Pred X	Avg. Goal 2.78	Score Pred. 2-1

	Probability % Under / Over 2.5	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Riga FK Jablonec	Probability % Under / Over 2.5 47% 53%	Pred Over	Avg. Goal 2.78	Score Pred. 2-1

	HТ/FT Probability %	HT Pred.	FT Pred.	Score Pred.
Riga FK Jablonec	HТ/FT Probability % 22%	HT Pred. 1	FT Pred. 1	Score Pred. 2-1

	Probability % Yes/ No	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Riga FK Jablonec	Probability % Yes/ No 57% 43%	Pred Yes	Avg. Goal 2.78	Score Pred. 2-1

	Probability %	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Riga FK Jablonec	Probability % 54%	Pred Home +0	Avg. Goal 2.78	Score Pred. 2-1

Double chance : Riga or draw

Form and context

Riga host FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC on 2026-11-05. Riga are unbeaten in their last five in all competitions, including a 1-1 draw at Pafos and a 1-1 home draw with Kairat Almaty. FK Jablonec opened their recent run with a 0-0 home draw against Brighton, following a 3-2 defeat at SC Freiburg.

Team news

Riga: No confirmed team news yet.
FK Jablonec: No confirmed team news yet.

What the numbers say

Riga average 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across the 10 matches counted in all competitions.
FK Jablonec average 1.38 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across the 8 matches counted in all competitions.
There are no head-to-head meetings between the two clubs in the data.
The prediction model splits the result almost evenly: 45% home win, 45% draw and 10% away win.

Our view

Both sides have been hard to beat recently in all competitions, and the model sees little to separate them, with the home win and the draw rated equally. Riga's slightly stronger scoring average at home gives them a narrow edge, but FK Jablonec's defensive record suggests goals may be limited.

Most likely outcome: draw - the model rates a home win and a draw equally, and neither side has shown a clear recent advantage.

Last Updated: 03 Nov 2026 08:36 PM

RIG

starting lineups

FKJ

Kenan Pirić

R. Jurkovskis

Karl Gameni Wassom

Baba Musah

6.5

M. Toņiševs

Iago

A. Ankrah

R. Aouani

S. Oulad M'Hand

M. Diop

7.5

Reginaldo Ramires

K. Mihelak

6.3

J. Slama

6.9

D. Pavlovic

M. Cedidla

Vakhtang Chanturishvili

7.9

S. Nebyla

R. Sedláček

Dominik Hollý

M. Polidar

A. Rusek

S. Alioum

RIG

substitutes

FKJ

Substitutes for Riga

Caio Ferreira

' Out: M. Diop

M. Badamosi

78' Out: Reginaldo Ramires

C. Saco

' Out: R. Aouani

Samuel Pedro

' Out: S. Oulad M’Hand

Substitutes for FK Jablonec

G. Kuol

' Out: M. Polidar

L. Jawo

' Out: A. Rusek

D. Soucek

' Out: S. Alioum

N. Okeke

' Out: Dominik Hollý

F. Novák

84' Out: J. Slama

RIG

odds

FKJ

Full Time

1st Half

2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

2.49

Pinnacle

3.55

Dafabet

3.00

Betfair

98.36 %

BOOKMAKERS

HOME

DRAW

AWAY

PAYOUTS

Pinnacle

2.49

3.52

2.86

96.59%

Bet365

2.45

3.50

2.70

93.96%

Betano

2.42

3.45

2.87

95.10%

Dafabet

2.42

3.55

2.90

96.18%

HIGHEST ODDS

3.11

Pinnacle

2.28

Pinnacle

3.51

Pinnacle

95.69 %

BOOKMAKERS

HOME

DRAW

AWAY

PAYOUTS

Pinnacle

3.11

2.28

3.51

95.69%

Bet365

3.00

2.25

3.25

92.13%

Betano

3.00

2.15

3.45

91.89%

Marathonbet

2.93

2.13

3.40

90.51%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.70

William Hill

2.55

Betano

3.10

William Hill

92.16 %

BOOKMAKERS

HOME

DRAW

AWAY

PAYOUTS

Betano

2.67

2.55

3.00

90.91%

Marathonbet

2.63

2.52

3.05

90.50%

Bet365

2.62

2.50

3.00

89.69%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.85

Betano

2.05

Pinnacle

97.24 %

BOOKMAKERS

OVER 2.5

UNDER 2.5

PAYOUTS

Betano

1.85

2.00

10.62%

Pinnacle

1.83

2.05

11.99%

SBO

1.83

2.01

31.69%

Bet365

1.80

2.00

11.94%

HIGHEST ODDS

7.00

Bet365

1.11

Betano

95.81 %

BOOKMAKERS

OVER 2.5

UNDER 2.5

PAYOUTS

Bet365

7.00

1.10

23.64%

Betfair

7.00

1.07

30.89%

Betano

6.30

1.11

18.99%

Marathonbet

5.55

1.08

18.32%

HIGHEST ODDS

4.50

Bet365

1.24

Betano

97.21 %

BOOKMAKERS

OVER 2.5

UNDER 2.5

PAYOUTS

Bet365

4.50

1.18

23.49%

Marathonbet

4.00

1.17

18.32%

Betano

3.95

1.24

31.53%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.81

Pinnacle

2.09

Pinnacle

97.00 %

BOOKMAKERS

HOME

AWAY

PAYOUTS

Pinnacle

1.81

2.09

9.62%

Bet365

1.78

2.02

6.74%

Marathonbet

1.73

2.02

6.04%

Betfair

23.35%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.81

Pinnacle

2.05

Pinnacle

96.13 %

BOOKMAKERS

HOME

AWAY

PAYOUTS

Pinnacle

1.81

2.05

19.12%

Bet365

1.78

2.02

11.79%

Marathonbet

1.74

1.95

11.42%

Betano

47.52%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.74

Marathonbet

1.95

Marathonbet

91.95 %

BOOKMAKERS

HOME

AWAY

PAYOUTS

Marathonbet

1.74

1.95

10.14%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.67

Bet365

2.25

Betfair

95.85 %

BOOKMAKERS

YES

PAYOUTS

Bet365

1.67

2.10

93.02%

Betano

1.65

2.15

93.36%

Marathonbet

1.61

2.15

92.06%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.44

Bet365

1.32

1xBet

1.62

Betfair

48.33 %

BOOKMAKERS

PAYOUTS

Bet365

1.44

1.28

1.53

46.96%

Betano

1.44

1.30

1.60

47.88%

Marathonbet

1.40

1.28

1.53

46.53%

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Riga vs FK Jablonec

Double chance : Riga or draw

Form and context

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What the numbers say

Our view

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