Fortuna Düsseldorf's recent form shows four losses in their last five matches, with a low average of 0.44 goals scored per game this season.
Holstein Kiel has been more resilient away from home, securing a win and two draws in their last five, and they also won the previous head-to-head meeting 1-0 in November.
The median match statistics indicate Kiel typically generates more shots (17 to 13) and enjoys higher possession (55% to 45%), which aligns with their slightly higher average goals per game (0.59).
Düsseldorf's defensive record, conceding multiple goals in recent defeats, coupled with Kiel's ability to avoid defeat on the road, supports the rationale.