France vs Sweden

France
w d w w w
3 - 0
3.16
xG
0.56
Full Time
Sweden
w l d
K. Mbappé
45'
B. Barcola
53'
K. Mbappé
74'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Combo Winner : France and +1.5 goals

France are heading into this World Cup match in mixed form. They won their last game 4-1, but that came after two losses, including a 3-0 defeat. They have had a few high-scoring games recently, which suggests their matches can be open. Sweden, on the other hand, are really struggling. They have lost their last two games by heavy 5-1 scorelines and only just managed a draw in their other recent match. They are conceding a lot of goals and look short of confidence.

This match feels very one-sided. France have much more quality and are playing at home, while Sweden are in terrible shape and have been leaking goals. The game is likely to be quite open with several goals, and France should win this comfortably.

Last Updated: 28 Jun 2026 07:20 PM
starting lineups
 
M. Maignan
 
L. Digne
 
W. Saliba
 
D. Upamecano
 
J. Kounde
 
Adrien Rabiot
 
A. Tchouaméni
7.9
 
B. Barcola
 
M. Olise
 
O. Dembele
9.6
 
K. Mbappé
 
J. Widell Zetterström
 
G. Gudmundsson
 
V. Lindelof
 
G. Lagerbielke
 
D. Svensson
 
E. Stroud
 
Y. Ayari
 
L. Bergvall
 
A. Elanga
 
A. Isak
 
V. Gyökeres
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for France
M. Gusto
' Out: J. Kounde
75
D. Doue
' Out: O. Dembele
75
T. Hernandez
' Out: L. Digne
78
Jean-Philippe Mateta
85' Out: K. Mbappé
85
R. Cherki
' Out: M. Olise
85
Substitutes for Sweden
T. Ali
' Out: E. Stroud
66
B. Zeneli
' Out: L. Bergvall
66
M. Svanberg
' Out: D. Svensson
82
B. Nygren
' Out: Y. Ayari
82
G. Nilsson
' Out: A. Isak
89
statistics
62 Ball Possession 38
3 Goals 0
3.16 Expected Goals 0.56
match facts

REFEREE

D. Makkelie

  • France are the heavy favourites with a 68.5% overall advantage over Sweden (31.5%).
  • Les Bleus have a 45% chance of winning outright, but the draw also stands at 45%.
  • Sweden’s chance of victory is just 10%, making them the clear underdogs.
  • France have been inconsistent recently, winning only one of their last five matches (1-4 vs an opponent).
  • Sweden are winless in their last three games, with two heavy 5-1 defeats and a 1-1 draw.
  • The defensive comparison heavily favours France (78%) over Sweden (22%), suggesting a tight backline.
  • France average more shots per game (14.90) than Sweden (12.67) and hold slightly higher possession (52.6% vs 48.3%).
  • The Poisson distribution gives France a massive 92% chance of scoring more goals, versus Sweden’s 8%.
  • Prediction advice suggests a combo of France victory and over 1.5 total goals.
  • France's average goals per match (2.36) comfortably exceed Sweden’s (1.75), hinting at a high-scoring affair.
  • No head-to-head history exists between these sides in the data, making this a fresh encounter.
  • Betano offers the best odds for a France win at just 1.30, reflecting their strong favourite status.
Last Updated: 28 Jun 2026 07:20 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
9 Corners 1
13 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1
25 Shots 6
12 Shots on Goal 2
0 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goals 0
0 Goals Conceded 3
1 Clean Sheets 0
world cup standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#4
5
3
0
2
2
9
#31
1
0
0
1
-3
0