France vs Sweden
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K. Mbappé
45'
B. Barcola
53'
K. Mbappé
74'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Combo Winner : France and +1.5 goals
France are heading into this World Cup match in mixed form. They won their last game 4-1, but that came after two losses, including a 3-0 defeat. They have had a few high-scoring games recently, which suggests their matches can be open. Sweden, on the other hand, are really struggling. They have lost their last two games by heavy 5-1 scorelines and only just managed a draw in their other recent match. They are conceding a lot of goals and look short of confidence.
This match feels very one-sided. France have much more quality and are playing at home, while Sweden are in terrible shape and have been leaking goals. The game is likely to be quite open with several goals, and France should win this comfortably.
Last Updated: 28 Jun 2026 07:20 PM
Substitutes for France M. Gusto
' Out: J. Kounde
75
D. Doue
' Out: O. Dembele
75
T. Hernandez
' Out: L. Digne
78
Jean-Philippe Mateta
85' Out: K. Mbappé
85
R. Cherki
' Out: M. Olise
85
Substitutes for Sweden T. Ali
' Out: E. Stroud
66
B. Zeneli
' Out: L. Bergvall
66
M. Svanberg
' Out: D. Svensson
82
B. Nygren
' Out: Y. Ayari
82
G. Nilsson
' Out: A. Isak
89
REFEREE
D. Makkelie
- France are the heavy favourites with a 68.5% overall advantage over Sweden (31.5%).
- Les Bleus have a 45% chance of winning outright, but the draw also stands at 45%.
- Sweden’s chance of victory is just 10%, making them the clear underdogs.
- France have been inconsistent recently, winning only one of their last five matches (1-4 vs an opponent).
- Sweden are winless in their last three games, with two heavy 5-1 defeats and a 1-1 draw.
- The defensive comparison heavily favours France (78%) over Sweden (22%), suggesting a tight backline.
- France average more shots per game (14.90) than Sweden (12.67) and hold slightly higher possession (52.6% vs 48.3%).
- The Poisson distribution gives France a massive 92% chance of scoring more goals, versus Sweden’s 8%.
- Prediction advice suggests a combo of France victory and over 1.5 total goals.
- France's average goals per match (2.36) comfortably exceed Sweden’s (1.75), hinting at a high-scoring affair.
- No head-to-head history exists between these sides in the data, making this a fresh encounter.
- Betano offers the best odds for a France win at just 1.30, reflecting their strong favourite status.
1/
0/
0
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Total
Per Match
9
Corners
1
9
Corners
1
13
Fouls
10
13
Fouls
10
3
Offsides
1
3
Offsides
1
25
Shots
6
25
Shots
6
12
Shots on Goal
2
12
Shots on Goal
2
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goals
0
3
Goals
0
0
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goals Conceded
3
1
Clean Sheets
0
1
Clean Sheets
0
Last matches for FRA
World Cup 2026-2027 - Knockout Stage
18 JUL, 2026
France
4
England
6
L
World Cup 2026-2027 - Knockout Stage
14 JUL, 2026
France
0
Spain
2
L
World Cup 2026-2027 - Knockout Stage
09 JUL, 2026
France
2
Morocco
0
W
World Cup 2026-2027 - Knockout Stage
04 JUL, 2026
France
1
Paraguay
0
W
World Cup 2026-2027 - Knockout Stage
30 JUN, 2026
France
3
Sweden
0
W
World Cup 2026-2027
26 JUN, 2026
France
4
Norway
1
W
World Cup 2026-2027
22 JUN, 2026
France
3
Iraq
0
W
World Cup 2022-2023 - Knockout Stage
18 DEC, 2022
France
3
Argentina
3
D
World Cup 2022-2023 - Knockout Stage
10 DEC, 2022
France
2
England
1
W
World Cup 2022-2023
30 NOV, 2022
France
0
Tunisia
1
L
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W
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PTS
