Form and context

GO Ahead Eagles host Telstar at De Adelaarshorst on Friday. The home side's recent run in all competitions has been mixed: a 4-1 loss at PEC Zwolle on 18 October followed a 3-3 draw with Sparta Rotterdam, and they also drew with NEC Nijmegen, Groningen and Utrecht. Telstar's last five in all competitions brought a 3-4 home defeat to Feyenoord, a 2-2 draw with ADO Den Haag, and narrow 1-0 losses at AZ Alkmaar and Twente, plus a 0-0 at Heerenveen.

Team news

• GO Ahead Eagles: Jasper Cillessen has joined the club as a new goalkeeper on a free transfer after leaving NEC last summer. He replaces Nick Marsman, who has suffered an injury and will not return for the time being. Cillessen will compete with Kjetil Haug, who has yet to convince, for the regular place in goal.
• Telstar: No confirmed team news yet.

What the numbers say

• GO Ahead Eagles average 2.1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded across the matches counted in all competitions.
• Telstar average 1.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded across the matches counted in all competitions.
• The head to head is even: the last meeting, on 8 February 2026, ended 1-1, while Telstar won 4-2 in September 2025 and GO Ahead Eagles won the two earlier meetings.
• The prediction model gives the home side 45%, the draw 45% and the away side 10%.

Our view

GO Ahead Eagles have been drawing frequently but scoring regularly, while Telstar have found goals harder to come by and have lost several tight away games. The goalkeeper situation at De Adelaarshorst adds interest, with Cillessen arriving to compete with Haug after Marsman's injury.

Most likely outcome: home win - the model favours GO Ahead Eagles, and Telstar's low scoring rate in all competitions is a concern.