Form and context

Valladolid host Leganes at the Estadio Jose Zorrilla on matchday 12 of LaLiga Hypermotion, with both clubs on 12 points and looking to move away from the lower reaches of the table. Valladolid have lost their last two league games and were beaten twice at home in the league this season, by Oviedo and Eldense, while they have not managed a win away from home. Leganes arrive with a new coach, Luis Carrion, and drew 1-1 with Mallorca in his first game in charge.

Team news

• Valladolid: David Torres is suspended and Latasa and De Rooij are injured, with De Rooij out after an ankle sprain picked up in the Copa del Rey. Miguel Rubio, Chacon and Dani Perez are back and ready to start, while Ryotaro Ito is available but lacks match rhythm after not competing since May.
• Leganes: Alvaro Morata returns after serving his suspension. Miguel Atienza and Lalo Aguilar are out, while Alvaro Tejero and Ignasi Miquel are doubtful and will be assessed.

What the numbers say

• Valladolid's last five in all competitions: a 1-0 win at Covadonga, then a 2-1 loss at Granada, a 3-2 home defeat to Eldense, a 5-0 home win over Albacete and a 2-2 draw at Las Palmas.
• Leganes' last five in all competitions: a 1-1 draw with Mallorca, then a 0-1 home loss to Cordoba, a 3-0 loss at Almeria, a 4-0 loss at Cadiz and a 0-2 home defeat to Castellon.
• In the head to head, Valladolid won the most recent meeting 3-2, Leganes won the two before that 3-0, and three of the previous eight ended level.
• Valladolid average 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded across their last 10; Leganes average 0.6 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Our view

Valladolid have the stronger recent attacking output and welcome back several options, but they must cope without Torres, Latasa and De Rooij. Leganes have struggled for goals and wins, though the coaching change and Morata's return give Carrion fresh choices. Escriba expects a very even game and warned that Leganes are a squad called to be much higher up.

Most likely outcome: home win - Valladolid's greater scoring rate and home advantage edge a tight contest against a Leganes side still finding its feet.