Malaga vs Levante
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Double chance : draw or Levante
Malaga are having a tough time lately. They have lost their last two league games, including a heavy 4-0 defeat, and have only managed one win in their last five matches overall. Levante, on the other hand, are also struggling, having lost three of their last four away games, but they did manage to hold their own with a 0-0 draw in their most recent away trip.
Their past meetings have often been tight, with two draws in their last four encounters, but also a couple of higher-scoring games like a 4-2 result. Neither team is in great form, and with the away side looking slightly more solid defensively, this match feels very close. It is most likely to end in a draw, though Levante has a slight edge to sneak a win.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
Substitutes for Malaga I. Merino
59' Out: P. Martinez
59
J. Munoz
' Out: J. Cruz
59
C. Puga
67' Out: Rafita
67
Ramón Enríquez
67' Out: D. Lorenzo
67
J. Cajuste
' Out: C. Dotor
86
Substitutes for Levante Y. Musuayi
' Out: I. Romero
60
H. Sotelo
' Out: E. Bardeli
77
J. Toljan
' Out: N. Perez
77
P. Cortes
' Out: T. Fernandez
77
D. Requena
' Out: J. A. Olasagasti
86
- Levante enters as clear favorite, with 45% win probability versus Malaga's mere 10% - a draw is also priced at 45%.
- Recent head-to-heads heavily favor Levante: they've won 2 of the last 4 meetings while Malaga has yet to beat them since 2022.
- Malaga are winless in their last 4 La Liga matches, recording 2 defeats and 2 draws.
- Levante's away form is poor, with 4 losses in their last 5 road trips - but they still hold an 80% form advantage in this matchup.
- The most recent clash ended 1-1, but Levante also produced a decisive 4-2 victory in November 2024.
- Average goals are nearly identical: Levante scores 1.05 per game, Malaga just 0.98 - expect a tight, low-scoring affair.
- Levante edge Malaga in attack and defense ratings, with 83% and 58% superiority respectively.
- Both teams share nearly equal possession stats (50.10% vs 49.53%), suggesting a balanced midfield battle despite the odds.
- Malaga's only recent win came in June 2026 (1-2), but they were then shut out in consecutive August defeats.
- Levante have struggled to keep clean sheets away from home, conceding at least twice in their last 3 road losses.
- The odds market backs a draw or Levante outcome strongly, with Unibet offering 1.60 on that double chance.
- Prediction comparisons show Levante dominating every category except Poisson distribution, making them massive value despite being away.
0/
3/
2
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Total
Per Match
27
Corners
29
5.4
Corners
5.8
70
Fouls
68
14
Fouls
13.6
9
Offsides
14
1.8
Offsides
2.8
55
Shots
72
11
Shots
14.4
16
Shots on Goal
21
3.2
Shots on Goal
4.2
12
Yellow Cards
11
2.4
Yellow Cards
2.2
2
Red Cards
1
0.4
Red Cards
0.2
3
Goals
6
0.6
Goals
1.2
6
Goals Conceded
3
1.2
Goals Conceded
0.6
2
Clean Sheets
3
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.6
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1
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1
D
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1
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3
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1
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1
D
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0
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0
D
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Malaga
0
Real Madrid
4
L
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24 AUG, 2026
Malaga
1
Deportivo La Coruna
1
D
Last matches for LEV
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25 OCT, 2026
Levante
1
Real Sociedad
2
L
La Liga 2026-2027
21 OCT, 2026
Levante
3
Athletic Club
1
W
La Liga 2026-2027
16 OCT, 2026
Levante
1
Deportivo La Coruna
1
D
La Liga 2026-2027
12 OCT, 2026
Levante
3
Sevilla
3
D
La Liga 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Levante
1
Villarreal
3
L
La Liga 2026-2027
13 SEP, 2026
Levante
2
Barcelona
4
L
La Liga 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Levante
0
Malaga
0
D
La Liga 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
Levante
5
Real Betis
2
W
La Liga 2026-2027
24 AUG, 2026
Levante
0
Osasuna
0
D
La Liga 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Levante
2
Mallorca
0
W
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