Sunderland vs Manchester United
Double chance : draw or Manchester United
Sunderland welcome Manchester United to the Stadium of Light. The home side have had a mixed run recently, with a big win followed by two defeats. They have been involved in some high-scoring games, which suggests they can be open at the back. Manchester United, on the other hand, are in patchy form, having lost their last two matches. Their games have also seen plenty of goals, including a recent 3-2 defeat.
The last time these two teams met, Manchester United won comfortably with a 2-0 scoreline. Given that recent history and the fact that Sunderland have been struggling for consistency, this looks like a very tight contest. A draw seems the most likely outcome, with Manchester United slightly more likely to edge a win than Sunderland.
Last Updated: 07 May 2026 07:21 AMREFEREE
S. Attwell
STADIUM
Stadium of Light
LOCATION
Sunderland
- The match prediction gives Manchester United a significant edge, with bookies offering a top "Draw/Away" double chance at 1.28 odds.
- Manchester United have a dominant 59% form advantage over Sunderland's 41% in recent matches.
- Sunderland come into this game with mixed form, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five league outings.
- In their last head-to-head meeting, Manchester United secured a 2-0 victory on home soil in October 2025.
- Manchester United average 1.58 goals per match compared to Sunderland's 1.42, offering a slight edge in attacking output.
- The visitors also hold a 56% advantage in attacking stats and a 61% edge in defensive performance.
- Despite their overall lower stats, Sunderland have a strong home record recently, with a dominant 5-0 away win and a 1-1 draw in their last two.
- Median stats suggest a physical battle: Sunderland average 1 yellow card per game, while Manchester United average 4.
- Manchester United's road form is mixed, having lost their last two matches before this fixture.
- Sunderland average a slightly higher possession (53.71%) than Manchester United (52.92%), suggesting they control play well at home.
- The overall prediction gives Manchester United a 45% chance to win and the same probability for a draw.
- Poisson distribution slightly favors Manchester United (51% vs 49%), indicating a tight contest.
Last matches for SUN
Premier League 2026-2027
Sunderland
0
Leeds
0
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
Sunderland
1
Lech Poznan
1
Premier League 2026-2027
Sunderland
0
Bournemouth
2
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
Sunderland
2
Torreense
1
Premier League 2026-2027
Sunderland
0
Brighton
2
Premier League 2026-2027
Sunderland
3
Manchester City
5
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
Sunderland
1
AZ Alkmaar
0
Premier League 2026-2027
Sunderland
0
Arsenal
2
League Cup 2026-2027
Sunderland
1
Hull City
0
Premier League 2026-2027
Sunderland
1
Brentford
1
Last matches for MAN
Premier League 2026-2027
Manchester United
0
Bournemouth
3
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Manchester United
1
Como
4
Premier League 2026-2027
Manchester United
1
Leeds
1
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Manchester United
0
Atletico Madrid
2
Premier League 2026-2027
Manchester United
1
Tottenham
1
Premier League 2026-2027
Manchester United
1
Fulham
1
League Cup 2026-2027
Manchester United
2
Brighton
3
Premier League 2026-2027
Manchester United
0
Manchester City
1
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Manchester United
4
Sabah FA
0
Premier League 2026-2027
Manchester United
2
Everton
2
