Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama
Artur
68'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
|
Probability %
1
x
2
44%
28%
28%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.44
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
56%
44%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.44
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
|
HТ/FT Probability %
24%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
51%
49%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.44
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
|
Probability %
61%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.44
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo are going through a rough patch and have lost most of their recent matches. Vasco da Gama have had mixed results, with some wins and a draw, but also a heavy defeat. When these two teams meet, the games often have plenty of goals, though a couple of the most recent meetings were tighter.
Overall, this looks like a close match that could go either way, with neither team clearly in great form. Based on the recent results and the head-to-head record, a draw seems like the most likely outcome.
Last Updated: 15 Oct 2026 07:22 PM
Substitutes for Sao Paulo
' Out: Luciano
45
Sabino
' Out: R. Toloi
45
Pablo Maia
' Out: Marcos Antonio
71
Gustavo Santana
' Out: Jonathan Calleri
80
Luis Osorio
89' Out: Artur
89
Substitutes for Vasco DA Gama
' Out: Paulo Henrique
45
Brenner
' Out: Bruno Duarte
62
Thiago Mendes
' Out: Tche Tche
74
Jair
' Out: S. Sosa
74
Adson
' Out: A. Lescano
89
REFEREE
F. Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho
STADIUM
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi)
LOCATION
São Paulo, São Paulo
- Sao Paulo host Vasco da Gama in Serie A 2026-2027, with both sides desperate for points.
- Vasco da Gama have dominated this fixture, winning five of the last seven head-to-head meetings.
- Sao Paulo have lost four of their last five matches, conceding in each defeat.
- Vasco da Gama's recent form is mixed: two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five.
- Sao Paulo average 1.35 goals per game, slightly more than Vasco's 1.18 in the league.
- Vasco's 5-0 defeat to an unnamed opponent on September 19 is a major defensive concern.
- Sao Paulo hold a higher average possession (58.09%) compared to Vasco's 50.80%.
- The most recent H2H saw Vasco win 2-1 away at Sao Paulo in April 2026.
- Prediction models give Vasco a 63% form advantage and a 70% defensive advantage.
- Double Chance (Draw or Vasco) is the recommended bet, priced at 1.78 with Betano.
- Only 10% of prediction percent favours a Sao Paulo win, with draw and away at 45% each.
- Vasco have scored in four of their last five, while Sao Paulo have failed to score in two of their last five.
3/
2/
3
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Sao Paulo
1
–
0
18 Oct, 2026
Serie A 2026-2027
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
2
–
1
18 Apr, 2026
Serie A 2026-2027
Serie A 2026-2027
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
3
–
0
17 Oct, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
4
–
1
23 Jun, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
0
–
0
07 Oct, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
4
–
2
20 May, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
1
–
1
22 Nov, 2020
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
2
–
1
16 Aug, 2020
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Sao Paulo
Total
Per Match
35
Corners
40
4.4
Corners
5
93
Fouls
111
11.6
Fouls
13.9
6
Offsides
10
0.8
Offsides
1.3
96
Shots
97
12
Shots
12.1
34
Shots on Goal
29
4.3
Shots on Goal
3.6
14
Yellow Cards
19
1.8
Yellow Cards
2.4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
12
Goals
11
1.5
Goals
1.4
11
Goals Conceded
12
1.4
Goals Conceded
1.5
3
Clean Sheets
1
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.1
Last matches for SAO
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Sao Paulo
1
Vasco DA Gama
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Sao Paulo
2
Vitoria
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
08 OCT, 2026
Sao Paulo
0
Cruzeiro
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
02 OCT, 2026
Sao Paulo
1
Santos
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Sao Paulo
1
Internacional
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Sao Paulo
0
Palmeiras
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Sao Paulo
2
Atletico-MG
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Sao Paulo
0
Chapecoense-sc
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
08 AUG, 2026
Sao Paulo
1
Gremio
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
26 JUL, 2026
Sao Paulo
1
Flamengo
1
D
Last matches for VAS
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
0
Sao Paulo
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
0
remo
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
07 OCT, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
2
Botafogo
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
5
Coritiba
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
2
Gremio
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
0
Fluminense
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
3
Cruzeiro
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
1
Palmeiras
4
L
Serie A 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
0
Santos
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
25 JUL, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
1
Mirassol
1
D
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
2.22
Pinnacle
3.42
1xBet
3.50
Bet365
97.22 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.22
3.39
3.47
96.75%
Bet365
2.20
3.20
3.50
94.99%
1xBet
Bonus
2.18
3.42
3.44
95.99%
William Hill
2.15
3.10
3.25
91.29%
Marathonbet
2.11
3.32
3.34
93.06%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.91
Pinnacle
2.19
Pinnacle
4.19
Pinnacle
96.25 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.91
2.19
4.19
96.25%
Bet365
2.88
2.05
4.00
92.16%
Marathonbet
2.75
2.02
4.05
90.45%
1xBet
Bonus
2.75
2.02
4.05
90.45%
William Hill
2.50
2.15
3.90
89.16%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.50
William Hill
2.38
Bet365
3.65
Marathonbet
91.40 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
2.50
2.25
3.50
88.48%
Bet365
2.50
2.38
3.50
90.43%
Marathonbet
2.48
2.34
3.65
90.53%
1xBet
Bonus
2.48
2.34
3.65
90.53%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.23
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
98.05 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.23
1.69
12.04%
1xBet
Bonus
2.19
1.71
4.83%
Marathonbet
2.13
1.67
5.34%
Bet365
2.05
1.75
13.67%
HIGHEST ODDS
8.00
Bet365
1.08
William Hill
95.15 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
8.00
1.08
23.63%
William Hill
7.50
1.08
23.58%
Marathonbet
7.20
1.04
18.34%
1xBet
Bonus
7.20
1.04
9.21%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
19.08%
HIGHEST ODDS
5.35
Marathonbet
1.17
Bet365
96.00 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
5.35
1.09
18.31%
1xBet
Bonus
5.35
1.09
9.20%
William Hill
5.00
1.14
23.34%
Bet365
5.00
1.17
23.63%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.58
Pinnacle
2.49
Pinnacle
96.66 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.58
2.49
9.65%
1xBet
Bonus
1.57
2.48
6.08%
Bet365
1.55
2.38
7.27%
Marathonbet
1.52
2.40
6.05%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.62
Pinnacle
2.36
Pinnacle
96.06 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.62
2.36
19.23%
Bet365
1.60
2.30
11.78%
Marathonbet
1.57
2.22
13.07%
1xBet
Bonus
1.57
2.22
11.43%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.56
Marathonbet
2.24
Marathonbet
91.96 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
1.56
2.24
11.43%
1xBet
Bonus
1.56
2.24
11.43%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.85
William Hill
1.95
Bet365
94.93 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
William Hill
1.85
1.85
92.50%
Marathonbet
1.85
1.83
92.00%
1xBet
Bonus
1.85
1.85
92.50%
Bet365
1.80
1.95
93.60%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.32
1xBet
1.33
William Hill
1.70
1xBet
47.67 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
1.32
1.32
1.70
47.54%
William Hill
1.30
1.33
1.67
47.17%
Marathonbet
1.30
1.30
1.67
46.79%
Bet365
1.28
1.33
1.67
46.91%

