Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama

Sao Paulo
l w l l w
1 - 0
1.26
xG
0.92
Full Time
Vasco DA Gama
l w w w d
Artur
68'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
Probability %
1 x 2
44%
28%
28%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
2.44
Score Pred.
2-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
56%
44%
Pred
Under
Avg. Goal
2.44
Score Pred.
2-0
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
HТ/FT Probability %
24%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
2-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
Probability %
Yes/ No
51%
49%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
2.44
Score Pred.
2-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
Probability %
61%
Pred
Home +0
Avg. Goal
2.44
Score Pred.
2-0

Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama

Sao Paulo are going through a rough patch and have lost most of their recent matches. Vasco da Gama have had mixed results, with some wins and a draw, but also a heavy defeat. When these two teams meet, the games often have plenty of goals, though a couple of the most recent meetings were tighter.

Overall, this looks like a close match that could go either way, with neither team clearly in great form. Based on the recent results and the head-to-head record, a draw seems like the most likely outcome.

Last Updated: 15 Oct 2026 07:22 PM
starting lineups
 
Rafael
 
R. Toloi
 
Newton
6.67
 
Iago Borduchi
 
Marcos Antonio
 
Pedro Lima
8.2
 
Artur
 
Luciano
 
Jonathan Calleri
 
Leo Jardim
 
Cuiabano
 
Robert Renan
5.96
 
Gabriel Pereira
 
Paulo Henrique
 
S. Sosa
 
Tche Tche
6.11
 
F. Colidio
 
A. Lescano
 
Bruno Duarte
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Sao Paulo
' Out: Luciano
45
Sabino
' Out: R. Toloi
45
Pablo Maia
' Out: Marcos Antonio
71
Gustavo Santana
' Out: Jonathan Calleri
80
Luis Osorio
89' Out: Artur
89
Substitutes for Vasco DA Gama
' Out: Paulo Henrique
45
Brenner
' Out: Bruno Duarte
62
Thiago Mendes
' Out: Tche Tche
74
Jair
' Out: S. Sosa
74
Adson
' Out: A. Lescano
89
statistics
40 Ball Possession 60
1 Goals 0
1.26 Expected Goals 0.92
match facts

REFEREE

F. Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho

STADIUM

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi)

LOCATION

São Paulo, São Paulo

  • Sao Paulo host Vasco da Gama in Serie A 2026-2027, with both sides desperate for points.
  • Vasco da Gama have dominated this fixture, winning five of the last seven head-to-head meetings.
  • Sao Paulo have lost four of their last five matches, conceding in each defeat.
  • Vasco da Gama's recent form is mixed: two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five.
  • Sao Paulo average 1.35 goals per game, slightly more than Vasco's 1.18 in the league.
  • Vasco's 5-0 defeat to an unnamed opponent on September 19 is a major defensive concern.
  • Sao Paulo hold a higher average possession (58.09%) compared to Vasco's 50.80%.
  • The most recent H2H saw Vasco win 2-1 away at Sao Paulo in April 2026.
  • Prediction models give Vasco a 63% form advantage and a 70% defensive advantage.
  • Double Chance (Draw or Vasco) is the recommended bet, priced at 1.78 with Betano.
  • Only 10% of prediction percent favours a Sao Paulo win, with draw and away at 45% each.
  • Vasco have scored in four of their last five, while Sao Paulo have failed to score in two of their last five.
Last Updated: 15 Oct 2026 07:22 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
35 Corners 40
93 Fouls 111
6 Offsides 10
96 Shots 97
34 Shots on Goal 29
14 Yellow Cards 19
0 Red Cards 0
12 Goals 11
11 Goals Conceded 12
3 Clean Sheets 1
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#9
31
12
6
13
1
42
#13
31
9
9
13
-7
36
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

2.22
Pinnacle
3.42
1xBet
3.50
Bet365
97.22 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.22
3.39
3.47
96.75%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.20
3.20
3.50
94.99%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.18
3.42
3.44
95.99%
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.15
3.10
3.25
91.29%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.11
3.32
3.34
93.06%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.91
Pinnacle
2.19
Pinnacle
4.19
Pinnacle
96.25 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.91
2.19
4.19
96.25%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.88
2.05
4.00
92.16%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.75
2.02
4.05
90.45%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.75
2.02
4.05
90.45%
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.50
2.15
3.90
89.16%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.50
William Hill
2.38
Bet365
3.65
Marathonbet
91.40 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.50
2.25
3.50
88.48%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.50
2.38
3.50
90.43%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.48
2.34
3.65
90.53%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.48
2.34
3.65
90.53%