Sao Paulo vs Vitoria

Sao Paulo
w l w l l
2 - 1
1.8
xG
0.52
Full Time
Vitoria
l w d l w
Jonathan Calleri
20'
Jonathan Calleri
70'
Emmanuel Martinez
39'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Sao Paulo or draw

Sao Paulo have been having a rough time lately, losing most of their recent games, and they've also lost two of their last three meetings with Vitoria. Vitoria aren't in great form either, with several losses of their own, though they did manage a win and a draw not long ago. When these two have met recently, the games have usually had a couple of goals, so it could be an open match rather than a cagey one.

Overall this looks like a close game between two teams who are both struggling, and it's hard to see a clear winner. Sao Paulo have home advantage and a slight edge, but a draw seems just as likely, with Vitoria the least likely to come away with the win.

Last Updated: 08 Oct 2026 07:21 PM
starting lineups
 
Rafael
6.81
 
Sabino
 
Newton
6.14
 
Iago Borduchi
6.66
 
D. Ferreira
 
Lucas Ramon
6.44
 
Gustavo Santana
 
Artur
9.39
 
Jonathan Calleri
 
Lucas Arcanjo
 
Jamerson
 
Luan Candido
5.99
 
Caca
 
Matheusinho
 
Caíque
 
Lucas Silva
5.85
 
Matheuzinho
7.97
 
Emmanuel Martinez
 
Erick
 
Renê
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Sao Paulo
59' Out: D. Ferreira
59
Marcos Antonio
' Out: Lucas Ramon
59
' Out: Artur
75
Pedro Lima
75' Out: Gustavo Santana
75
R. Toloi
' Out:
84
Substitutes for Vitoria
T. Pochettino
' Out: Lucas Silva
69
' Out: Caíque
78
Renato Kayzer
' Out: Renê
79
Alex Bruno
90' Out: Emmanuel Martinez
90
statistics
55 Ball Possession 45
2 Goals 1
1.80 Expected Goals 0.52
match facts

REFEREE

L. Casagrande

  • Sao Paulo host Vitoria in the Serie A 2026-2027 campaign, though the stadium is yet to be confirmed.
  • Vitoria have won the last two head-to-head meetings, including a 2-0 victory in April 2026.
  • Sao Paulo have lost four of their last five matches, with their only win coming away at Vitoria's rivals in a 1-2 result.
  • Vitoria's recent form is equally shaky: one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five.
  • Sao Paulo average 1.34 goals per game this season, slightly ahead of Vitoria's 1.12.
  • The hosts also edge the shot count with 13.72 per game compared to Vitoria's 13.54.
  • Sao Paulo dominate possession with an average of 58.10%, while Vitoria sit at 48.85%.
  • Recent median stats show Vitoria enjoying more shots (16 vs 12) and possession (59% vs 41%) than Sao Paulo.
  • Vitoria also pick up more yellow cards on average (3 vs 2) in recent matches.
  • Prediction models give Sao Paulo a 45% win chance and the draw 45%, leaving Vitoria with just 10%.
  • The advice is a double chance on Sao Paulo or draw, with the best odds at 1.17 from Betano.
  • Poisson distribution heavily favours Sao Paulo at 81% versus Vitoria's 19%.
Last Updated: 08 Oct 2026 07:21 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
24 Corners 9
44 Fouls 42
4 Offsides 2
69 Shots 42
22 Shots on Goal 14
11 Yellow Cards 10
1 Red Cards 1
7 Goals 5
5 Goals Conceded 7
0 Clean Sheets 1
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#9
31
12
6
13
1
42
#15
30
10
6
14
-11
36