Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama
Double chance : Palmeiras or draw
Palmeiras are coming into this match having won three of their last five games, although their most recent outing ended in a narrow defeat. Vasco da Gama, on the other hand, are in strong shape, with a convincing win in their last match and only one loss in their recent run. Their head-to-head meetings have often been tight and low-scoring, with several games decided by a single goal and a couple of draws, suggesting goals might be hard to come by again.
Given that Palmeiras are playing at home and have a good record against Vasco in recent meetings, they appear to be the stronger side. However, Vasco are tough to beat and have shown they can grind out results, making this a fairly close contest. Palmeiras are the more likely winners, but a draw would not be a surprise outcome.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
Substitutes for Palmeiras
Substitutes for Vasco DA Gama REFEREE
B. da Silva Machado
- Palmeiras are strong favourites at home, with the prediction giving them a 45% win probability, while Vasco da Gama are rated at just 10%.
- The stats heavily favour the hosts: Palmeiras average 1.49 goals per game compared to Vasco's 1.13, and they also register more shots (15.47 vs 12.20).
- Palmeiras dominate possession on average (53.24%), and their median possession in matches is 54%, compared to Vasco's 46%.
- Form is clearly in Palmeiras' favour, with the comparison giving them a 78% edge over Vasco's 22% based on recent results.
- The attacking comparison is heavily one-sided-Palmeiras hold a 91% advantage over Vasco, who are rated at just 9%.
- Defensively, the two sides are evenly matched, with both teams rated at 50% in the pre-match defensive comparison.
- The Poisson distribution model gives Palmeiras a 74% chance of outscoring Vasco, while the visitors are rated at just 26%.
- Head-to-head history strongly favours the home side, with Palmeiras holding an 80% edge; however, Vasco won the most recent meeting 2-1 in March 2026.
- Palmeiras have won three of their last five matches, including a 4-0 away victory and a 3-1 away win, but lost their most recent game 3-2.
- Vasco are unbeaten in their last four league games, with their only recent loss coming away from home, a 1-0 defeat.
- The prediction advice suggests a "Double Chance: Palmeiras or Draw" bet, and the bookmaker Betano offers odds of 1.18 for this outcome.
- Both teams have identical records in their last five matches-each with two wins, two draws, and one loss-though Palmeiras have scored more goals overall.
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A 2026-2027
Palmeiras
Serie A 2024-2025
Palmeiras
Serie A 2024-2025
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A 2023-2024
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A 2023-2024
Palmeiras
Serie A 2020-2021
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A 2020-2021
Palmeiras
Last matches for PAL
Serie A 2026-2027
Palmeiras
0
Santos
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Palmeiras
2
RB Bragantino
0
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026-2027
Palmeiras
0
Fluminense
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Palmeiras
2
Atletico Paranaense
0
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026-2027
Palmeiras
2
Fluminense
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Palmeiras
4
Corinthians
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Palmeiras
1
Bahia
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Palmeiras
0
Gremio
0
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026-2027
Palmeiras
2
LDU de Quito
3
Serie A 2026-2027
Palmeiras
2
Sao Paulo
0
Last matches for VAS
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
1
Flamengo
4
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
3
Corinthians
2
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
1
Boca Juniors
3
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
0
Sao Paulo
1
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
1
Boca Juniors
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
0
remo
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
2
Botafogo
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
5
Coritiba
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
2
Gremio
1
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
0
Santa Fe
0
