Form and context

Tamworth and Scunthorpe meet in the National League on Tuesday evening with both sides looking for consistency. Tamworth's last five in all competitions have brought two wins and three defeats, while Scunthorpe have won two of their last five in all competitions, including a 3-1 victory at Boston United on 17 October.

Scunthorpe were beaten 3-2 at home by Woking on 24 October, their most recent outing, and have had the shorter turnaround of the two teams.

Team news

• Tamworth: No confirmed team news yet.
• Scunthorpe: No confirmed team news yet.

What the numbers say

• Tamworth have averaged 1.4 goals for and 2.1 against across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• Scunthorpe's record over the same span reads 1.4 goals for and 1.9 against per game in all competitions.
• Scunthorpe have won both previous meetings, 3-1 in December 2025 and 2-1 in August 2025.
• The prediction model splits this one almost evenly: 35% home win, 35% draw, 30% away win.

Our view

Tamworth's recent run has been mixed and their defensive numbers are the weaker of the two, with 2.1 goals conceded per game across their last 10 in all competitions. Scunthorpe arrive off a defeat but have shown more scoring punch in patches, and their head-to-head record against Tamworth is a clear positive.

With the model giving the home side only a narrow edge and the draw equally likely, this looks tight, but Scunthorpe's history in this fixture tilts it slightly their way.

Most likely outcome: draw - the model rates a home win and a draw equally at 35%, and little separates the two teams' recent numbers.