Bournemouth vs AC Milan
J. Kluivert
8'
M. Tavernier
32'
A. Adli
84'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bournemouth
AC Milan
|
Probability %
1
x
2
49%
26%
25%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.91
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bournemouth
AC Milan
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
44%
56%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.91
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bournemouth
AC Milan
|
HТ/FT Probability %
30%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bournemouth
AC Milan
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
57%
43%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.91
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bournemouth
AC Milan
|
Probability %
61%
|
Pred
Away -1
|
Avg. Goal
2.91
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Double chance : Bournemouth or draw
Form and context
Bournemouth host AC Milan at the Vitality Stadium on Matchday 3 of the UEFA Europa League 2026-2027. Marco Rose's side have won their first two European matches and come off back-to-back home clean sheets, while Milan arrive after a 4-0 win at Red Bull Salzburg and a 3-2 Serie A victory over Atalanta.
Team news
- Bournemouth: Julian Araujo, Alex Scott and Junior Kroupi are unavailable. No further confirmed team news yet.
- AC Milan: Alexis Saelemaekers and Matteo Gabbia are long-term absentees and Filippo Terracciano is suspended. Ruben Amorim is expected to rotate heavily, with chances possibly for Fikayo Tomori, Ardon Jashari and Ruben Loftus-Cheek, while Luka Modric or Mario Gila could rest.
What the numbers say
- Bournemouth have three wins and two defeats in their last five in all competitions, scoring eight and conceding seven.
- Milan have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five in all competitions, scoring 10 and conceding five.
- Bournemouth have scored in 17 of their last 18 matches, and six of their last eight games featured at least three goals.
- Milan have drawn three of their last four away fixtures and are unbeaten in four games.
Our view
Bournemouth's home form and six-point European start give them a platform, but Milan's scoring run and squad depth make this a tight contest. Rotation on the Milan side adds uncertainty to the picture.
Most likely outcome: draw - Milan's strong away record and Bournemouth's home solidity point to a share of the points.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 07:31 PM6.3
7.12
6.64
7.09
4.76
6.4
5.64
5.6
Substitutes for Bournemouth L. Cook
61' Out: T. Adams
61
Rayan
62' Out: M. Tavernier
62
A. Toth
62' Out: J. Kluivert
62
A. Rodriguez
' Out: Evanilson
66
A. Adli
77' Out: A. Toth
77
Substitutes for AC Milan L. Torriani
' Out: O. Hutchinson
32
D. Bartesaghi
45' Out: P. Estupinan
45
Adrien Rabiot
' Out: R. Loftus-Cheek
45
S. Diawara
66' Out: F. Tomori
66
C. Comotto
' Out: D. Moreira
76
REFEREE
V. Fotias
STADIUM
Vitality Stadium
LOCATION
Bournemouth, Dorset
- Bournemouth host AC Milan in the UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, with kickoff set for 19:00 GMT on October 22, 2026.
- There is no previous head-to-head record between Bournemouth and AC Milan.
- Bournemouth are in poor form, having lost their last three matches, including a 5-1 defeat on October 10.
- AC Milan have been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games.
- Bournemouth average 1.13 goals per game this season.
- AC Milan average 1.48 goals per game, slightly higher than Bournemouth.
- AC Milan average 53.56% possession compared to Bournemouth's 46.16%.
- AC Milan average 14.33 shots per game, while Bournemouth average 13.46.
- In form comparison, Bournemouth hold a 67% advantage over AC Milan's 33%.
- Prediction models favor a double chance of Bournemouth win or draw, with both outcomes at 45% probability.
- AC Milan are given just a 10% chance of winning this match.
- The prediction advice is double chance: Bournemouth or draw, with the best available odds at 1.38 from Marathonbet.
1/
0/
0
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Total
Per Match
6
Corners
4
6
Corners
4
18
Fouls
15
18
Fouls
15
2
Offsides
1
2
Offsides
1
20
Shots
3
20
Shots
3
7
Shots on Goal
0
7
Shots on Goal
0
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
3
Goals
0
3
Goals
0
0
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goals Conceded
3
1
Clean Sheets
0
1
Clean Sheets
0
Last matches for BOU
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
22 OCT, 2026
Bournemouth
3
AC Milan
0
W
Premier League 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Bournemouth
2
Sunderland
0
W
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
15 OCT, 2026
Bournemouth
3
Sturm Graz
0
W
Premier League 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Bournemouth
1
Chelsea
5
L
Premier League 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Bournemouth
0
Liverpool
1
L
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
17 SEP, 2026
Bournemouth
2
Real Sociedad
1
W
Premier League 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Bournemouth
2
Brentford
2
D
Premier League 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Bournemouth
2
Newcastle
2
D
Premier League 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Bournemouth
1
Manchester City
2
L
Premier League 2025-2026
24 MAY, 2026
Bournemouth
1
Nottingham Forest
1
D
Last matches for ACM
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
22 OCT, 2026
AC Milan
0
Bournemouth
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
AC Milan
3
Atalanta
2
W
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
15 OCT, 2026
AC Milan
4
Red Bull Salzburg
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
AC Milan
1
Sassuolo
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
AC Milan
3
Lecce
0
W
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
16 SEP, 2026
AC Milan
0
Benfica
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
AC Milan
2
Lazio
2
D
Serie A 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
AC Milan
1
Juventus
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
28 AUG, 2026
AC Milan
2
Venezia
0
W
Serie A 2025-2026
24 MAY, 2026
AC Milan
1
Cagliari
2
L
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
2.14
Dafabet
4.02
Pinnacle
4.19
Pinnacle
104.74 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Dafabet
2.14
3.70
3.30
96.10%
1xBet
Bonus
1.87
3.97
4.18
97.48%
Marathonbet
1.86
3.95
4.15
96.92%
William Hill
1.85
3.60
3.80
92.47%
Betano
1.85
3.85
4.00
95.21%
Pinnacle
1.83
4.02
4.19
96.72%
SBO
1.82
3.58
3.82
91.70%
Bet365
1.80
3.90
4.00
94.16%
Betfair
1.80
3.80
4.00
93.57%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.40
Pinnacle
2.46
Pinnacle
4.63
Pinnacle
96.23 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.40
2.46
4.63
96.23%
SBO
2.39
2.30
3.92
90.23%
Bet365
2.38
2.38
4.33
93.35%
Betano
2.37
2.30
4.25
91.57%
Marathonbet
2.33
2.31
4.45
92.01%
1xBet
Bonus
2.33
2.31
4.45
92.01%
Betfair
2.30
2.25
4.20
89.50%
William Hill
2.25
2.38
4.00
89.72%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.25
William Hill
2.70
Betano
4.05
Marathonbet
94.19 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
2.25
2.50
3.80
90.29%
Bet365
2.20
2.60
3.60
89.53%
Marathonbet
2.15
2.67
4.05
92.03%
1xBet
Bonus
2.15
2.67
4.05
92.03%
Betano
2.12
2.70
3.85
90.76%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.75
1xBet
2.20
1xBet
97.47 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
1.75
2.20
4.47%
Bet365
1.73
2.10
11.97%
Betfair
1.73
2.05
15.59%
Pinnacle
1.73
2.17
12.03%
Marathonbet
1.72
2.16
5.11%
Betano
1.72
2.18
10.63%
SBO
1.71
2.17
31.98%
HIGHEST ODDS
6.50
Betfair
1.14
William Hill
96.99 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Betfair
6.50
1.08
30.87%
Bet365
6.00
1.12
23.65%
Marathonbet
5.85
1.10
18.87%
1xBet
Bonus
5.85
1.10
9.41%
William Hill
5.80
1.14
23.73%
Betano
5.60
1.14
15.81%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
19.03%
SBO
-
-
-
-
47.80%
HIGHEST ODDS
4.00
William Hill
1.27
Betano
96.39 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
William Hill
4.00
1.22
23.59%
Marathonbet
3.94
1.23
18.93%
1xBet
Bonus
3.94
1.23
8.59%
Bet365
3.75
1.25
18.85%
Betano
3.65
1.27
31.44%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.42
1xBet
3.18
Pinnacle
98.17 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
1.42
3.14
5.86%
Marathonbet
1.39
3.08
5.78%
Bet365
1.38
3.00
5.56%
Pinnacle
1.38
3.18
8.78%
Betfair
-
-
-
-
18.66%
SBO
-
-
-
-
32.14%
Betano
-
-
-
-
24.04%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.48
Bet365
2.83
Pinnacle
97.18 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.48
2.60
9.46%
Pinnacle
1.45
2.83
19.20%
Marathonbet
1.43
2.62
11.49%
1xBet
Bonus
1.43
2.62
11.48%
SBO
-
-
-
-
96.41%
Betano
-
-
-
-
47.52%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.42
Marathonbet
2.65
Marathonbet
92.46 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
1.42
2.65
10.20%
1xBet
Bonus
1.42
2.65
10.23%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.67
William Hill
2.20
Betfair
94.94 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
William Hill
1.67
2.15
93.99%
Bet365
1.67
2.10
93.02%
Betano
1.65
2.15
93.36%
Marathonbet
1.63
2.14
92.53%
1xBet
Bonus
1.63
2.17
93.08%
Betfair
1.62
2.20
93.30%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.28
Bet365
1.29
William Hill
2.01
Marathonbet
48.69 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.28
1.25
1.80
46.80%
Betano
1.27
1.25
2.00
47.91%
Marathonbet
1.26
1.28
2.01
48.25%
1xBet
Bonus
1.26
1.28
2.01
48.25%
William Hill
1.25
1.29
1.83
47.13%
Betfair
1.20
1.22
1.91
45.94%
SBO
1.19
1.22
2.00
46.30%
