Bournemouth vs AC Milan

Bournemouth
w l l w w
3 - 0
3.18
xG
0.17
Full Time
AC Milan
l w d w w
J. Kluivert
8'
M. Tavernier
32'
A. Adli
84'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Bournemouth Bournemouth
AC Milan AC Milan
Probability %
1 x 2
49%
26%
25%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
2.91
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Bournemouth Bournemouth
AC Milan AC Milan
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
44%
56%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
2.91
Score Pred.
3-0
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Bournemouth Bournemouth
AC Milan AC Milan
HТ/FT Probability %
30%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Bournemouth Bournemouth
AC Milan AC Milan
Probability %
Yes/ No
57%
43%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
2.91
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Bournemouth Bournemouth
AC Milan AC Milan
Probability %
61%
Pred
Away -1
Avg. Goal
2.91
Score Pred.
3-0

Double chance : Bournemouth or draw

Form and context

Bournemouth host AC Milan at the Vitality Stadium on Matchday 3 of the UEFA Europa League 2026-2027. Marco Rose's side have won their first two European matches and come off back-to-back home clean sheets, while Milan arrive after a 4-0 win at Red Bull Salzburg and a 3-2 Serie A victory over Atalanta.

Team news

  • Bournemouth: Julian Araujo, Alex Scott and Junior Kroupi are unavailable. No further confirmed team news yet.
  • AC Milan: Alexis Saelemaekers and Matteo Gabbia are long-term absentees and Filippo Terracciano is suspended. Ruben Amorim is expected to rotate heavily, with chances possibly for Fikayo Tomori, Ardon Jashari and Ruben Loftus-Cheek, while Luka Modric or Mario Gila could rest.

What the numbers say

  • Bournemouth have three wins and two defeats in their last five in all competitions, scoring eight and conceding seven.
  • Milan have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five in all competitions, scoring 10 and conceding five.
  • Bournemouth have scored in 17 of their last 18 matches, and six of their last eight games featured at least three goals.
  • Milan have drawn three of their last four away fixtures and are unbeaten in four games.

Our view

Bournemouth's home form and six-point European start give them a platform, but Milan's scoring run and squad depth make this a tight contest. Rotation on the Milan side adds uncertainty to the picture.

Most likely outcome: draw - Milan's strong away record and Bournemouth's home solidity point to a share of the points.

Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 07:31 PM
starting lineups
 
M. Di Gregorio
 
A. Truffert
 
António Silva
6.3
 
B. Diakite
 
J. Hill
7.12
 
M. Tavernier
6.64
 
T. Adams
 
R. Christie
 
B. Doak
 
Evanilson
7.09
 
J. Kluivert
4.76
 
M. Maignan
 
S. Pavlovic
6.4
 
K. De Winter
5.64
 
F. Tomori
5.6
 
P. Estupinan
 
A. Jashari
 
Y. Musah
 
D. Moreira
 
R. Loftus-Cheek
 
O. Hutchinson
 
A. Cisse
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Bournemouth
L. Cook
61' Out: T. Adams
61
Rayan
62' Out: M. Tavernier
62
A. Toth
62' Out: J. Kluivert
62
A. Rodriguez
' Out: Evanilson
66
A. Adli
77' Out: A. Toth
77
Substitutes for AC Milan
L. Torriani
' Out: O. Hutchinson
32
D. Bartesaghi
45' Out: P. Estupinan
45
Adrien Rabiot
' Out: R. Loftus-Cheek
45
S. Diawara
66' Out: F. Tomori
66
C. Comotto
' Out: D. Moreira
76
statistics
64 Ball Possession 36
3 Goals 0
3.18 Expected Goals 0.17
match facts

REFEREE

V. Fotias

STADIUM

Vitality Stadium

LOCATION

Bournemouth, Dorset

  • Bournemouth host AC Milan in the UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, with kickoff set for 19:00 GMT on October 22, 2026.
  • There is no previous head-to-head record between Bournemouth and AC Milan.
  • Bournemouth are in poor form, having lost their last three matches, including a 5-1 defeat on October 10.
  • AC Milan have been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games.
  • Bournemouth average 1.13 goals per game this season.
  • AC Milan average 1.48 goals per game, slightly higher than Bournemouth.
  • AC Milan average 53.56% possession compared to Bournemouth's 46.16%.
  • AC Milan average 14.33 shots per game, while Bournemouth average 13.46.
  • In form comparison, Bournemouth hold a 67% advantage over AC Milan's 33%.
  • Prediction models favor a double chance of Bournemouth win or draw, with both outcomes at 45% probability.
  • AC Milan are given just a 10% chance of winning this match.
  • The prediction advice is double chance: Bournemouth or draw, with the best available odds at 1.38 from Marathonbet.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 07:31 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
6 Corners 4
18 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
20 Shots 3
7 Shots on Goal 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
3 Goals 0
0 Goals Conceded 3
1 Clean Sheets 0
uefa europa league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#11
3
3
0
0
7
9
#42
3
1
0
2
-1
3
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

2.14
Dafabet
4.02
Pinnacle
4.19
Pinnacle
104.74 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Dafabet Dafabet Logo
2.14
3.70
3.30
96.10%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.87
3.97
4.18
97.48%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
1.86
3.95
4.15
96.92%
William Hill William Hill Logo
1.85
3.60
3.80
92.47%
Betano Betano Logo
1.85
3.85
4.00
95.21%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.40
Pinnacle
2.46
Pinnacle
4.63
Pinnacle
96.23 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.40
2.46
4.63
96.23%
SBO SBO Logo
2.39
2.30
3.92
90.23%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.38
2.38
4.33
93.35%
Betano Betano Logo
2.37
2.30
4.25
91.57%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.33
2.31
4.45
92.01%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.25
William Hill
2.70
Betano
4.05
Marathonbet
94.19 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.25
2.50
3.80
90.29%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.20
2.60
3.60
89.53%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.15
2.67
4.05
92.03%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.15
2.67
4.05
92.03%
Betano Betano Logo
2.12
2.70
3.85
90.76%