Bournemouth vs Sunderland
M. Tavernier
5'
Evanilson
48'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bournemouth
Sunderland
|
Probability %
1
x
2
47%
29%
24%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.47
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bournemouth
Sunderland
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
55%
45%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.47
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bournemouth
Sunderland
|
HТ/FT Probability %
26%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bournemouth
Sunderland
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
52%
48%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.47
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bournemouth
Sunderland
|
Probability %
65%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.47
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
Double chance : draw or Sunderland
Bournemouth are having a rough time right now. They've lost heavily in their last game and have only one win in their recent matches, with most ending in draws. Sunderland, on the other hand, are in better shape, coming off a solid win and picking up results more consistently.
When these two teams met recently, the games were close and had a fair number of goals. This one looks like it could go either way, but Sunderland seem to have a slight edge. It wouldn't be surprising if this ended in a draw, or Sunderland nicked the win.
Last Updated: 16 Oct 2026 12:00 PM
Substitutes for Bournemouth J. Kluivert
62' Out: L. Cook
62
A. Rodriguez
79' Out: Evanilson
79
A. Adli
79' Out: M. Tavernier
79
B. Diakite
' Out: T. Adams
89
B. Doak
' Out: Rayan
89
Substitutes for Sunderland H. Diarra
' Out: Timur Tutierov
59
L. O’Nien
59' Out: O. Alderete
59
J. Ahoka
65' Out: C. Rigg
65
REFEREE
C. Pawson
STADIUM
Vitality Stadium
LOCATION
Bournemouth, Dorset
- Bournemouth host Sunderland in the Premier League 2026-2027 on October 18, 2026.
- Prediction advice favors a draw or Sunderland win (double chance), with the model giving each a 45% chance.
- The highest odds for the predicted double chance (Draw/Away) are 1.82 with 1xBet.
- Bournemouth's recent form: one win, one loss, and three draws in their last five matches.
- Sunderland's recent form: two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches.
- Both teams are level on average goals scored: Bournemouth 1.13, Sunderland 1.17 per match.
- Sunderland average more possession (53.48%) than Bournemouth (45.85%).
- Bournemouth average slightly more shots per game (13.18) than Sunderland (12.84).
- The head-to-head record shows a 1-1 draw in the most recent meeting and a 3-2 Sunderland win before that.
- Sunderland edge the form comparison 57% to 43%, and also lead the head-to-head comparison 62% to 38%.
- The Poisson distribution model is split dead even at 50% for each side.
- Overall prediction comparison totals: Bournemouth 46.7%, Sunderland 53.3%.
Total
Per Match
15
Corners
12
5
Corners
4
44
Fouls
33
14.7
Fouls
11
4
Offsides
5
1.3
Offsides
1.7
68
Shots
23
22.7
Shots
7.7
17
Shots on Goal
10
5.7
Shots on Goal
3.3
12
Yellow Cards
9
4
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
1
0.3
Red Cards
0.3
5
Goals
4
1.7
Goals
1.3
4
Goals Conceded
5
1.3
Goals Conceded
1.7
1
Clean Sheets
0
0.3
Clean Sheets
0
Last matches for BOU
Premier League 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Bournemouth
2
Sunderland
0
W
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
15 OCT, 2026
Bournemouth
3
Sturm Graz
0
W
Premier League 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Bournemouth
1
Chelsea
5
L
Premier League 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Bournemouth
0
Liverpool
1
L
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
17 SEP, 2026
Bournemouth
2
Real Sociedad
1
W
Premier League 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Bournemouth
2
Brentford
2
D
League Cup 2026-2027
08 SEP, 2026
Bournemouth
4
Lincoln
0
W
Premier League 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Bournemouth
2
Newcastle
2
D
Premier League 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Bournemouth
1
Manchester City
2
L
Premier League 2025-2026
24 MAY, 2026
Bournemouth
1
Nottingham Forest
1
D
Last matches for SUN
Premier League 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Sunderland
0
Bournemouth
2
L
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
15 OCT, 2026
Sunderland
2
Torreense
1
W
Premier League 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Sunderland
0
Brighton
2
L
Premier League 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Sunderland
3
Manchester City
5
L
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
16 SEP, 2026
Sunderland
1
AZ Alkmaar
0
W
Premier League 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Sunderland
0
Arsenal
2
L
League Cup 2026-2027
08 SEP, 2026
Sunderland
1
Hull City
0
W
Premier League 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Sunderland
1
Brentford
1
D
Premier League 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Sunderland
1
Fulham
0
W
Premier League 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Sunderland
1
Ipswich
2
L
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
2.14
1xBet
3.43
1xBet
4.15
Pinnacle
100.02 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
2.14
3.43
3.90
98.50%
Marathonbet
2.08
3.34
3.80
95.85%
William Hill
2.05
3.25
3.70
93.83%
Bet365
2.05
3.30
3.80
94.88%
Pinnacle
2.04
3.36
4.15
97.20%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.75
Bet365
2.22
Pinnacle
4.68
Pinnacle
97.30 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
2.75
2.20
4.00
93.62%
Marathonbet
2.73
2.01
4.50
92.08%
1xBet
Bonus
2.73
2.01
4.50
92.08%
Pinnacle
2.71
2.22
4.68
96.79%
William Hill
2.50
2.10
4.00
88.79%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.50
Bet365
2.42
Marathonbet
3.88
Marathonbet
93.37 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
2.50
2.40
3.25
88.94%
William Hill
2.45
2.30
3.80
90.41%
Marathonbet
2.40
2.42
3.88
91.94%
1xBet
Bonus
2.40
2.42
3.88
91.94%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.22
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
99.71 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.22
1.73
9.69%
1xBet
Bonus
2.15
1.81
4.22%
Marathonbet
2.09
1.76
5.10%
Bet365
2.00
1.80
11.99%
HIGHEST ODDS
8.30
Marathonbet
1.08
Bet365
95.57 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
8.30
1.04
18.77%
1xBet
Bonus
8.30
1.04
9.38%
William Hill
8.00
1.07
23.51%
Bet365
8.00
1.08
23.56%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
19.18%
HIGHEST ODDS
5.10
Marathonbet
1.18
Bet365
95.83 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
5.10
1.14
18.79%
1xBet
Bonus
5.10
1.14
8.59%
William Hill
5.00
1.14
23.42%
Bet365
4.50
1.18
18.95%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.55
Bet365
2.97
Pinnacle
101.85 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.55
2.38
6.75%
1xBet
Bonus
1.53
2.78
6.18%
Marathonbet
1.48
2.69
6.14%
Pinnacle
1.45
2.97
9.73%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.62
Bet365
2.66
Pinnacle
100.68 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.62
2.25
10.49%
Pinnacle
1.52
2.66
19.33%
Marathonbet
1.51
2.39
13.13%
1xBet
Bonus
1.51
2.39
11.48%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.50
Marathonbet
2.41
Marathonbet
92.46 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
1.50
2.41
11.49%
1xBet
Bonus
1.50
2.41
10.22%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.85
William Hill
2.00
Bet365
96.10 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
William Hill
1.85
1.85
92.50%
Marathonbet
1.83
1.87
92.49%
1xBet
Bonus
1.83
1.89
92.98%
Bet365
1.75
2.00
93.33%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.30
William Hill
1.36
1xBet
1.79
1xBet
48.47 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
William Hill
1.30
1.30
1.73
47.25%
1xBet
Bonus
1.30
1.36
1.79
48.47%
Bet365
1.28
1.33
1.67
46.91%
Marathonbet
1.28
1.35
1.78
47.99%
