Ajax vs Atalanta

Ajax
w d d l w
2 - 0
1.74
xG
0.74
Full Time
Atalanta
l l w w l
T. Arokodare
87'
A. Ouazane
90'+3'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Atalanta

Form and context

Ajax host Atalanta in the Europa Conference League on Matchday 2, looking to respond after a 2-1 loss at Hajduk Split on Matchday 1. The sides last met in the 2020/21 Champions League group stage, when Atalanta won 1-0 in Amsterdam. Atalanta opened their campaign with a 3-1 home win over Pafos.

Team news

  • Ajax: Daley Blind is training individually and coach Michel Sanchez hopes he can help the team again next week. Oleksandr Zinchenko, a free agent, has been offered the chance to train with Ajax and is close to full recovery from a torn ACL, though no new contract has been discussed.
  • Atalanta: Sead Kolasinac is out for around three weeks with a mild strain of the rectus femoris in his left thigh, sustained against AC Milan.

What the numbers say

  • Ajax have scored 3.3 goals per game across their last 10 in all competitions, conceding 1.7.
  • Atalanta average 1.4 goals for and 1.2 against across their last 10 in all competitions.
  • Ajax's recent run in all competitions includes a 5-2 win at Groningen, a 2-1 loss at Hajduk Split, a 1-1 draw with NEC Nijmegen, a 2-2 draw with Excelsior and a 5-1 win over Willem II.
  • Atalanta's recent run in all competitions includes a 3-2 loss at AC Milan, a 3-1 win over Pafos, a 3-1 win over Venezia, a 2-0 loss at Juventus and a 1-2 loss to Cagliari.

Our view

Ajax have the sharper scoring record of late, but Atalanta arrive in good form according to close observers, despite missing several important players. The loss of Kolasinac leaves Atalanta short at the back, while Ajax are still waiting on Blind's return.

Most likely outcome: draw - Ajax's scoring output and Atalanta's solid recent run point to a close contest.

Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 07:31 PM
starting lineups
7.2
 
M. ter Stegen
 
O. Wijndal
 
Y. Baas
 
A. Bouwman
 
L. Rosa
7.3
 
S. Amrabat
 
J. Mokio
 
O. Gloukh
 
J. Brandt
 
D. Klaassen
 
Marcos Leonardo
 
M. Carnesecchi
 
D. Zappacosta
 
R. Obric
 
T. Kristensen
 
R. Bellanova
 
Ederson
 
G. Gaetano
6.9
 
N. Zalewski
 
C. De Ketelaere
 
E. Elmas
 
G. Scamacca
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Ajax
V. Tsygankov
' Out: D. Klaassen
62
A. Ouazane
' Out: O. Gloukh
62
T. Arokodare
' Out: Marcos Leonardo
66
D. Janse
' Out: J. Brandt
90
Substitutes for Atalanta
L. Samardzic
' Out: C. De Ketelaere
62
N. Krstovic
' Out: G. Scamacca
72
M. Pasalic
' Out: G. Gaetano
80
J. Rowe
' Out: E. Elmas
80
statistics
62 Ball Possession 38
2 Goals 0
1.74 Expected Goals 0.74
match facts

REFEREE

A. Nobre

  • Ajax host Atalanta in the UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027 at an as-yet undetermined venue.
  • Head-to-head history is tight: Atalanta won 1-0 in December 2020, while the October 2020 meeting ended 2-2.
  • Ajax's recent form is mixed: two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five, including a 5-2 away victory.
  • Atalanta are in poor form, losing four of their last five matches, conceding three goals in three of those defeats.
  • Ajax average 2.11 goals per game this season, compared to Atalanta's 1.60.
  • Ajax dominate possession on average at 61.31%, well above Atalanta's 52.95%.
  • Ajax also edge the shot count, averaging 16.86 per game versus Atalanta's 14.73.
  • Prediction model favours a draw or Atalanta win (Double Chance) at odds of 1.73 with William Hill.
  • Win probabilities are level: Ajax 10%, Draw 45%, Atalanta 45%.
  • Defensive comparison strongly favours Atalanta, rated 91% versus Ajax's 9%.
  • Head-to-head model leans heavily to Atalanta at 80%, with Ajax at just 20%.
  • Overall prediction total gives Atalanta a 58.6% edge over Ajax's 41.4%.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 07:31 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
20 Corners 20
43 Fouls 32
5 Offsides 9
45 Shots 37
15 Shots on Goal 9
7 Yellow Cards 7
1 Red Cards 0
4 Goals 3
3 Goals Conceded 4
1 Clean Sheets 1
uefa europa conference league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#2
8
6
1
1
13
19
#48
4
2
1
1
1
7