Atalanta vs Frosinone
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atalanta
Frosinone
|
Probability %
1
x
2
53%
24%
23%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
3.54
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atalanta
Frosinone
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
31%
69%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
3.54
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atalanta
Frosinone
|
HТ/FT Probability %
31%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atalanta
Frosinone
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
68%
32%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
3.54
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atalanta
Frosinone
|
Probability %
52%
|
Pred
Home -0.5
|
Avg. Goal
3.54
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Double chance : Atalanta or draw
Form and context
Atalanta host Frosinone on matchday eight of Serie A 2026-2027, with the visitors sitting four points above them in the table. Sarri's side need the three points to erase last week's defeat to Milan and push toward the European places, while Frosinone want to stay in that zone after their win over Sassuolo. Atalanta's last outing in all competitions was a 2-0 loss at Ajax, while Frosinone's most recent match in all competitions was a 4-2 home win over Sassuolo.
Team news
- Atalanta: Sarri is without eight players: Sulemana, Scalvini, Kessie, Raspadori, Kolasinac, Kossounou, Hien and Pompei. Elmas returns from suspension and Krstovic is back in the rotation after resting in Amsterdam. With only seventeen first-team players available, Sarri cannot rotate.
- Frosinone: Grillitsch is the only absentee. Alvini's main doubt is at centre-back, where Monterisi, Cittadini and Calvani compete for two places, with Cittadini, on loan from Atalanta, favoured to start. Raimondo, the league's top scorer, leads the attack.
What the numbers say
- Atalanta have averaged 1.4 goals for and 1.4 against across their last 10 matches in all competitions; Frosinone have averaged 2.3 for and 1.1 against over the same span.
- In four previous official meetings in Bergamo, Atalanta have three wins and one draw, and Frosinone have never scored there in 360 minutes.
- Atalanta and Frosinone are two of four teams with the most goals scored in the first 15 minutes, three each.
- Krstovic has four Serie A goals this season, including a strike against Milan, his third in a row.
Our view
Atalanta's injury list is long and the squad is thin, but the return of Elmas and Krstovic gives Sarri fresh options. Frosinone arrive in good form and with Raimondo scoring freely, so this should be competitive despite the hosts' strong record in this fixture.
Most likely outcome: home win - Atalanta's unbeaten home record against Frosinone and the return of two key players outweigh the absences.
Last Updated: 23 Oct 2026 02:32 PMWHO WILL WIN?
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Total votes: 0
WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?
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Total votes: 0
WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?
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REFEREE
L. Marinelli
STADIUM
Gewiss Stadium
LOCATION
Bergamo
- Atalanta host Frosinone in the Serie A 2026-2027 campaign at an unspecified venue.
- Atalanta come into the match on a five-game losing streak.
- Frosinone have lost four of their last five, with just a single draw in that run.
- The recent head-to-head record has been brutal for Frosinone, who lost both meetings 5-0 and 2-1.
- Atalanta are averaging 1.60 goals per game in pre-match stats, while Frosinone average 1.19.
- Frosinone actually edge Atalanta in average shots (15.07 vs 14.73), suggesting a more open game than their form implies.
- Atalanta dominate average possession at 52.89% compared to Frosinone's 49.19%.
- Prediction model favors Atalanta or draw, with a 45% chance each and just 10% for a Frosinone win.
- Form comparison heavily favors Frosinone at 77%, a curious edge against Atalanta's 23%.
- Head-to-head prediction comparison strongly leans Atalanta at 71% to Frosinone's 29%.
- Poisson distribution model gives Atalanta a 61% edge over Frosinone's 39%.
- Recommended betting angle: Double Chance Home/Draw at odds of 1.29 with Betano.
Last matches for ATA
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
Atalanta
0
Ajax
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Atalanta
2
AC Milan
3
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
Atalanta
3
Pafos
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Atalanta
3
Venezia
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Atalanta
0
Juventus
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Atalanta
1
Cagliari
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Atalanta
1
AS Roma
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Atalanta
1
Bologna
0
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
Atalanta
1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Atalanta
2
Sassuolo
1
Last matches for FRO
Serie A 2026-2027
Frosinone
4
Sassuolo
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Frosinone
0
Napoli
3
Serie A 2026-2027
Frosinone
2
Como
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Frosinone
1
Genoa
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Frosinone
3
Venezia
2
Coppa Italia 2026-2027
Frosinone
1
Sassuolo
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Frosinone
3
Fiorentina
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Frosinone
0
Juventus
1
Coppa Italia 2026-2027
Frosinone
4
Juve Stabia
1
Serie B 2025-2026
Frosinone
1
Juve Stabia
0
