Atalanta vs Frosinone

Atalanta
l w w l l
- - -
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Frosinone
w d w l w
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Atalanta Atalanta
Frosinone Frosinone
Probability %
1 x 2
53%
24%
23%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
3.54
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Atalanta Atalanta
Frosinone Frosinone
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
31%
69%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
3.54
Score Pred.
3-0
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Atalanta Atalanta
Frosinone Frosinone
HТ/FT Probability %
31%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Atalanta Atalanta
Frosinone Frosinone
Probability %
Yes/ No
68%
32%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
3.54
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Atalanta Atalanta
Frosinone Frosinone
Probability %
52%
Pred
Home -0.5
Avg. Goal
3.54
Score Pred.
3-0

Double chance : Atalanta or draw

Form and context

Atalanta host Frosinone on matchday eight of Serie A 2026-2027, with the visitors sitting four points above them in the table. Sarri's side need the three points to erase last week's defeat to Milan and push toward the European places, while Frosinone want to stay in that zone after their win over Sassuolo. Atalanta's last outing in all competitions was a 2-0 loss at Ajax, while Frosinone's most recent match in all competitions was a 4-2 home win over Sassuolo.

Team news

  • Atalanta: Sarri is without eight players: Sulemana, Scalvini, Kessie, Raspadori, Kolasinac, Kossounou, Hien and Pompei. Elmas returns from suspension and Krstovic is back in the rotation after resting in Amsterdam. With only seventeen first-team players available, Sarri cannot rotate.
  • Frosinone: Grillitsch is the only absentee. Alvini's main doubt is at centre-back, where Monterisi, Cittadini and Calvani compete for two places, with Cittadini, on loan from Atalanta, favoured to start. Raimondo, the league's top scorer, leads the attack.

What the numbers say

  • Atalanta have averaged 1.4 goals for and 1.4 against across their last 10 matches in all competitions; Frosinone have averaged 2.3 for and 1.1 against over the same span.
  • In four previous official meetings in Bergamo, Atalanta have three wins and one draw, and Frosinone have never scored there in 360 minutes.
  • Atalanta and Frosinone are two of four teams with the most goals scored in the first 15 minutes, three each.
  • Krstovic has four Serie A goals this season, including a strike against Milan, his third in a row.

Our view

Atalanta's injury list is long and the squad is thin, but the return of Elmas and Krstovic gives Sarri fresh options. Frosinone arrive in good form and with Raimondo scoring freely, so this should be competitive despite the hosts' strong record in this fixture.

Most likely outcome: home win - Atalanta's unbeaten home record against Frosinone and the return of two key players outweigh the absences.

Last Updated: 23 Oct 2026 02:32 PM

WHO WILL WIN?

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Total votes: 0

WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?

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Total votes: 0

WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?

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Total votes: 0

match facts

REFEREE

L. Marinelli

STADIUM

Gewiss Stadium

LOCATION

Bergamo

  • Atalanta host Frosinone in the Serie A 2026-2027 campaign at an unspecified venue.
  • Atalanta come into the match on a five-game losing streak.
  • Frosinone have lost four of their last five, with just a single draw in that run.
  • The recent head-to-head record has been brutal for Frosinone, who lost both meetings 5-0 and 2-1.
  • Atalanta are averaging 1.60 goals per game in pre-match stats, while Frosinone average 1.19.
  • Frosinone actually edge Atalanta in average shots (15.07 vs 14.73), suggesting a more open game than their form implies.
  • Atalanta dominate average possession at 52.89% compared to Frosinone's 49.19%.
  • Prediction model favors Atalanta or draw, with a 45% chance each and just 10% for a Frosinone win.
  • Form comparison heavily favors Frosinone at 77%, a curious edge against Atalanta's 23%.
  • Head-to-head prediction comparison strongly leans Atalanta at 71% to Frosinone's 29%.
  • Poisson distribution model gives Atalanta a 61% edge over Frosinone's 39%.
  • Recommended betting angle: Double Chance Home/Draw at odds of 1.29 with Betano.
Last Updated: 23 Oct 2026 02:32 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
15 Corners 5
21 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 3
39 Shots 21
15 Shots on Goal 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
6 Goals 2
2 Goals Conceded 6
1 Clean Sheets 0
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#6
7
4
1
2
4
13
#11
7
3
0
4
-1
9
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

1.86
1xBet
4.20
Bet365
4.22
1xBet
98.75 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.86
4.17
4.22
98.58%
Betfair Betfair Logo
1.85
4.10
3.80
95.46%
Betano Betano Logo
1.85
4.15
3.75
95.40%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
1.84
4.20
3.95
96.64%
Dafabet Dafabet Logo
1.84
4.20
3.85
96.03%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.34
Pinnacle
2.70
Pinnacle
4.20
Marathonbet
96.54 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.34
2.70
4.13
96.17%
Betano Betano Logo
2.32
2.50
3.90
91.96%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.28
2.44
4.20
92.04%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.28
2.44
4.20
92.04%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.25
2.62
4.00
92.93%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.10
Betano
3.02
Marathonbet
3.90
William Hill
94.01 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano Betano Logo
2.10
2.95
3.50
90.84%
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.05
2.80
3.90
90.80%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.02
3.02
3.82
91.92%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.02
3.02
3.82
91.92%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.00
2.88
3.75
89.78%