Form and context

Prat come into this Copa del Rey first round tie on the back of two big wins in all competitions, 5-0 over San Rafael on 11 October and 5-1 away at San Rafael on 27 September. Athletic Club have had a mixed run in all competitions, most recently a 4-0 home win over Getafe on 25 October, but before that a 3-1 defeat at Levante on 21 October and a 0-0 draw at Valencia on 17 October.

Team news

• Prat: No confirmed team news yet.
• Athletic Club: Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta is out with a moderate injury to the hamstring muscles in his right leg, sustained in the 18th minute against Getafe, and will miss the Copa tie. Gorka Guruzeta is a long-term absentee and Oihan Sancet is doubtful as he nears the end of his recovery from a muscle injury. Aymeric Laporte is available after serving his suspension.

What the numbers say

• Prat have scored five goals in each of their last two matches in all competitions.
• Athletic Club average 1.4 goals for and 1.3 against across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• There is no head-to-head history between the two clubs in the data.
• The prediction model splits this match evenly at 33 percent for a home win, a draw and an away win.

Our view

Prat are in strong scoring form, while Athletic Club travel without Galarreta and with Sancet only doubtful, so the visitors may rotate in midfield. The gap in level still favours the top-flight side, but this looks closer than a routine cup tie.

Most likely outcome: away win - Athletic Club's squad depth should see them through despite the midfield absences.