Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense
Mauricio Garcez
72'
Leozinho
6'
Luiz Gustavo
29'
K. Viveros
31'
K. Viveros
78'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
|
Probability %
1
x
2
23%
26%
50%
|
Pred
2
|
Avg. Goal
2.71
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
49%
51%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.71
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
|
HТ/FT Probability %
28%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
55%
45%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.71
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
|
Probability %
51%
|
Pred
Away -0.5
|
Avg. Goal
2.71
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
Combo Double chance : draw or Atletico Paranaense and +1.5 goals
Chapecoense-sc are having a rough time. They lost badly in their last match and have been up and down lately, with a couple of wins but also some heavy defeats. Atletico Paranaense are in better shape — they have been drawing a lot and scoring plenty of goals, though they have also lost a few. When these two met recently, Atletico came out on top, and their earlier meetings both ended level with a few goals each.
Overall, this looks like a close game, but Atletico Paranaense seem the stronger side right now. Chapecoense are struggling, while Atletico are harder to beat and have been finding the net more often. Recent matches involving these teams have had plenty of goals, so it could be an open game. My sense is that Atletico Paranaense will either win or it will end in a draw — they look the more likely team to come away happy.
Last Updated: 10 Oct 2026 07:20 PM
Substitutes for Chapecoense-sc 
Y. Bolasie
45' Out: Marcinho
45
Eduardo Doma
' Out: Dudu
45
David Antunes
' Out: Yago Felipe
70
Rodrigo Endrio
' Out: Giovanni Augusto
71
Rafael Thyere
' Out: Kauan
84
Substitutes for Atletico Paranaense
Claudinho
' Out: L. Esquivel
45
Léo
' Out: Arthur Dias
45
Dudu Kogitzki
45' Out: Leozinho
45
Felipinho
84' Out: Gilberto
84
89' Out: Luiz Gustavo
89
REFEREE
W. Sampaio
STADIUM
Arena Condá
LOCATION
Chapecó, Santa Catarina
- Chapecoense-sc host Atletico Paranaense in Serie A 2026-2027, kicking off October 12, 2026.
- Atletico Paranaense won the most recent head-to-head meeting 2-0 in April 2026.
- The previous two head-to-head matches both ended in draws (1-1 and 2-2).
- Chapecoense-sc have lost two of their last five matches, including a heavy 4-0 defeat.
- Atletico Paranaense are winless in their last five, with three draws and two losses.
- Two of Atletico Paranaense's last five matches finished as 3-3 draws.
- Atletico Paranaense average more goals per game (1.34) than Chapecoense-sc (1.01).
- Atletico Paranaense also edge the shot count, averaging 13.39 compared to 12.50.
- Both sides have similar possession averages, with the visitors slightly ahead (48.23% vs 46.83%).
- Prediction model gives a 45% chance of a draw and 45% for an Atletico Paranaense win.
- The recommended bet is Double Chance: Draw or Atletico Paranaense, with over 1.5 goals.
- Betano offers odds of 1.31 on the Draw/Away Double Chance market.
Total
Per Match
16
Corners
26
66
Fouls
51
9
Offsides
2
60
Shots
57
19
Shots on Goal
22
11
Yellow Cards
9
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goals
9
9
Goals Conceded
4
0
Clean Sheets
1
Last matches for CHA 
Serie A 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Chapecoense-sc
0
Botafogo
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
12 OCT, 2026
Chapecoense-sc
1
Atletico Paranaense
4
L
Serie A 2026-2027
07 OCT, 2026
Chapecoense-sc
0
Vitoria
4
L
Serie A 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Chapecoense-sc
1
Atletico-MG
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Chapecoense-sc
1
Internacional
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Chapecoense-sc
2
Corinthians
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Chapecoense-sc
1
Gremio
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Chapecoense-sc
1
Sao Paulo
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Chapecoense-sc
3
Bahia
3
D
Serie A 2026-2027
29 JUL, 2026
Chapecoense-sc
0
Vasco DA Gama
0
D
Last matches for ATL
Serie A 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
0
Palmeiras
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
12 OCT, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
4
Chapecoense-sc
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
08 OCT, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
2
Atletico-MG
2
D
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
2
Bahia
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
3
Coritiba
3
D
Serie A 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
1
Cruzeiro
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
3
Fluminense
3
D
Serie A 2026-2027
24 AUG, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
3
Botafogo
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
15 AUG, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
1
RB Bragantino
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
2
Santos
0
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
4.20
Bet365
3.69
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
97.60 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
4.20
3.50
1.85
93.95%
Pinnacle
4.12
3.69
1.92
96.66%
Dafabet
4.10
3.65
1.92
96.27%
Betano
4.05
3.60
1.90
95.15%
1xBet
Bonus
3.98
3.64
1.94
96.02%
HIGHEST ODDS
4.60
Pinnacle
2.34
Pinnacle
2.54
Pinnacle
96.30 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
4.60
2.34
2.54
96.30%
Betano
4.55
2.15
2.47
91.76%
Marathonbet
4.40
2.14
2.44
90.55%
1xBet
Bonus
4.40
2.14
2.44
90.55%
Bet365
4.33
2.25
2.50
92.99%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.92
Marathonbet
2.51
Marathonbet
2.30
William Hill
91.89 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
3.92
2.51
2.21
90.42%
1xBet
Bonus
3.92
2.51
2.21
90.42%
Betano
3.90
2.50
2.25
90.84%
William Hill
3.80
2.40
2.30
89.72%
Bet365
3.75
2.50
2.25
90.00%
