Palmeiras vs Corinthians
Alexander Barboza
16'
A. Giay
45'+1'
Matheus Bidu
46'
A. Giay
51'
Gustavo Henrique
90'+1'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Palmeiras
Corinthians
|
Probability %
1
x
2
59%
26%
16%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.41
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Palmeiras
Corinthians
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
57%
43%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.41
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Palmeiras
Corinthians
|
HТ/FT Probability %
35%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Palmeiras
Corinthians
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
44%
56%
|
Pred
No
|
Avg. Goal
2.41
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Palmeiras
Corinthians
|
Probability %
56%
|
Pred
Away -1
|
Avg. Goal
2.41
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Combo Double chance : Palmeiras or draw and -3.5 goals
Palmeiras are going through a rough patch right now. They have not won any of their last five matches, with three draws and two losses, and they have struggled to score goals in that stretch. Corinthians are in better form, having won three of their last five games, including a couple of solid away wins.
When these two teams meet, the games are usually tight and low-scoring. Their most recent meeting ended in a goalless draw, and the one before that was decided by a single goal. Overall, this looks like a close, cautious match between two sides that know each other well, and a draw seems like the most likely outcome, though Palmeiras have a slight edge playing at home.
Last Updated: 09 Oct 2026 07:21 PM
Substitutes for Palmeiras 
Maurício
' Out: J. López
69
E. Martínez
' Out: Lucas Evangelista
69
' Out: Vitor Roque
69
Paulinho
77' Out:
77
Bruno Fuchs
83' Out: Gustavo Gómez
83
Substitutes for Corinthians
Allan
' Out:
57
Vitinho
' Out: Breno Bidon
57
Andre Ramalho
' Out: Andre
69
Pedro Raul
' Out: Yuri Alberto
69
Dieguinho
83' Out: Raniele
83
REFEREE
A. Daronco
- Palmeiras host Corinthians in Serie A 2026-2027, kicking off at 20:30 GMT on October 11, 2026.
- The reverse fixture earlier in 2026 ended 0-0, with Corinthians winning the other 2026 meeting 0-1 away.
- Corinthians have won 3 of their last 5 matches; Palmeiras are winless in their last 5.
- Palmeiras are actually the more prolific scorers this season, averaging 1.51 goals per game to Corinthians' 1.19.
- Palmeiras also edge the shot count with 15.56 per game, compared to Corinthians' 12.72.
- Both sides enjoy similar possession, with Corinthians slightly ahead at 54.25% versus Palmeiras' 53.33%.
- Recent head-to-head history favors Corinthians, with 62% of the H2H comparison in their favor.
- Goals comparison also leans Corinthians' way, with 67% of that metric in their favor.
- However, the prediction model gives home and away an identical 45% chance of winning, with just 10% for a Corinthians victory.
- The model favors Palmeiras or a draw, and Betano prices the Home/Draw double chance at 1.15.
- The overall prediction total gives Palmeiras 57.6% versus Corinthians' 42.4%.
- Form comparison is lopsided: Palmeiras hold a 100% advantage over Corinthians based on recent results.
10/
8/
3
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Palmeiras
4
–
1
Corinthians
Corinthians
0
–
0
Palmeiras
Corinthians
0
–
1
Palmeiras
Corinthians
2
–
0
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
2
–
0
Corinthians
Palmeiras
2
–
2
Corinthians
Corinthians
0
–
0
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
2
–
1
Corinthians
Corinthians
2
–
2
Palmeiras
Corinthians
0
–
1
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
3
–
0
Corinthians
Palmeiras
2
–
1
Corinthians
Corinthians
2
–
1
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
1
–
1
Corinthians
Corinthians
0
–
2
Palmeiras
Corinthians
2
–
2
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
4
–
0
Corinthians
Corinthians
0
–
2
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
1
–
1
Corinthians
Corinthians
0
–
0
Palmeiras
Corinthians
1
–
0
Palmeiras
Total
Per Match
121
Corners
73
260
Fouls
238
42
Offsides
17
282
Shots
175
100
Shots on Goal
58
45
Yellow Cards
50
3
Red Cards
8
32
Goals
16
16
Goals Conceded
32
10
Clean Sheets
5
Last matches for PAL 
Serie A 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Palmeiras
2
Atletico Paranaense
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Palmeiras
4
Corinthians
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
09 OCT, 2026
Palmeiras
1
Bahia
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Palmeiras
0
Gremio
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Palmeiras
2
Sao Paulo
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Palmeiras
0
Botafogo
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Palmeiras
1
Mirassol
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Palmeiras
4
Vasco DA Gama
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
15 AUG, 2026
Palmeiras
2
Fluminense
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
Palmeiras
0
Internacional
0
D
Last matches for COR
Serie A 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Corinthians
1
Palmeiras
4
L
Serie A 2026-2027
07 OCT, 2026
Corinthians
1
Internacional
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Corinthians
1
Fluminense
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
13 SEP, 2026
Corinthians
1
Flamengo
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Corinthians
1
Chapecoense-sc
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Corinthians
0
Santos
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Corinthians
1
Coritiba
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Corinthians
1
Cruzeiro
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
Corinthians
2
RB Bragantino
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
30 JUL, 2026
Corinthians
0
Atletico Paranaense
0
D
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
1.67
Betano
3.85
Betano
6.25
Bet365
98.18 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano
1.67
3.85
6.10
97.80%
Pinnacle
1.66
3.66
6.24
96.54%
Bet365
1.65
3.50
6.25
95.08%
1xBet
Bonus
1.64
3.71
6.13
95.93%
Dafabet
1.64
3.85
5.80
95.98%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.28
Pinnacle
2.23
Pinnacle
6.53
Pinnacle
96.14 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.28
2.23
6.53
96.14%
Betano
2.25
2.10
5.80
91.49%
Bet365
2.20
2.20
6.00
92.96%
Marathonbet
2.19
2.04
6.35
90.56%
1xBet
Bonus
2.19
2.04
6.35
90.56%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.00
William Hill
2.45
Betano
5.60
Marathonbet
92.02 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
2.00
2.30
5.00
88.12%
Betano
1.98
2.45
5.30
90.75%
Marathonbet
1.94
2.43
5.60
90.45%
1xBet
Bonus
1.94
2.43
5.60
90.45%
Bet365
1.91
2.40
5.50
89.12%
