Napoli vs Bologna

Napoli
w d l w d
2 - 3
0.73
xG
1.32
Full Time
Bologna
w w l l d
G. Di Lorenzo
45'+2'
Alisson Santos
48'
F. Bernardeschi
10'
R. Orsolini
34'
J. Rowe
90'+1'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Napoli or draw

Napoli are heading into this match in a bit of a rough patch. In their last five games, they have won only once, lost twice, and played out two draws, including a goalless stalemate in their most recent outing. Their form has been inconsistent, and they have struggled to score goals regularly, with two of those matches ending 0-0 or with a single goal.

Bologna are also struggling with consistency, but they have been slightly more positive recently. They have won two of their last five matches, lost two, and drawn one, with their most recent game also ending 0-0. The two teams met earlier this season, and Bologna won that match 2-0. Based on the data, this looks like a very close game, and it is hard to pick a clear winner. The most likely outcome is that Napoli avoid defeat, so a draw or a narrow Napoli win seems the most realistic result.

Last Updated: 09 May 2026 06:00 PM
starting lineups
 
V. Milinkovic-Savic
 
A. Buongiorno
 
A. Rrahmani
6.9
 
G. Di Lorenzo
 
M. Gutierrez
 
S. McTominay
 
S. Lobotka
7
 
M. Politano
8.2
 
Alisson Santos
 
Giovane
 
R. Hojlund
 
M. Pessina
 
J. Miranda
6.9
 
J. Lucumi
6
 
E. Fauske Helland
6.3
 
João Mário
 
L. Ferguson
 
Remo Freuler
 
T. Pobega
7.6
 
F. Bernardeschi
 
S. Castro
7.2
 
R. Orsolini
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Napoli
B. Gilmour
' Out: S. Lobotka
76
E. Elmas
' Out: Giovane
76
L. Spinazzola
85' Out: M. Politano
85
P. Mazzocchi
' Out: M. Gutierrez
87
Substitutes for Bologna
N. Zortea
64' Out: João Mário
64
J. Rowe
73' Out: F. Bernardeschi
73
N. Moro
' Out: T. Pobega
81
S. Sohm
' Out: L. Ferguson
81
T. Heggem
82' Out: E. Fauske Helland
82
statistics
52 Ball Possession 48
2 Goals 3
0.73 Expected Goals 1.32
match facts

REFEREE

M. Piccinini

  • Napoli are strong favorites for this Serie A match, with a 45% win probability and a recommended "Double chance: Napoli or draw" bet.
  • Bologna have struggled in their recent away form, losing three of their last five Serie A trips.
  • Napoli have kept a clean sheet in two of their last five home games, including a 0-0 draw in their latest outing.
  • The only head-to-head meeting this season ended in a 2-0 win for Bologna, making this a revenge opportunity for Napoli.
  • Napoli dominate the pre-match stats, averaging 1.55 goals per game compared to Bologna's 1.00.
  • Napoli also hold the edge in possession (56.52%) and shots per game (13.75) over Bologna (54.44%, 12.81 shots).
  • According to median stats, Bologna are likely to have more possession (59%) but fewer shots (4) than Napoli (11 shots, 41% possession).
  • Napoli's defense is rated as 63% better than Bologna's in pre-match comparisons.
  • The attack stats also favor Napoli, with a 60% rating against Bologna's 40%.
  • The best betting value is a Double Chance (Home/Draw) at 1.15 odds, offered by Betano.
  • Despite Bologna's win in the last H2H, the overall form comparison gives Napoli a 53% edge.
  • The Poisson distribution model gives Napoli a 58% chance to win, further backing the home side.
Last Updated: 09 May 2026 06:00 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
76 Corners 45
165 Fouls 159
20 Offsides 18
189 Shots 140
67 Shots on Goal 44
23 Yellow Cards 26
0 Red Cards 0
21 Goals 13
13 Goals Conceded 21
6 Clean Sheets 3
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#2
38
23
7
8
22
76
#8
38
16
8
14
3
56