Napoli vs Bologna
Double chance : Napoli or draw
Napoli are heading into this match in a bit of a rough patch. In their last five games, they have won only once, lost twice, and played out two draws, including a goalless stalemate in their most recent outing. Their form has been inconsistent, and they have struggled to score goals regularly, with two of those matches ending 0-0 or with a single goal.
Bologna are also struggling with consistency, but they have been slightly more positive recently. They have won two of their last five matches, lost two, and drawn one, with their most recent game also ending 0-0. The two teams met earlier this season, and Bologna won that match 2-0. Based on the data, this looks like a very close game, and it is hard to pick a clear winner. The most likely outcome is that Napoli avoid defeat, so a draw or a narrow Napoli win seems the most realistic result.
Last Updated: 09 May 2026 06:00 PM
Substitutes for Napoli
Substitutes for Bologna REFEREE
M. Piccinini
- Napoli are strong favorites for this Serie A match, with a 45% win probability and a recommended "Double chance: Napoli or draw" bet.
- Bologna have struggled in their recent away form, losing three of their last five Serie A trips.
- Napoli have kept a clean sheet in two of their last five home games, including a 0-0 draw in their latest outing.
- The only head-to-head meeting this season ended in a 2-0 win for Bologna, making this a revenge opportunity for Napoli.
- Napoli dominate the pre-match stats, averaging 1.55 goals per game compared to Bologna's 1.00.
- Napoli also hold the edge in possession (56.52%) and shots per game (13.75) over Bologna (54.44%, 12.81 shots).
- According to median stats, Bologna are likely to have more possession (59%) but fewer shots (4) than Napoli (11 shots, 41% possession).
- Napoli's defense is rated as 63% better than Bologna's in pre-match comparisons.
- The attack stats also favor Napoli, with a 60% rating against Bologna's 40%.
- The best betting value is a Double Chance (Home/Draw) at 1.15 odds, offered by Betano.
- Despite Bologna's win in the last H2H, the overall form comparison gives Napoli a 53% edge.
- The Poisson distribution model gives Napoli a 58% chance to win, further backing the home side.
Serie A 2026-2027
Bologna
Serie A 2025-2026
Bologna
Serie A 2025-2026
Napoli
Serie A 2024-2025
Napoli
Serie A 2024-2025
Bologna
Serie A 2023-2024
Bologna
Serie A 2023-2024
Napoli
Serie A 2022-2023
Napoli
Serie A 2022-2023
Bologna
Serie A 2021-2022
Napoli
Serie A 2021-2022
Bologna
Serie A 2020-2021
Bologna
Serie A 2020-2021
Napoli
Last matches for NAP
Serie A 2026-2027
Napoli
4
Monza
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Napoli
3
AS Roma
3
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Napoli
4
Bodo/Glimt
3
Serie A 2026-2027
Napoli
0
Venezia
1
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Napoli
1
Villarreal
3
Serie A 2026-2027
Napoli
3
Frosinone
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Napoli
1
Fiorentina
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Napoli
1
Bologna
0
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Napoli
0
Arsenal
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Napoli
2
Inter
3
Last matches for BOL
Serie A 2026-2027
Bologna
0
Monza
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Bologna
4
AC Milan
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Bologna
2
Cagliari
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Bologna
1
Inter
3
Serie A 2026-2027
Bologna
2
Lecce
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Bologna
1
Torino
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Bologna
0
Napoli
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Bologna
2
Sassuolo
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Bologna
0
Atalanta
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Bologna
0
Lazio
1
