Derby have been up and down lately - they've won a couple, lost one badly, and drawn a few, so they're not in terrible shape but not flying either. Burnley, on the other hand, come in looking stronger, with two wins and a draw in their recent games, and they seem to be the more confident side right now. The one meeting between these two this season ended level, and it was a low-scoring game, so there's no real history of goal-fests between them.

Given Burnley's better recent run and Derby's mixed form, this looks like a fairly tight match that could go either way, though Burnley edge it slightly. Based on the facts, it's most likely to be a draw or a narrow Burnley win - but since they're close, expect a close, low-scoring contest rather than an open one.