Form and context

Wolves sit fourth in the Championship and have taken seven points from their past three games, following up back-to-back defeats to Middlesbrough and Bolton Wanderers. Cardiff are 16th after three straight home wins, but they have drawn two and lost four on the road this season.

Team news

• Wolves: Ghislain Konan faces around two months out with an MCL injury, leaving Hugo Bueno as the only recognised left-back. Cesar Peixoto hopes to have Fer Lopez and Nasser Djiga back; Rodrigo Gomes is progressing, while Bertrand Traore and Boubacar Traore are battling hamstring issues.
• Cardiff: Rubin Colwill returns after missing seven matches with an ankle injury. Brian Barry-Murphy said Colwill is "good to go" but urged patience with his build-up.

What the numbers say

• Wolves have averaged 1.1 goals for and 1.3 against across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• Cardiff have averaged 1.6 goals for and 1.4 against across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• Cardiff's two away points is the third lowest in the division.
• Wolves registered 24 shots and 62.2% possession in their 1-0 win over Watford.

Our view

Wolves come in with home advantage and better recent results, though their home form has been mixed, including a draw with Portsmouth and a 3-1 loss to Bolton. Cardiff have been strong at home but are still chasing a first away win, and Colwill's return gives them more options.

Most likely outcome: home win - Wolves' stronger league position and Cardiff's winless away record point that way.