Form and context

Girona come into this Segunda División fixture unbeaten across their last five matches in all competitions, a run that includes a 2-0 win over FC Andorra on 18 October and a 1-1 draw at Tenerife. Celta de Vigo II have been far less settled, with their most recent outing a 1-1 home draw against Tenerife on 19 October. The two sides meet at an unconfirmed venue on 24 October at 16:30 UTC.

Team news

• Girona: No confirmed team news yet.
• Celta de Vigo II: No confirmed team news yet.

What the numbers say

• Girona have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded across the last 10 matches counted in all competitions.
• Celta de Vigo II have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over the same span in all competitions.
• Girona's recent league results include a 2-0 win over Albacete and a 2-1 win at Cadiz, plus a 0-0 draw with Mallorca.
• No head-to-head record is available for this pairing, and the model gives the draw and the home win the same 45% share.

Our view

Girona's defensive record in this run is the standout number, and their form across all competitions has been steady rather than spectacular. Celta de Vigo II have shown they can score, as in the 4-1 win over Real Sociedad II, but they have also conceded regularly on the road. With no confirmed team news on either side, the balance of recent results points toward the hosts controlling the game.

Most likely outcome: home win - Girona's stronger defensive numbers and unbeaten recent run in all competitions.