Middlesbrough have had a mixed run lately. They've drawn several games, won one, and lost one, so they're not in bad shape but they keep letting leads slip and settling for ties. Most of their recent matches have had a fair number of goals, with both teams scoring in several of them. Derby, on the other hand, have been a bit up and down too - a couple of wins, a couple of draws, and one heavy loss. They've been tighter at the back in some games but also shipped four in another, so they're hard to pin down.

There's no history between these two to go on, and neither team is clearly dominant right now. Middlesbrough look the slightly stronger side at home, but given how often they've been drawing, this one feels like it could go either way. I'd lean toward a draw, with Middlesbrough having a small edge if someone nicks it.