Southampton are having a rough spell. They have lost most of their recent games and have struggled to score, so confidence looks low at the moment. Derby, on the other hand, have been the better team lately, picking up wins and battling to draws, and they seem to be in decent shape.

There is no recent history between these two to look back on, and their recent matches on their own did not produce a lot of goals. Given how each side has been playing, this looks like a close match, but Derby appear to have a slight edge, so they are the more likely team to come away with the win.