Dundee vs Kilmarnock
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Dundee
Kilmarnock
|
Probability %
1
x
2
51%
25%
25%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
3.07
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Dundee
Kilmarnock
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
41%
59%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
3.07
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Dundee
Kilmarnock
|
HТ/FT Probability %
29%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Dundee
Kilmarnock
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
60%
40%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
3.07
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Dundee
Kilmarnock
|
Probability %
55%
|
Pred
Away -0.75
|
Avg. Goal
3.07
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Double chance : Dundee or draw
Form and context
Dundee host Kilmarnock at Dens Park on Wednesday after a 2-1 defeat at St Mirren, a result that has prompted questions about how Steven Pressley's side respond. The Dark Blues have been solid defensively this season but conceded two poor goals in Paisley. Kilmarnock arrive struggling and conceding goals, according to the same report.
Team news
- Dundee: No confirmed team news yet.
- Kilmarnock: No confirmed team news yet.
What the numbers say
- Dundee's last five in all competitions: a 2-1 loss at St Mirren, a 2-2 draw with Rangers, a 2-1 win at Falkirk, a 2-1 win over Motherwell and a 2-1 loss at Hearts.
- Kilmarnock's last five in all competitions: a 3-0 loss at Falkirk, a 3-2 win over Motherwell, a 3-1 loss at Rangers, a 1-1 draw with Hearts and a 1-0 win at Hibernian.
- Across the last 10 matches counted, Dundee average 1.4 goals for and 1.2 against; Kilmarnock average 1.0 for and 2.3 against.
- The last meeting ended Kilmarnock 3-1 Dundee, with Kilmarnock the winner; the previous two were a draw and a Dundee win.
Our view
Dundee have shown better defensive numbers than Kilmarnock over the recent run, and the home side's reaction to the St Mirren setback is the central theme of this fixture. Kilmarnock's recent away form in all competitions includes heavy defeats, which makes a home result the more plausible reading.
Most likely outcome: home win - Dundee's stronger recent defensive record and the home setting point that way.
Substitutes for Dundee
Substitutes for Kilmarnock STADIUM
The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park
LOCATION
Dundee
- Dundee host Kilmarnock in the Premiership 2026-2027 on 28 October 2026.
- Kilmarnock have won four of the last five head-to-head meetings between the sides.
- Six of the last twelve H2H encounters ended level, including four 2-2 draws.
- Dundee are without a win in their last two matches, losing 2-1 most recently.
- Kilmarnock have lost three straight, conceding three goals in each of those defeats.
- Kilmarnock's only win in their last five came away from home (1-0).
- Dundee average 1.26 goals per game compared to Kilmarnock's 1.08 this season.
- Kilmarnock average more shots per game (11.72) than Dundee (10.63).
- Possession stats are closely matched, with Kilmarnock edging it at 44.5% to 43.0%.
- Prediction model gives Dundee a 45% win chance and the draw 45%, with Kilmarnock at just 10%.
- The recommended bet is Double Chance: Dundee or Draw, priced at 1.30 with William Hill.
- Model comparison favours Dundee strongly in H2H (62%) and Poisson distribution (70%).
Premiership 2026-2027
Kilmarnock
Premiership 2025-2026
Dundee
Premiership 2025-2026
Dundee
Premiership 2025-2026
Kilmarnock
Premiership 2025-2026
Dundee
Premiership 2024-2025
Dundee
Premiership 2024-2025
Dundee
Premiership 2024-2025
Kilmarnock
Premiership 2024-2025
Kilmarnock
Premiership 2023-2024
Kilmarnock
Premiership 2023-2024
Kilmarnock
Premiership 2023-2024
Dundee
Premiership 2023-2024
Kilmarnock
Premiership 2020-2021
Dundee
Premiership 2020-2021
Kilmarnock
Last matches for DUN
Premiership 2026-2027
Dundee
3
Kilmarnock
1
Premiership 2026-2027
Dundee
1
ST Mirren
2
Premiership 2026-2027
Dundee
2
Rangers
2
Premiership 2026-2027
Dundee
2
Falkirk
1
Premiership 2026-2027
Dundee
2
Motherwell
1
Premiership 2026-2027
Dundee
1
Heart Of Midlothian
2
Premiership 2026-2027
Dundee
1
ST Johnstone
1
Premiership 2026-2027
Dundee
1
Hibernian
2
Premiership 2026-2027
Dundee
2
Dundee Utd
0
Premiership 2026-2027
Dundee
0
Celtic
1
Last matches for KIL
Premiership 2026-2027
Kilmarnock
2
ST Johnstone
2
Premiership 2026-2027
Kilmarnock
1
Dundee
3
Premiership 2026-2027
Kilmarnock
0
Falkirk
3
Premiership 2026-2027
Kilmarnock
3
Motherwell
2
Premiership 2026-2027
Kilmarnock
1
Rangers
3
Premiership 2026-2027
Kilmarnock
1
Heart Of Midlothian
1
Premiership 2026-2027
Kilmarnock
1
Hibernian
0
Premiership 2026-2027
Kilmarnock
0
Aberdeen
0
Premiership 2026-2027
Kilmarnock
0
ST Mirren
1
Premiership 2026-2027
Kilmarnock
0
Dundee Utd
4
