Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Inter
w d w l w
1 - 0
1.02
xG
0.57
Full Time
Shakhtar Donetsk
l w l d w
Carlos Augusto
77'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Combo Double chance : draw or Shakhtar Donetsk and +1.5 goals

Form and context

Inter host Shakhtar Donetsk at San Siro on Matchday 3 of the 2026/27 Champions League regular season phase. The Nerazzurri come off a 3-1 Serie A win at Bologna on October 17, having lost 4-3 at home to Club Brugge in Europe on October 13. Shakhtar arrive on a three-match winning run in all competitions and sit top of the Ukrainian Premier League.

Team news

  • Inter: Lautaro Martínez is set for weeks on the sidelines with a strain in his left hamstring, with La Gazzetta dello Sport expecting him to sit out through next month's international break. Marcus Thuram, Pio Esposito and Ange-Yoan Bonny are the forward options in his absence. The club reported no confirmed injury or suspension information beyond that.
  • Shakhtar Donetsk: Maryan Shved is listed as having no eligibility, while Eguinaldo is out with a shoulder injury. Goalkeeper Dmytro Riznyk said the squad had already shifted focus to the San Siro trip after the 2-1 win over Kolos Kovalivka.

What the numbers say

  • Inter's last five in all competitions: two wins, one draw, two losses, with 13 scored and nine conceded.
  • Shakhtar have won four of their last five in all competitions, drawing 1-1 with PSV Eindhoven, scoring nine and conceding two.
  • Inter have won three of the seven meetings between the clubs; Shakhtar have none. The most recent was a 2-0 Inter win in November 2021, and the three meetings before that all ended 0-0.
  • Shakhtar are 11th in the standings and Inter 29th ahead of this round.

Our view

Inter's home advantage and head-to-head record point their way, but the loss of their captain and main striker is a real complication against a Shakhtar side in strong domestic form. The visitors have conceded just twice in their last five, so a tight game looks likely.

Most likely outcome: home win - Inter's record in this fixture and San Siro setting outweigh Shakhtar's momentum.

Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
starting lineups
 
Josep Martínez
7.63
 
Carlos Augusto
6.16
 
A. Bastoni
 
M. Akanji
 
F. Dimarco
6.66
 
P. Sučić
 
H. Calhanoglu
 
Nicolò Barella
 
D. Spence
 
A. Bonny
6.68
 
M. Thuram
 
D. Riznyk
 
M. Matvienko
 
Valeriy Bondar
 
Vinicius Augusto
6.17
 
O. Ocheretko
6.71
 
Marlon Gomes
 
Pedrinho
 
Alisson
 
Kauã Elias
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Inter
P. Zielinski
' Out: H. Calhanoglu
59
A. Diouf
' Out: D. Spence
59
Y. Bisseck
' Out: F. Dimarco
59
Luis Henrique
73' Out: P. Sučić
73
H. Mkhitaryan
' Out: A. Bonny
75
Substitutes for Shakhtar Donetsk
Y. Nazaryna
' Out: Pedrinho
32
Isaque
72' Out: O. Ocheretko
72
Newerton
' Out:
72
L. Traoré
' Out: Kauã Elias
72
' Out: Alisson
83
statistics
45 Ball Possession 55
1 Goals 0
1.02 Expected Goals 0.57
match facts

REFEREE

H. Osmers

STADIUM

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

LOCATION

Milano

  • Inter host Shakhtar Donetsk in the UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 at an as yet unconfirmed venue.
  • The two sides have met four times before, with three of those meetings ending in a goalless draw.
  • Shakhtar's only win in the head-to-head series came in November 2021, a 2-0 victory.
  • Inter's recent form is mixed: two draws, two defeats and just one win in their last five matches.
  • Shakhtar have struggled for results too, losing three of their last five with a single win.
  • Inter average 1.82 goals per game compared to Shakhtar's 1.00.
  • Inter also dominate shot volume, averaging 16.00 shots per match against Shakhtar's 9.68.
  • Possession leans Inter's way, with 55.65% on average versus Shakhtar's 47.59%.
  • The prediction model gives just a 10% chance of a home win, with the draw and away win both at 45%.
  • Shakhtar edge the overall comparison at 54.3% to Inter's 45.8%.
  • The model's suggested bet is Double Chance: Draw or Shakhtar Donetsk with over 1.5 goals.
  • The highest available odds for that Draw/Away double chance are 4.52 with 1xBet.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
37 Corners 11
62 Fouls 52
14 Offsides 6
77 Shots 42
24 Shots on Goal 12
9 Yellow Cards 5
1 Red Cards 0
3 Goals 0
0 Goals Conceded 3
5 Clean Sheets 3
uefa champions league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#17
3
1
1
1
1
4
#21
3
1
0
2
-1
3