Villarreal vs Manchester United
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Double chance : draw or Manchester United
Villarreal are heading into this Champions League match in a rough patch. They have lost their last two games and have not won any of their last five, with a couple of draws mixed in. Manchester United are also struggling, having lost their last two matches, but before that, they managed a win and a draw. Both teams are clearly low on confidence and looking for a turnaround.
Looking at their past meetings, the matches have been tight and low-scoring, with one win for each side. Since neither team is in good form and their recent games have not been particularly high-scoring, this looks like it could be a very close and cautious match. A draw seems like the most likely outcome.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AMWHO WILL WIN?
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WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?
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WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?
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- This is the first competitive meeting between Villarreal and Manchester United since the 2021 Champions League group stage, where the two sides traded away wins.
- Manchester United won their last encounter at Old Trafford 2-0 in November 2021, while Villarreal claimed a 2-1 victory at home earlier that season.
- The Yellow Submarine are winless in their last five matches across all competitions, with three defeats and two draws in that span.
- Manchester United have lost three of their last four away games, including a heavy 5-2 defeat in their most recent road trip.
- Villarreal have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight matches, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game in that period.
- Manchester United edge Villarreal in shot volume, averaging 14.37 shots per match compared to Villarreal’s 12.33.
- The Red Devils also hold a slight possession advantage (52.98% vs 51.26%), suggesting they may control the tempo at the Cerámica.
- Head-to-head data heavily favors Manchester United, who hold an 88% advantage in historical matchups according to the pre-match comparison.
- The prediction model gives Manchester United and the draw an equal 50% share, with no probability assigned to a Villarreal victory.
- Median stats show Villarreal average 13.5 shots at home, while United take 13 on the road-suggesting a closely contested attacking battle.
- Discipline could be a factor, as Manchester United average 2.5 yellow cards per match away, slightly higher than Villarreal’s 2 at home.
- The betting advice suggests a "Double Chance: Draw or Manchester United," reflecting the away side's historical edge and recent form contrast.
Total
Per Match
12
Corners
10
6
Corners
5
19
Fouls
15
9.5
Fouls
7.5
1
Offsides
4
0.5
Offsides
2
28
Shots
25
14
Shots
12.5
10
Shots on Goal
13
5
Shots on Goal
6.5
5
Yellow Cards
4
2.5
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goals
4
0.5
Goals
2
4
Goals Conceded
1
2
Goals Conceded
0.5
0
Clean Sheets
1
0
Clean Sheets
0.5
Last matches for VIL
Copa del Rey 2026-2027
27 OCT, 2026
Villarreal
5
Manacor
0
W
La Liga 2026-2027
24 OCT, 2026
Villarreal
2
Valencia
1
W
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
20 OCT, 2026
Villarreal
3
Liverpool
4
L
La Liga 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Villarreal
0
Elche
0
D
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
13 OCT, 2026
Villarreal
3
Napoli
1
W
La Liga 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Villarreal
0
Real Madrid
1
L
La Liga 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Villarreal
3
Levante
1
W
La Liga 2026-2027
17 SEP, 2026
Villarreal
3
Malaga
1
W
La Liga 2026-2027
14 SEP, 2026
Villarreal
1
Real Betis
2
L
La Liga 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Villarreal
2
Deportivo La Coruna
3
L
Last matches for MAN
Premier League 2026-2027
25 OCT, 2026
Manchester United
0
Bournemouth
3
L
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
21 OCT, 2026
Manchester United
1
Como
4
L
Premier League 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Manchester United
1
Leeds
1
D
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
13 OCT, 2026
Manchester United
0
Atletico Madrid
2
L
Premier League 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Manchester United
1
Tottenham
1
D
Premier League 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Manchester United
1
Fulham
1
D
League Cup 2026-2027
16 SEP, 2026
Manchester United
2
Brighton
3
L
Premier League 2026-2027
13 SEP, 2026
Manchester United
0
Manchester City
1
L
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
10 SEP, 2026
Manchester United
4
Sabah FA
0
W
Premier League 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Manchester United
2
Everton
2
D
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