Form and context

Virtus Entella come into this Serie B fixture on a strong run in all competitions, having won at Padova 2-1 on 17 October and beaten Pisa 4-1 away in September. Mantova lost 0-2 at home to Palermo last time out but had won 3-1 at Catanzaro the week before. The two sides split their recent meetings, with Mantova winning 1-0 in April 2026 and Virtus Entella winning 1-0 in September 2025.

Team news

• Virtus Entella: No confirmed team news yet.
• Mantova: Vesentini is ready to return, with Meroni also available for the trip to Liguria. Positive signs for Vlahovic, Spinacce and Paoletti, while Chinetti needs more time before returning to the squad. Silva has an ankle sprain that kept him out against Palermo and he is unlikely to feature in the next matches.

What the numbers say

• Virtus Entella have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• Mantova have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• The prediction model gives the draw and the away win 45% each, with a home win at 10%.
• Mantova's recent away form in all competitions includes a 3-1 win at Catanzaro and a 1-1 draw at Cesena.

Our view

Virtus Entella are the more settled side on recent results, but Mantova's attack has been productive and the return of Vesentini and Meroni gives them more options. With Silva unlikely to play, Mantova may lean on their other forwards to carry the threat.

Most likely outcome: draw - the model rates it level with an away win, and both teams have shown they can score and concede in equal measure.