Form and context

Portsmouth come into this Championship fixture after a 1-1 draw at Wolves in all competitions, with Terry Devlin equalising late on. John Mousinho's side have taken seven points from their last three home Championship matches. Millwall drew 2-2 with Lincoln City last time out, with second-half goals from Kyrell Lisbie and Jake Cooper rescuing a point.

Team news

• Portsmouth: Injuries are hindering the side's consistency this season. No further confirmed team news yet.
• Millwall: Injuries have not helped Millwall's campaign. No further confirmed team news yet.

What the numbers say

• Portsmouth have a home xG of 2.02 per game this term.
• Millwall average 1.4 points per game on the road and have an xG against of 1.69 per match.
• Millwall have conceded 18 goals in 11 league games.
• Millwall sit 17th for average possession.

Our view

Portsmouth have found form at home and face a Millwall side still searching for a spark, with defensive numbers that suggest the hosts can create chances. Millwall's away record is respectable, so a tight game is likely, but Portsmouth's recent home run gives them the edge.

Most likely outcome: home win - Portsmouth's strong home form and Millwall's defensive record point that way.