Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig

DFB Pokal 2026-2027 | Round of 32

Rot-Weiß Essen

d d w l w

1 - 2

1.12

2.33

Full Time

RB Leipzig

w w l l w

L. Brumme

C. Baumgartner

78'

C. Baumgartner

82'

113.20 X8.00 21.14

Predictions

	Probability % 1 x 2	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Rot-Weiß Essen RB Leipzig	Probability % 1 x 2 7% 12% 81%	Pred 2	Avg. Goal 3.91	Score Pred. 0-3

	Probability % Under / Over 2.5	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Rot-Weiß Essen RB Leipzig	Probability % Under / Over 2.5 25% 75%	Pred Over	Avg. Goal 3.91	Score Pred. 0-3

	HТ/FT Probability %	HT Pred.	FT Pred.	Score Pred.
Rot-Weiß Essen RB Leipzig	HТ/FT Probability % 54%	HT Pred. 2	FT Pred. 2	Score Pred. 0-3

	Probability % Yes/ No	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Rot-Weiß Essen RB Leipzig	Probability % Yes/ No 54% 46%	Pred Yes	Avg. Goal 3.91	Score Pred. 0-3

	Probability %	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Rot-Weiß Essen RB Leipzig	Probability % 50%	Pred Home -2.25	Avg. Goal 3.91	Score Pred. 0-3

Combo Winner : RB Leipzig and +4.5 goals

Form and context

Rot-Weiß Essen host RB Leipzig in the DFB Pokal on 27 October at 17:00 UTC. Essen beat SSV Jahn Regensburg 1-0 at home in their most recent outing, their third win in their last five matches in all competitions. Leipzig arrive after a 4-0 home win over SV Elversberg, but that followed heavy defeats to Real Madrid and Bayern München.

Team news

Rot-Weiß Essen: Coach Uwe Koschinat says the Hafenstraße stadium should be a factor against Leipzig. No confirmed team news on players yet.
RB Leipzig: No confirmed team news yet.

What the numbers say

Essen have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Leipzig have averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Leipzig's recent run in all competitions includes a 4-0 win over Elversberg, a 4-1 loss at Real Madrid and a 6-1 loss at Bayern München.
The prediction model gives the home side 10%, a draw 45% and an away win 45%.

Our view

Essen have been solid at home and Koschinat is counting on the Hafenstraße crowd to make a difference. Leipzig have shown scoring power but also defensive fragility in their recent matches in all competitions, so this could be closer than the level gap suggests. The model sees little separating a draw and an away win.

Most likely outcome: away win - Leipzig's attacking output outweighs Essen's home resilience.

Sources: waz.de

Last Updated: 25 Oct 2026 05:36 PM

ROT

starting lineups

RBL

J. Golz

Franci Bouebari

J. Rios Alonso

B. Huning

M. Kostka

J. Sietan

Ruben Seyram Reisig

5.57

D. Abiama

N. Pesch

J. Hofmann

7.61

L. Brumme

O. Nyland

D. Raum

C. Lukeba

Willi Orbán

Ridle Baku

E. Banzuzi

4.9

N. Seiwald

T. Gomis

A. Maksimovic

Rocco Reitz

Romulo Cardoso

ROT

substitutes

RBL

Substitutes for Rot-Weiß Essen

E. Celebi

65' Out: L. Brumme

N. Batzner

' Out: M. Kostka

L. Bazzoli

' Out: N. Pesch

Substitutes for RB Leipzig

N. El Aynaoui

' Out: A. Maksimovic

B. Gruda

' Out: Rocco Reitz

C. Baumgartner

' Out: E. Banzuzi

A. Nusa

' Out: Ridle Baku

B. Henrichs

' Out: Romulo Cardoso

ROT

odds

RBL

Full Time

1st Half

2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

14.14

Pinnacle

8.50

Bet365

1.21

Betano

98.54 %

BOOKMAKERS

HOME

DRAW

AWAY

PAYOUTS

Pinnacle

14.14

8.48

1.16

95.17%

Marathonbet

13.25

8.00

1.14

92.79%

Dafabet

13.00

8.40

1.18

95.84%

HIGHEST ODDS

10.73

Pinnacle

3.62

Pinnacle

1.55

Betano

98.56 %

BOOKMAKERS

HOME

DRAW

AWAY

PAYOUTS

Pinnacle

10.73

3.62

1.45

94.42%

Bet365

9.00

3.25

1.53

93.25%

Marathonbet

8.80

3.26

1.46

90.47%

HIGHEST ODDS

9.25

1xBet

4.15

Marathonbet

1.42

Betano

94.94 %

BOOKMAKERS

HOME

DRAW

AWAY

PAYOUTS

Marathonbet

8.90

4.15

1.33

90.48%

Bet365

8.50

3.75

1.36

89.32%

Betano

7.60

3.85

1.42

91.28%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.28

Bet365

3.82

Pinnacle

95.87 %

BOOKMAKERS

OVER 2.5

UNDER 2.5

PAYOUTS

Bet365

1.28

3.60

9.55%

Betano

1.28

3.45

10.43%

Pinnacle

1.26

3.82

9.49%

Marathonbet

1.22

3.50

5.04%

Betfair

1.22

3.80

13.25%

HIGHEST ODDS

3.50

Bet365

1.29

Betfair

94.26 %

BOOKMAKERS

OVER 2.5

UNDER 2.5

PAYOUTS

Bet365

3.50

1.28

18.91%

Betano

3.50

1.27

13.41%

Marathonbet

3.40

1.24

18.31%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.62

William Hill

1.57

Betano

98.17 %

BOOKMAKERS

OVER 2.5

UNDER 2.5

PAYOUTS

Bet365

2.50

1.50

15.85%

Betano

2.35

1.57

31.42%

Marathonbet

2.32

1.52

18.32%

HIGHEST ODDS

10.50

1xBet

1.06

1xBet

96.28 %

BOOKMAKERS

HOME

AWAY

PAYOUTS

Marathonbet

8.30

1.02

5.34%

Bet365

5.54%

Betfair

30.94%

Pinnacle

9.53%

HIGHEST ODDS

7.00

Bet365

1.10

Bet365

95.06 %

BOOKMAKERS

HOME

AWAY

PAYOUTS

Bet365

7.00

1.10

8.59%

Marathonbet

6.25

1.06

10.14%

Pinnacle

15.79%

SBO

93.53%

HIGHEST ODDS

6.80

Marathonbet

1.04

Marathonbet

90.20 %

BOOKMAKERS

HOME

AWAY

PAYOUTS

Marathonbet

6.80

1.04

9.13%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.74

Marathonbet

2.05

William Hill

94.12 %

BOOKMAKERS

YES

PAYOUTS

Marathonbet

1.74

1.95

91.95%

Betfair

1.73

2.00

92.76%

Bet365

1.70

2.05

92.93%

HIGHEST ODDS

5.00

William Hill

1.10

Betano

1.06

Betano

48.72 %

BOOKMAKERS

PAYOUTS

Marathonbet

5.00

1.05

1.00

46.46%

Betfair

5.00

1.06

1.03

47.30%

Betano

4.60

1.10

1.06

48.31%

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Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig

Combo Winner : RB Leipzig and +4.5 goals

Form and context

Team news

What the numbers say

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