Form and context

Aston Villa have won both of their Champions League matches so far, beating Club Brugge 3-2 and thrashing Fenerbahçe 6-0. They followed that with a 1-0 win at Newcastle on Saturday and are unbeaten in five. Viking are making their Champions League proper debut and drew 3-3 with Bayern Munich last time out after losing 3-1 at Stuttgart.

Team news

• Aston Villa: Aaron Wan-Bissaka is set for a spell out with a hamstring injury, while Matteo Ruggeri is also sidelined with a hamstring problem and Amadou Onana is expected to miss most of the season with an ACL injury. Ian Maatsen is due back in training but Wednesday may come too soon, and George Hemmings could return from a knee issue. Johan Manzambi took a kick at Newcastle but played down the problem, with Emery saying tests showed nothing big; he may be rested.
• Viking: No confirmed team news yet.

What the numbers say

• Villa have scored 1.9 goals per game across their last 10 in all competitions, conceding 1.4.
• Viking have averaged 2.8 goals for and 1.4 against across their last 10 in all competitions.
• Viking have conceded three times in both of their league phase games.
• If Viking lose, they would become only the second side, along with Tirana, to lose each of their first eight away matches in the Champions League and European Cup.

Our view

Villa's European form and the depth of their squad make them clear favourites at home, even with several defenders unavailable. Viking showed against Bayern that they can score, but their away record in this competition is a heavy burden.

Most likely outcome: home win - Villa have won both Champions League games and face a Viking side that has conceded three in each.