Aston Villa vs Arsenal

Aston Villa
l d w w l
0 - 1
0.31
xG
1.05
Full Time
Arsenal
w w w d w
B. Saka
59'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Winner : Arsenal

Aston Villa are heading into this match in poor form. They have lost their last two league games, including a heavy defeat in their most recent outing, and have only managed two wins in their last five matches overall. They look fragile at the moment.

Arsenal, on the other hand, have been much more consistent, with their recent results showing a good balance of wins and draws. They also have a strong recent record against Villa, having won the last two meetings comfortably, with plenty of goals scored in those games. This match looks like it could be open, but Arsenal are clearly the team in better shape and should come away with the win.

Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
starting lineups
 
Zion Suzuki
5.6
 
I. Maatsen
 
P. Torres
 
V. Lindelof
 
M. Cash
 
R. Barkley
 
Boubacar Kamara
 
G. Hemmings
 
E. Buendia
6
 
J. McGinn
 
N. Jackson
 
David Raya
 
R. Calafiori
 
Gabriel
 
C. Mosquera
 
B. White
 
M. Lewis-Skelly
 
D. Rice
6.2
 
C. Tzolis
 
M. Odegaard
7.6
 
B. Saka
 
K. Havertz
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Aston Villa
T. Abraham
' Out: N. Jackson
71
Alysson
' Out: G. Hemmings
71
A. Wan-Bissaka
' Out: M. Cash
78
A. Garnacho
' Out: R. Barkley
78
Substitutes for Arsenal
Eberechi Eze
46' Out: C. Tzolis
46
M. Merino
' Out: M. Odegaard
71
Bruno Guimaraes
' Out: M. Lewis-Skelly
71
Ezri Konsa
' Out: C. Mosquera
79
M. Zubimendi
' Out: D. Rice
85
statistics
39 Ball Possession 61
0 Goals 1
0.31 Expected Goals 1.05
match facts

REFEREE

J. Gillett

STADIUM

Villa Park

LOCATION

Birmingham

  • Aston Villa host Arsenal at Villa Park on August 31, 2026, in a Premier League clash where the Gunners are the clear favorites, holding the statistical edge in 100% of form, attack, and defense comparisons.
  • Arsenal have won the last two meetings against Villa, including a commanding 4-1 victory in December 2025 and a 2-1 win earlier that month.
  • Villa’s last win at Arsenal came in August 2024 with a 2-0 away victory, but they have failed to beat the Gunners at home since February 2023 (2-4 loss).
  • Arsenal boast superior averages in this matchup, scoring 1.65 goals per game compared to Villa’s 1.30, while also averaging more shots (14.67 vs 12.68) and higher possession (55.85% vs 50.01%).
  • The prediction model gives Arsenal a 45% win probability, equal to the draw at 45%, while Villa’s chances sit at just 10%.
  • Bookmakers heavily favor the away side, with 1xBet offering odds of 1.58 for an Arsenal victory in the match winner market.
  • Both teams are coming off defeats in their latest matches: Villa lost 4-0 away, while Arsenal fell 3-0 on the road, making this a crucial bounce-back opportunity.
  • Historically, this fixture has been tightly contested over the last six meetings, with three wins for Arsenal, two for Villa, and one draw, though the Gunners have dominated recent form.
  • Arsenal’s defensive statistics are notably stronger in comparison, with the away side winning the defensive comparison 100% to 0%, suggesting Villa may struggle to break them down.
  • Villa’s home form shows inconsistency, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games at Villa Park, averaging just 1.4 goals scored per match.
  • Arsenal’s away record mirrors this unpredictability-two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five road trips-but their overall attacking output gives them the edge.
  • Likely a low-scoring affair at Villa Park, with the Poisson distribution model predicting goals from both sides, though the draw (45%) is a very real possibility in this evenly matched encounter.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
48 Corners 69
159 Fouls 149
11 Offsides 34
127 Shots 202
48 Shots on Goal 68
31 Yellow Cards 25
0 Red Cards 0
16 Goals 20
20 Goals Conceded 16
4 Clean Sheets 3
premier league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#2
7
6
0
1
6
18
#12
7
2
2
3
-4
8