Aston Villa vs Arsenal
B. Saka
59'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Winner : Arsenal
Aston Villa are heading into this match in poor form. They have lost their last two league games, including a heavy defeat in their most recent outing, and have only managed two wins in their last five matches overall. They look fragile at the moment.
Arsenal, on the other hand, have been much more consistent, with their recent results showing a good balance of wins and draws. They also have a strong recent record against Villa, having won the last two meetings comfortably, with plenty of goals scored in those games. This match looks like it could be open, but Arsenal are clearly the team in better shape and should come away with the win.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
Substitutes for Aston Villa T. Abraham
' Out: N. Jackson
71
Alysson
' Out: G. Hemmings
71
A. Wan-Bissaka
' Out: M. Cash
78
A. Garnacho
' Out: R. Barkley
78
Substitutes for Arsenal Eberechi Eze
46' Out: C. Tzolis
46
M. Merino
' Out: M. Odegaard
71
Bruno Guimaraes
' Out: M. Lewis-Skelly
71
Ezri Konsa
' Out: C. Mosquera
79
M. Zubimendi
' Out: D. Rice
85
REFEREE
J. Gillett
STADIUM
Villa Park
LOCATION
Birmingham
- Aston Villa host Arsenal at Villa Park on August 31, 2026, in a Premier League clash where the Gunners are the clear favorites, holding the statistical edge in 100% of form, attack, and defense comparisons.
- Arsenal have won the last two meetings against Villa, including a commanding 4-1 victory in December 2025 and a 2-1 win earlier that month.
- Villa’s last win at Arsenal came in August 2024 with a 2-0 away victory, but they have failed to beat the Gunners at home since February 2023 (2-4 loss).
- Arsenal boast superior averages in this matchup, scoring 1.65 goals per game compared to Villa’s 1.30, while also averaging more shots (14.67 vs 12.68) and higher possession (55.85% vs 50.01%).
- The prediction model gives Arsenal a 45% win probability, equal to the draw at 45%, while Villa’s chances sit at just 10%.
- Bookmakers heavily favor the away side, with 1xBet offering odds of 1.58 for an Arsenal victory in the match winner market.
- Both teams are coming off defeats in their latest matches: Villa lost 4-0 away, while Arsenal fell 3-0 on the road, making this a crucial bounce-back opportunity.
- Historically, this fixture has been tightly contested over the last six meetings, with three wins for Arsenal, two for Villa, and one draw, though the Gunners have dominated recent form.
- Arsenal’s defensive statistics are notably stronger in comparison, with the away side winning the defensive comparison 100% to 0%, suggesting Villa may struggle to break them down.
- Villa’s home form shows inconsistency, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games at Villa Park, averaging just 1.4 goals scored per match.
- Arsenal’s away record mirrors this unpredictability-two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five road trips-but their overall attacking output gives them the edge.
- Likely a low-scoring affair at Villa Park, with the Poisson distribution model predicting goals from both sides, though the draw (45%) is a very real possibility in this evenly matched encounter.
5/
1/
7
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Aston Villa
0
-
1
31 Aug, 2026
Premier League 2026-2027
Premier League 2026-2027
Arsenal
Arsenal
4
-
1
30 Dec, 2025
Premier League 2025-2026
Premier League 2025-2026
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
2
-
1
06 Dec, 2025
Premier League 2025-2026
Premier League 2025-2026
Arsenal
Arsenal
2
-
2
18 Jan, 2025
Premier League 2024-2025
Premier League 2024-2025
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
0
-
2
24 Aug, 2024
Premier League 2024-2025
Premier League 2024-2025
Arsenal
Arsenal
0
-
2
14 Apr, 2024
Premier League 2023-2024
Premier League 2023-2024
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1
-
0
09 Dec, 2023
Premier League 2023-2024
Premier League 2023-2024
Arsenal
Aston Villa
2
-
4
18 Feb, 2023
Premier League 2022-2023
Premier League 2022-2023
Arsenal
Arsenal
2
-
1
31 Aug, 2022
Premier League 2022-2023
Premier League 2022-2023
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
0
-
1
19 Mar, 2022
Premier League 2021-2022
Premier League 2021-2022
Arsenal
Arsenal
3
-
1
22 Oct, 2021
Premier League 2021-2022
Premier League 2021-2022
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1
-
0
06 Feb, 2021
Premier League 2020-2021
Premier League 2020-2021
Arsenal
Arsenal
0
-
3
08 Nov, 2020
Premier League 2020-2021
Premier League 2020-2021
Aston Villa
Total
Per Match
48
Corners
69
3.7
Corners
5.3
159
Fouls
149
12.2
Fouls
11.5
11
Offsides
34
0.8
Offsides
2.6
127
Shots
202
9.8
Shots
15.5
48
Shots on Goal
68
3.7
Shots on Goal
5.2
31
Yellow Cards
25
2.4
Yellow Cards
1.9
0
Red Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
16
Goals
20
1.2
Goals
1.5
20
Goals Conceded
16
1.5
Goals Conceded
1.2
4
Clean Sheets
3
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.2
Last matches for AST
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
21 OCT, 2026
Aston Villa
3
Viking
1
W
Premier League 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Aston Villa
1
Newcastle
0
W
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
14 OCT, 2026
Aston Villa
6
Fenerbahçe
0
W
Premier League 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Aston Villa
2
Brentford
2
D
Premier League 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Aston Villa
3
Tottenham
2
W
League Cup 2026-2027
16 SEP, 2026
Aston Villa
3
Coventry
1
W
Premier League 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Aston Villa
1
Nottingham Forest
2
L
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
08 SEP, 2026
Aston Villa
3
Club Brugge KV
2
W
Premier League 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Aston Villa
0
Hull City
0
D
Premier League 2026-2027
31 AUG, 2026
Aston Villa
0
Arsenal
1
L
Last matches for ARS
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
21 OCT, 2026
Arsenal
2
Bayern München
2
D
Premier League 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Arsenal
1
Nottingham Forest
0
W
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
13 OCT, 2026
Arsenal
3
Lille
0
W
Premier League 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Arsenal
2
Leeds
1
W
Premier League 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Arsenal
0
Brighton
3
L
League Cup 2026-2027
15 SEP, 2026
Arsenal
4
Ipswich
2
W
Premier League 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Arsenal
2
Sunderland
0
W
Premier League 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Arsenal
2
Chelsea
1
W
Premier League 2026-2027
21 AUG, 2026
Arsenal
3
Coventry
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
18 MAY, 2026
Arsenal
1
Burnley
0
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
