Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid

Sevilla
w l l w w
1 - 3
0.96
xG
0.93
Full Time
Atletico Madrid
w w l w d
M. Sierra
66'
A. Baena
4'
A. Lookman
26'
A. Baena
33'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid

Sevilla come into this match having won three of their last five games, including a strong away victory, which shows they are in decent shape. However, their most recent home game ended in a loss, and they have struggled badly against Atletico Madrid in recent meetings, losing most of those encounters, often by several goals.

Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, have had a shaky start, with a draw and a loss in their last two matches, and they have lost three of their last five away games. Despite that, they have been the dominant side in this rivalry for years. Given Sevilla’s poor record against them and Atletico’s stronger overall squad, this looks like a close game, but Atletico are the more likely side to take the win, with a draw also a very real possibility.

Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
starting lineups
 
O. Vlachodimos
6
 
G. Suazo
 
K. Salas
 
Andres Castrin
 
J. Iglesias
 
J. Guridi
 
Lucien Agoumé
 
J. Diaz
 
Peque
7.3
 
M. Sierra
 
R. Ure
 
J. Oblak
 
A. Grimaldo
 
D. Hancko
6.7
 
M. Pubill
7.9
 
Marcos Llorente
7.7
 
A. Lookman
 
M. Hjulmand
 
Pablo Barrios
 
Giuliano Simeone
9.3
 
A. Baena
 
Lee Kang-In
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Sevilla
C. Ejuke
' Out: J. Diaz
55
G. Kochorashvili
' Out: J. Guridi
55
I. Romero
' Out: Peque
68
A. Gonzalez
80' Out: M. Sierra
80
Substitutes for Atletico Madrid
A. Ortiz
66' Out: A. Lookman
66
J. Giménez
66' Out: Marcos Llorente
66
Koke
' Out: Lee Kang-In
72
Johnny Cardoso
' Out: M. Hjulmand
85
R. Mendoza
85' Out: A. Baena
85
statistics
42 Ball Possession 58
1 Goals 3
0.96 Expected Goals 0.93
match facts

REFEREE

J. Alberola Rojas

  • Atletico Madrid have won 8 of the last 12 meetings against Sevilla, and are unbeaten in their last 5 La Liga clashes.
  • The previous 6 head-to-head encounters between these sides have produced 19 goals, with Atletico scoring 13 of them.
  • Sevilla are on a 2-game losing streak against Atletico, having lost the last two meetings by a combined score of 5-1.
  • Atletico Madrid have struggled for form on the road, winning just 1 of their last 5 away matches across all competitions.
  • Sevilla have 2 wins in their last 5 games, while Atletico have failed to win any of their last 3 away league matches.
  • Both teams average roughly 12 shots per game, but Atletico have the better conversion rate with 1.55 goals per match.
  • Sevilla hold an average possession of 54.3%, yet their goal-scoring average drops to a modest 1.11 per game.
  • The prediction model gives Atletico Madrid a 45% win probability, with the draw also at 45% and Sevilla at just 10%.
  • Bookmakers have rarely favoured Sevilla in this fixture-they have lost 5 of their last 6 home league games against Atletico.
  • Sevilla's last league match was a strong away 3-1 win, while Atletico are coming off a 2-2 home draw.
  • Atletico have a 4-1 aggregate score advantage in their last two meetings, including a dominant 3-0 home win in November 2025.
  • This La Liga tie is a low-scoring affair between the two sides at home-Sevilla's last 3 home matches have averaged just 1 total goal each.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
63 Corners 72
165 Fouls 154
10 Offsides 18
142 Shots 174
43 Shots on Goal 64
34 Yellow Cards 34
1 Red Cards 1
13 Goals 26
26 Goals Conceded 13
2 Clean Sheets 4
la liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#2
10
8
1
1
12
25
#6
10
5
2
3
0
17