Bahia vs Botafogo

Bahia
d d l d l
2 - 1
2.45
xG
0.95
Full Time
Botafogo
d w w d w
57'
David Duarte
90'+2'
Huguinho
7'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Botafogo

Looking at their recent form, Bahia are in a bit of a slump-they have not won any of their last four games, with three draws and a narrow loss. Botafogo are also struggling to find wins, with three draws and a loss in their last five, though they did manage one victory. Both teams are in similar, shaky shape right now.

When these two have met before, it has been very tight and often low-scoring. Their last match ended in a goalless draw, and in five of their last six meetings, there have been two goals or fewer. With both sides struggling for form and their recent history being so close, this match looks like it could be a tight, cautious affair. A draw seems the most likely outcome here.

Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
starting lineups
 
Ronaldo Strada
 
Ze Guilherme
 
Santiago Ramos Mingo
8.2
 
David Duarte
 
Gilberto
 
Rodrigo
 
Caio Alexandre
7.9
 
Erick
6.5
 
Willian Jose
 
Erick Pulga
6.2
 
Neto
 
Alex Telles
 
M. Ponte
6.9
 
C. Medina
7.6
 
Huguinho
6.7
 
Á. Montoro
 
Lucas Villalba
 
Arthur Cabral
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Bahia
Ademir
' Out:
25
Everton Ribeiro
' Out: Caio Alexandre
46
Everaldo
' Out: Erick Pulga
46
M. Sanabria
' Out: Ze Guilherme
65
Marcos Victor
90' Out: Willian Jose
90
Substitutes for Botafogo
Raul
' Out: Lucas Villalba
45
S. Rodríguez
74' Out: C. Medina
74
Newton
74' Out: Á. Montoro
74
Matheus Martins
' Out:
75
Chris Ramos
' Out:
90
statistics
69 Ball Possession 31
2 Goals 1
2.45 Expected Goals 0.95
match facts

REFEREE

D. de Oliveira Lacerda

  • This Serie A clash between Bahia and Botafogo is predicted to be a tight affair, with a 'Draw or Botafogo' double chance tipped.
  • Both sides are nearly identical in attack, each averaging 1.27-1.28 goals per game.
  • Recent form heavily favors Botafogo (67%) over Bahia (33%) based on the pre-match analysis.
  • Defensively, Botafogo also hold the edge (59% to 41%), suggesting they are harder to break down.
  • In their last six meetings, Bahia have won three times, Botafogo have won twice, with one draw.
  • The most recent head-to-head ended in a 0-0 stalemate in August 2024.
  • Bahia have drawn three of their last five matches, showing they are difficult to beat but struggle to win.
  • Botafogo have also drawn three of their last five outings, with only one win in that period.
  • Bahia's median possession is significantly higher (56.5%) compared to Botafogo's (43.5%).
  • Despite having less possession, Botafogo take a median of 11 shots per game versus Bahia's 15.5.
  • The prediction model gives a very low 10% chance of a home win, making Bahia clear underdogs.
  • The best odds for a Draw/Away double chance are currently 1.95 with SBO.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
37 Corners 35
99 Fouls 105
10 Offsides 16
115 Shots 83
40 Shots on Goal 29
19 Yellow Cards 20
0 Red Cards 2
8 Goals 8
8 Goals Conceded 8
2 Clean Sheets 2
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#7
32
13
11
8
5
50
#12
32
10
9
13
-7
39