Bahia vs Botafogo
57'
David Duarte
90'+2'
Huguinho
7'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Double chance : draw or Botafogo
Looking at their recent form, Bahia are in a bit of a slump-they have not won any of their last four games, with three draws and a narrow loss. Botafogo are also struggling to find wins, with three draws and a loss in their last five, though they did manage one victory. Both teams are in similar, shaky shape right now.
When these two have met before, it has been very tight and often low-scoring. Their last match ended in a goalless draw, and in five of their last six meetings, there have been two goals or fewer. With both sides struggling for form and their recent history being so close, this match looks like it could be a tight, cautious affair. A draw seems the most likely outcome here.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
Substitutes for Bahia Ademir
' Out:
25
Everton Ribeiro
' Out: Caio Alexandre
46
Everaldo
' Out: Erick Pulga
46
M. Sanabria
' Out: Ze Guilherme
65
Marcos Victor
90' Out: Willian Jose
90
Substitutes for Botafogo Raul
' Out: Lucas Villalba
45
S. Rodríguez
74' Out: C. Medina
74
Newton
74' Out: Á. Montoro
74
Matheus Martins
' Out:
75
Chris Ramos
' Out:
90
REFEREE
D. de Oliveira Lacerda
- This Serie A clash between Bahia and Botafogo is predicted to be a tight affair, with a 'Draw or Botafogo' double chance tipped.
- Both sides are nearly identical in attack, each averaging 1.27-1.28 goals per game.
- Recent form heavily favors Botafogo (67%) over Bahia (33%) based on the pre-match analysis.
- Defensively, Botafogo also hold the edge (59% to 41%), suggesting they are harder to break down.
- In their last six meetings, Bahia have won three times, Botafogo have won twice, with one draw.
- The most recent head-to-head ended in a 0-0 stalemate in August 2024.
- Bahia have drawn three of their last five matches, showing they are difficult to beat but struggle to win.
- Botafogo have also drawn three of their last five outings, with only one win in that period.
- Bahia's median possession is significantly higher (56.5%) compared to Botafogo's (43.5%).
- Despite having less possession, Botafogo take a median of 11 shots per game versus Bahia's 15.5.
- The prediction model gives a very low 10% chance of a home win, making Bahia clear underdogs.
- The best odds for a Draw/Away double chance are currently 1.95 with SBO.
4/
1/
2
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Bahia
2
-
1
30 May, 2026
Serie A 2026-2027
Serie A 2026-2027
Botafogo
Bahia
0
-
0
25 Aug, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Botafogo
Botafogo
1
-
2
05 May, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Bahia
Botafogo
3
-
0
27 Aug, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Bahia
Bahia
1
-
2
24 Apr, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Botafogo
Bahia
1
-
0
08 Nov, 2020
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Botafogo
Botafogo
1
-
2
01 Oct, 2020
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Bahia
Total
Per Match
37
Corners
35
5.3
Corners
5
99
Fouls
105
14.1
Fouls
15
10
Offsides
16
1.4
Offsides
2.3
115
Shots
83
16.4
Shots
11.9
40
Shots on Goal
29
5.7
Shots on Goal
4.1
19
Yellow Cards
20
2.7
Yellow Cards
2.9
0
Red Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0.3
8
Goals
8
1.1
Goals
1.1
8
Goals Conceded
8
1.1
Goals Conceded
1.1
2
Clean Sheets
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.3
Last matches for BAH
Serie A 2026-2027
25 OCT, 2026
Bahia
1
Santos
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Bahia
0
Flamengo
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Bahia
1
Mirassol
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
09 OCT, 2026
Bahia
0
Palmeiras
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Bahia
1
Atletico Paranaense
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
14 SEP, 2026
Bahia
2
remo
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Bahia
3
RB Bragantino
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Bahia
3
Internacional
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Bahia
2
Vitoria
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
Bahia
0
Vasco DA Gama
0
D
Last matches for BOT
Serie A 2026-2027
24 OCT, 2026
Botafogo
0
Internacional
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Botafogo
1
Chapecoense-sc
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
12 OCT, 2026
Botafogo
1
Coritiba
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
07 OCT, 2026
Botafogo
1
Vasco DA Gama
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Botafogo
0
Mirassol
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
16 SEP, 2026
Botafogo
3
Gremio
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Botafogo
1
RB Bragantino
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Botafogo
0
Palmeiras
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Botafogo
0
Flamengo
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Botafogo
0
Vitoria
1
L
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