Stoke City vs Bristol City
|
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stoke City
Bristol City
|
Probability %
1
x
2
40%
29%
30%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.48
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Stoke City
Bristol City
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
55%
45%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.48
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Stoke City
Bristol City
|
HТ/FT Probability %
22%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Stoke City
Bristol City
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
52%
48%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.48
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Stoke City
Bristol City
|
Probability %
56%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.48
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
Double chance : Stoke City or draw
Form and context
Stoke City sit in the Championship play-off places after 11 fixtures and start the weekend within three points of the automatic promotion places. The Potters beat Derby County 1-0 last time out, while Bristol City are 16th and have won just one of their past six games.
Team news
- Stoke City: No confirmed team news yet.
- Bristol City: No confirmed team news yet. Lorent Tolaj has been injured, though the source does not give a return date.
What the numbers say
- Stoke have won six of their past eight league games (D1 L1) and have collected 19 points since the start of September.
- Bristol City have lost their past two league games by 1-0 scorelines and have scored three goals in their past six games.
- Stoke are unbeaten in their previous three home league games against Bristol City (W2 D1).
- Ethan Galbraith has assisted in three of his past four league games for Stoke and leads the Potters for league goal involvements with six.
Our view
Stoke's recent league run is strong and their home record in this fixture is solid, while Bristol City are struggling for goals and results. The visitors will need a much sharper attacking display to change that pattern.
Most likely outcome: home win - Stoke's six wins in eight league games and Bristol City's one win in six point the same way.
Last Updated: 22 Oct 2026 03:31 PM
REFEREE
J. Bell
STADIUM
bet365 Stadium
LOCATION
Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
- Stoke City host Bristol City in the Championship 2026-2027 at an as-yet-unnamed venue.
- Stoke City are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches (W-W-W-L-W).
- Bristol City have also impressed, winning three of their last five, including back-to-back 1-0 away victories.
- Stoke have won their last three matches on the bounce, scoring twice in each of the last two.
- Bristol City's recent wins have both come by a 1-0 scoreline, highlighting their defensive solidity on the road.
- Stoke average just 0.44 goals per game this season, while Bristol City average only 0.26 - expect a tight contest.
- Despite low goal output, Bristol City average 15.5 shots per game, more than Stoke's 11.31.
- Bristol City also edge possession, averaging 48.67% compared to Stoke's 45.23%.
- Prediction model gives Stoke a 45% win chance, a draw 45%, and Bristol City just 10%.
- The recommended bet is Double Chance: Stoke City or Draw, available at 1.36 with William Hill.
- Form comparison heavily favours Stoke (75% vs 25%), and attack ratings are 82% vs 18% in their favour.
- Bristol City hold the edge in defence (60% vs 40%), suggesting a low-scoring but balanced affair.
0/
1/
0
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Total
Per Match
5
Corners
6
7
Fouls
13
2
Offsides
1
11
Shots
8
1
Shots on Goal
0
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goals
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
1
Clean Sheets
1
Last matches for STO 
Championship 2026-2027
24 OCT, 2026
Stoke City
0
Bristol City
0
D
Championship 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Stoke City
1
Derby
0
W
Championship 2026-2027
13 OCT, 2026
Stoke City
2
Middlesbrough
3
L
Championship 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Stoke City
2
Bolton
1
W
Championship 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Stoke City
2
Sheffield Utd
1
W
Championship 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Stoke City
2
Watford
1
W
Championship 2026-2027
08 SEP, 2026
Stoke City
1
Cardiff
1
D
Championship 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Stoke City
4
Charlton
0
W
Championship 2026-2027
01 SEP, 2026
Stoke City
1
Norwich
0
W
Championship 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
Stoke City
1
Wolves
4
L
Last matches for BRI
Championship 2026-2027
24 OCT, 2026
Bristol City
0
Stoke City
0
D
Championship 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Bristol City
0
Sheffield Utd
1
L
Championship 2026-2027
13 OCT, 2026
Bristol City
0
Blackburn
1
L
Championship 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Bristol City
1
Charlton
1
D
Championship 2026-2027
18 SEP, 2026
Bristol City
1
Watford
0
W
Championship 2026-2027
15 SEP, 2026
Bristol City
0
Lincoln
1
L
Championship 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Bristol City
1
Southampton
4
L
Championship 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Bristol City
2
Burnley
1
W
Championship 2026-2027
01 SEP, 2026
Bristol City
3
Preston
1
W
Championship 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
Bristol City
2
Portsmouth
1
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
2.47
Betano
3.35
Dafabet
3.24
Pinnacle
98.81 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano
2.47
3.30
2.92
95.21%
Dafabet
2.46
3.35
3.00
96.31%
William Hill
2.40
3.00
2.90
91.34%
Betfair
2.38
3.25
3.10
95.20%
1xBet
Bonus
2.38
3.18
2.98
93.44%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.10
Bet365
2.21
Pinnacle
3.85
Pinnacle
96.64 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
3.10
2.10
3.60
92.89%
Betano
3.10
2.05
3.55
91.57%
Pinnacle
3.05
2.21
3.85
96.14%
1xBet
Bonus
3.02
2.00
3.78
91.27%
William Hill
3.00
2.15
3.30
90.79%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.88
William Hill
2.42
Betano
3.34
1xBet
94.35 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
2.88
2.30
3.10
90.53%
Betano
2.75
2.42
3.10
90.96%
1xBet
Bonus
2.67
2.38
3.34
91.40%
Marathonbet
2.65
2.38
3.26
90.56%
Bet365
2.62
2.38
3.10
88.93%
