Carlisle vs Harrogate Town
J. Williams
9'
C. Whelan
46'
R. Galvin
61'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Carlisle
Harrogate Town
|
Probability %
1
x
2
47%
25%
28%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
3.08
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Carlisle
Harrogate Town
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
41%
59%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
3.08
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Carlisle
Harrogate Town
|
HТ/FT Probability %
26%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Carlisle
Harrogate Town
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
62%
38%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
3.08
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Carlisle
Harrogate Town
|
Probability %
53%
|
Pred
Away -3
|
Avg. Goal
3.08
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Double chance : draw or Harrogate Town
Form and context
Carlisle have won four of their last five in all competitions, including a 2-1 win at Solihull Moors on 24 October. Harrogate Town have also been strong, winning four of five in all competitions and scoring three goals in three of those games. The two sides meet at an unnamed venue on 28 October with little to separate them in the head-to-head record.
Team news
- Carlisle: No confirmed team news yet.
- Harrogate Town: No confirmed team news yet.
What the numbers say
- Carlisle average 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Harrogate Town average 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Harrogate have won four of the last eight meetings, Carlisle none, with three draws. The most recent was a 1-0 Harrogate win in March 2025.
- The prediction model gives the draw and the away win 45% each, with a home win at 10%.
Our view
Both teams arrive in good form, but Harrogate's scoring rate and their record in this fixture give them the edge. Carlisle's recent wins have been tighter, and the head-to-head history leans clearly one way.
Most likely outcome: away win - Harrogate have won four of the last eight meetings and are averaging more than two goals a game.
Last Updated: 26 Oct 2026 08:41 PM
Substitutes for Carlisle 
C. Camps
' Out: D. Ajiboye
40
R. Galvin
56' Out: J. Williams
56
T. Jenks
56' Out: C. Whelan
56
S. Wearne
' Out: M. Obiero
68
T. Mullarkey
69' Out: K. Richardson
69
Substitutes for Harrogate Town
S. McCoulsky
' Out: L. Cass
46
J. Muldoon
65' Out: C. McGuckin
65
- Carlisle host Harrogate Town in the National League on October 28, 2026.
- Carlisle are in strong recent form, winning three of their last five matches.
- Harrogate Town have struggled lately, losing three of their last five games.
- Both sides are evenly matched in attack, averaging just over one goal per game each.
- Carlisle average 1.13 goals per match compared to Harrogate's 1.09.
- Possession stats are nearly identical, with Harrogate slightly ahead at 48% to Carlisle's 47.4%.
- Carlisle create more shots on average (12.21) than Harrogate (11.31).
- Their last meeting ended in a 1-0 win for Harrogate away from home.
- Recent head-to-head history is perfectly balanced, with two wins apiece and three draws in eight meetings.
- Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring encounters, including a 3-3 draw in 2022.
- The prediction model favors a draw or Harrogate win, with both outcomes rated at 45%.
- Betfair offers odds of 1.80 on the double chance Draw/Away outcome.
Total
Per Match
51
Corners
32
81
Fouls
96
6
Offsides
13
110
Shots
87
34
Shots on Goal
37
16
Yellow Cards
13
2
Red Cards
0
8
Goals
13
13
Goals Conceded
8
1
Clean Sheets
5
Last matches for CAR 
National League 2026-2027
31 OCT, 2026
Carlisle
4
Altrincham
2
W
National League 2026-2027
28 OCT, 2026
Carlisle
3
Harrogate Town
0
W
National League 2026-2027
24 OCT, 2026
Carlisle
2
Solihull Moors
1
W
FA Cup 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Carlisle
2
Tamworth
1
W
National League 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Carlisle
0
Kidderminster Harriers
0
D
National League 2026-2027
03 OCT, 2026
Carlisle
3
Aldershot Town
1
W
National League 2026-2027
29 SEP, 2026
Carlisle
2
AFC Fylde
0
W
National League 2026-2027
26 SEP, 2026
Carlisle
2
Woking
5
L
National League 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Carlisle
0
Eastleigh
1
L
National League 2026-2027
15 SEP, 2026
Carlisle
1
Forest Green
1
D
Last matches for HAR
National League 2026-2027
31 OCT, 2026
Harrogate Town
2
Forest Green
2
D
National League 2026-2027
28 OCT, 2026
Harrogate Town
0
Carlisle
3
L
National League 2026-2027
24 OCT, 2026
Harrogate Town
3
Sutton Utd
1
W
FA Cup 2026-2027
20 OCT, 2026
Harrogate Town
3
Bury
1
W
FA Cup 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Harrogate Town
1
Bury
1
D
National League 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Harrogate Town
1
Woking
0
W
National League 2026-2027
03 OCT, 2026
Harrogate Town
3
AFC Hornchurch
0
W
National League 2026-2027
29 SEP, 2026
Harrogate Town
1
Hartlepool
0
W
National League 2026-2027
26 SEP, 2026
Harrogate Town
4
Eastleigh
1
W
National League 2026-2027
15 SEP, 2026
Harrogate Town
1
AFC Fylde
2
L
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
2.03
Pinnacle
3.77
Pinnacle
3.41
Pinnacle
95.14 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.03
3.77
3.41
95.14%
Bet365
2.00
3.60
3.10
90.88%
William Hill
1.95
3.50
3.30
90.78%
1xBet
Bonus
1.91
3.62
3.27
90.45%
Marathonbet
1.89
3.62
3.20
89.46%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.60
Bet365
2.48
Pinnacle
3.88
Pinnacle
95.64 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
2.60
2.40
3.60
92.67%
Pinnacle
2.53
2.48
3.88
94.68%
1xBet
Bonus
2.44
2.31
3.82
90.54%
Marathonbet
2.42
2.31
3.70
89.57%
William Hill
2.40
2.40
3.50
89.36%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.38
William Hill
2.70
Marathonbet
3.46
1xBet
92.63 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
2.38
2.50
3.30
89.03%
Bet365
2.38
2.62
3.20
89.74%
1xBet
Bonus
2.24
2.70
3.46
90.43%
Marathonbet
2.22
2.70
3.36
89.41%
