Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bayern München
1. FC Magdeburg
|
Probability %
1
x
2
92%
5%
2%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
4.94
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bayern München
1. FC Magdeburg
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
13%
87%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
4.94
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bayern München
1. FC Magdeburg
|
HТ/FT Probability %
69%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bayern München
1. FC Magdeburg
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
49%
51%
|
Pred
No
|
Avg. Goal
4.94
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bayern München
1. FC Magdeburg
|
Probability %
52%
|
Pred
Home -3.5
|
Avg. Goal
4.94
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Combo Double chance : draw or 1. FC Magdeburg and +1.5 goals
Form and context
Bayern München host 1. FC Magdeburg in the second round of the DFB Pokal on Wednesday evening. Bayern won 3-1 at SC Freiburg in their most recent outing in all competitions, while Magdeburg thrashed Karlsruher SC 6-1 at home, the biggest win in the club's Bundesliga 2 history. Magdeburg sit fifth in the second tier with 16 points from nine matches, two points off the promotion places.
Team news
- Bayern München: Vincent Kompany remains in hospital after collapsing at the training ground and will be absent for weeks, with assistant Aaron Danks again in charge. Manuel Neuer, Luis Díaz, Jamal Musiala, Aleksandar Pavlović, Kim Min-jae and Bara Ndiaye were among those missing at Freiburg, while Joshua Kimmich was absent on compassionate leave; who returns by Wednesday is open.
- 1. FC Magdeburg: Moritz-Broni Kwarteng is out with a bleeding in the calf that radiates to the Achilles tendon, and Lubambo Musonda is a long-term absentee.
What the numbers say
- Bayern have won 20 of their last 21 DFB Pokal ties against second-tier clubs, the only exception being a penalty shootout exit at Holstein Kiel in 2020/21.
- Magdeburg have been eliminated in six straight matches against higher-tier opponents, their last such success coming in the 2017/18 first round against Augsburg.
- Harry Kane has scored in each of his last seven DFB Pokal appearances, equalling the club record.
- Bayern have exited only two of 33 home DFB Pokal matches against lower-tier opponents.
Our view
Bayern's long injury list and Kompany's absence add uncertainty, but their record against second-tier sides in this competition is formidable. Magdeburg arrive in strong form and with nothing to lose, though history weighs heavily against them.
Most likely outcome: home win - Bayern's near-perfect Pokal record against lower-tier opposition.
Last Updated: 26 Oct 2026 08:40 PMWHO WILL WIN?
0%
0%
0%
Total votes: 0
WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?
0%
0%
Total votes: 0
WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?
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Total votes: 0
REFEREE
H. Osmers
STADIUM
Allianz Arena
LOCATION
Munich
- Competition: DFB Pokal 2026-2027 clash between Bayern München and 1. FC Magdeburg.
- Kickoff: Scheduled for 28 October 2026 at 19:45 GMT.
- No H2H history: These two sides have no recorded head-to-head meetings in the data.
- Bayern's mixed form: The home side have won just once in their last five (W1 D3 L1), including a heavy 6-1 defeat.
- Magdeburg struggling: The visitors have lost four of their last five matches (L4 D1), conceding 15 goals in that run.
- Bayern's attacking edge: They average 2.58 goals per game, notably higher than Magdeburg's 1.47.
- Shot dominance: Bayern average 18.55 shots per match compared to Magdeburg's 12.77.
- Possession battle: Bayern lead the possession stats at 63.53% versus Magdeburg's 56.85%.
- Tight prediction: The model gives just 10% to a Bayern win, with draw and Magdeburg both at 45%.
- Defensive contrast: Comparison stats heavily favour Magdeburg's defence (100%) over Bayern's (0%).
- Prediction advice: Combo Double Chance - Draw or 1. FC Magdeburg, with over 1.5 goals.
- Value odd: Bet365 offers 13.00 on the Draw/Away Double Chance market.
Last matches for BAY
Bundesliga 2026-2027
Bayern München
3
SC Freiburg
1
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Bayern München
2
Arsenal
2
Bundesliga 2026-2027
Bayern München
6
RB Leipzig
1
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Bayern München
3
Viking
3
Bundesliga 2026-2027
Bayern München
2
FC Augsburg
2
Bundesliga 2026-2027
Bayern München
7
Union Berlin
0
Bundesliga 2026-2027
Bayern München
2
SV Elversberg
1
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Bayern München
5
Bodo/Glimt
0
Bundesliga 2026-2027
Bayern München
0
FC Schalke 04
0
Bundesliga 2026-2027
Bayern München
5
VfB Stuttgart
1
Last matches for FCM
2. Bundesliga 2026-2027
1. FC Magdeburg
6
Karlsruher SC
1
2. Bundesliga 2026-2027
1. FC Magdeburg
0
Dynamo Dresden
2
2. Bundesliga 2026-2027
1. FC Magdeburg
3
Hannover 96
0
2. Bundesliga 2026-2027
1. FC Magdeburg
1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
2. Bundesliga 2026-2027
1. FC Magdeburg
3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
2. Bundesliga 2026-2027
1. FC Magdeburg
1
Hertha BSC
2
2. Bundesliga 2026-2027
1. FC Magdeburg
2
Holstein Kiel
0
DFB Pokal 2026-2027
1. FC Magdeburg
4
Bahlinger SC
0
2. Bundesliga 2026-2027
1. FC Magdeburg
3
VfL Osnabrück
0
2. Bundesliga 2026-2027
1. FC Magdeburg
1
Eintracht Braunschweig
6
