Bahia vs Santos

Bahia
l w l w l
2 - 2
1.20
xG
2.13
Full Time
Santos
l l w d l
Luciano Juba
76'
Willian Jose
83'
B. Rollheiser
22'
B. Rollheiser
45'+4'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Bahia or draw

Bahia has been quite inconsistent lately, winning two of their last five matches but also suffering some heavy defeats. Santos, on the other hand, has been struggling for form, with only one win in their last five games. Looking at their recent meetings, most matches have not been close, with several seeing a lot of goals scored.

Given that both teams have been finding wins hard to come by and their past games have often been one-sided, this match looks like it could go either way. Based on their current form and history, a draw seems to be the most likely outcome.

Last Updated: 23 Apr 2026 07:32 AM
starting lineups
 
Leo Vieira
7.9
 
Luciano Juba
6.9
 
Santiago Ramos Mingo
 
Gabriel Xavier
 
Nicolas Acevedo
 
Caio Alexandre
 
Michel Araujo
6.5
 
Erick Pulga
7.7
 
Willian Jose
7
 
Diogenes
6.9
 
G. Escobar
 
Lucas Verissimo
6
 
Mayke
 
C. Oliva
 
Joao Schmidt
 
Thaciano
7.3
 
B. Rollheiser
 
Gabriel Bontempo
 
Rony
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Bahia
Everton Ribeiro
' Out: Michel Araujo
46
Gilberto
' Out: Gabriel Xavier
46
Erick
' Out: Caio Alexandre
72
Everaldo
' Out:
73
Ademir
90' Out: Erick Pulga
90
Substitutes for Santos
L. Diaz
' Out: Thaciano
65
65' Out: B. Rollheiser
65
Moises
' Out: Rony
80
' Out: Gabriel Bontempo
80
Luan Peres
' Out: Joao Schmidt
89
statistics
64 Ball Possession 36
2 Goals 2
1.20 Expected Goals 2.13
match facts

REFEREE

R. Abatti Abel

  • Match: Bahia vs Santos in Serie A 2026-2027.
  • Bahia's recent form is mixed with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches.
  • Santos's recent form shows 1 win, 3 losses, and 1 draw in their last 5.
  • In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Santos has won 5, with Bahia winning only once.
  • The most recent H2H clash (Sep 2023) ended in a 1-2 away win for Bahia.
  • Three of the last six H2H meetings ended with a 3-0 scoreline.
  • Bahia averages 1.24 goals per match, slightly higher than Santos's 1.11.
  • Santos has a higher median shots per game (15.5) compared to Bahia (12).
  • Bahia has a lower median for yellow cards (1.5) than Santos (2.5).
  • The prediction model suggests a double chance: Bahia or draw.
  • Win probability is evenly split between Bahia (35%) and a draw (35%).
  • Key statistical comparison gives Bahia a slight overall edge (52.7% vs 47.3%).
Last Updated: 23 Apr 2026 07:32 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
41 Corners 51
127 Fouls 118
13 Offsides 15
125 Shots 110
32 Shots on Goal 48
19 Yellow Cards 17
0 Red Cards 1
10 Goals 11
11 Goals Conceded 10
3 Clean Sheets 2
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#6
33
14
11
8
6
53
#8
33
12
11
10
2
47