Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Empoli
Vicenza Virtus
|
Probability %
1
x
2
38%
29%
33%
|
Pred
X
|
Avg. Goal
2.7
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Empoli
Vicenza Virtus
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
49%
51%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.7
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Empoli
Vicenza Virtus
|
HТ/FT Probability %
20%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Empoli
Vicenza Virtus
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
57%
43%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.7
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Empoli
Vicenza Virtus
|
Probability %
53%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.7
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
Double chance : Empoli or draw
Form and context
Empoli host Vicenza Virtus on Friday evening at the Carlo Castellani Computer Gross Arena in the opening match of Serie B's eighth round. Empoli drew 1-1 at Ascoli last time out in all competitions, while Vicenza Virtus also drew 2-2 at Benevento. The visitors have conceded three or more goals in two of their last five matches in all competitions.
Team news
- Empoli: Gerard Yepes is at serious risk of missing out after tests confirmed a sprained right ankle, and he will be assessed day by day. Distefano, Romagnoli and Monaco have been training separately but could be available. Lapo Deli or Duccio Degli Innocenti are the options to replace Yepes, and Egan could return to the starting XI on the right.
- Vicenza Virtus: No confirmed team news yet.
What the numbers say
- Empoli have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Vicenza Virtus have averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2 conceded across their last 8 matches in all competitions.
- Empoli have won just one of their last five matches in all competitions (Carrarese 0-1 Empoli).
- Vicenza Virtus are without a win in their last five matches in all competitions, drawing three of them.
Our view
Empoli's recent run in all competitions has been poor, but Vicenza Virtus arrive with an even weaker sequence of results and a defence that has leaked goals. The main question is whether Empoli can cope without Yepes in midfield, with his replacement still to be decided.
Most likely outcome: home win - Vicenza Virtus have conceded two goals per game on average in their recent matches in all competitions.
Last Updated: 21 Oct 2026 06:33 PM
Substitutes for Empoli
Substitutes for Vicenza Virtus REFEREE
C. Giuseppe Allegretta
STADIUM
Stadio Carlo Castellani - Computer Gross Arena
LOCATION
Empoli
- Serie B 2026-2027 clash: Empoli host Vicenza Virtus on October 23, 2026.
- Empoli are unbeaten in their last two, with a draw and an away win in their recent form run.
- Empoli have won three of their last five matches, including two 1-0 victories on the road.
- Vicenza Virtus remain winless in their last two after a 2-2 draw and a heavy 3-0 away win before it.
- Empoli average just 0.89 goals per game, while Vicenza Virtus average a lowly 0.26.
- Vicenza Virtus actually out-shoot Empoli, averaging 13.14 shots per game versus 11.50.
- Possession is nearly even: Empoli 45.28% compared to Vicenza Virtus at 46.86%.
- The prediction model favors a Double Chance on Empoli or a draw, rated at 1.44 with Betfair.
- Win probabilities stand at 45% Empoli, 45% draw, and just 10% for Vicenza Virtus.
- Empoli hold a dominant 91% to 9% edge in the head-to-head comparison metric.
- Overall model comparison leans toward Empoli at 61.7% versus Vicenza Virtus at 38.3%.
- The goals comparison strongly favors Empoli at 71% to 29%, though the attacking metric slightly favors Vicenza at 55%.
Last matches for EMP
Serie B 2026-2027
Empoli
0
Vicenza Virtus
2
Serie B 2026-2027
Empoli
1
Ascoli
1
Serie B 2026-2027
Empoli
2
Palermo
4
Serie B 2026-2027
Empoli
1
Modena
2
Serie B 2026-2027
Empoli
0
Arezzo
1
Serie B 2026-2027
Empoli
1
Carrarese
0
Serie B 2026-2027
Empoli
1
Mantova
3
Serie B 2026-2027
Empoli
1
Cremonese
0
Coppa Italia 2026-2027
Empoli
1
Pisa
1
Serie B 2025-2026
Empoli
1
Avellino
0
Last matches for VIC
Serie B 2026-2027
Vicenza Virtus
2
Empoli
0
Serie B 2026-2027
Vicenza Virtus
2
Benevento
2
Serie B 2026-2027
Vicenza Virtus
0
Pisa
3
Serie B 2026-2027
Vicenza Virtus
1
Verona
2
Serie B 2026-2027
Vicenza Virtus
1
Juve Stabia
1
Serie B 2026-2027
Vicenza Virtus
2
Virtus Entella
2
Serie B 2026-2027
Vicenza Virtus
0
Avellino
3
Serie B 2026-2027
Vicenza Virtus
3
Catanzaro
2
Coppa Italia 2026-2027
Vicenza Virtus
1
Catania
1
