Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus

Empoli
w l l l d
0 - 2
0.57
xG
2.01
Full Time
Vicenza Virtus
d d l l d
N. Rauti
20'
G. Pellizzari
85'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Empoli Empoli
Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus
Probability %
1 x 2
38%
29%
33%
Pred
X
Avg. Goal
2.7
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Empoli Empoli
Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
49%
51%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
2.7
Score Pred.
2-1
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Empoli Empoli
Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus
HТ/FT Probability %
20%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Empoli Empoli
Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus
Probability %
Yes/ No
57%
43%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
2.7
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Empoli Empoli
Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus
Probability %
53%
Pred
Home +0
Avg. Goal
2.7
Score Pred.
2-1

Double chance : Empoli or draw

Form and context

Empoli host Vicenza Virtus on Friday evening at the Carlo Castellani Computer Gross Arena in the opening match of Serie B's eighth round. Empoli drew 1-1 at Ascoli last time out in all competitions, while Vicenza Virtus also drew 2-2 at Benevento. The visitors have conceded three or more goals in two of their last five matches in all competitions.

Team news

  • Empoli: Gerard Yepes is at serious risk of missing out after tests confirmed a sprained right ankle, and he will be assessed day by day. Distefano, Romagnoli and Monaco have been training separately but could be available. Lapo Deli or Duccio Degli Innocenti are the options to replace Yepes, and Egan could return to the starting XI on the right.
  • Vicenza Virtus: No confirmed team news yet.

What the numbers say

  • Empoli have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
  • Vicenza Virtus have averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2 conceded across their last 8 matches in all competitions.
  • Empoli have won just one of their last five matches in all competitions (Carrarese 0-1 Empoli).
  • Vicenza Virtus are without a win in their last five matches in all competitions, drawing three of them.

Our view

Empoli's recent run in all competitions has been poor, but Vicenza Virtus arrive with an even weaker sequence of results and a defence that has leaked goals. The main question is whether Empoli can cope without Yepes in midfield, with his replacement still to be decided.

Most likely outcome: home win - Vicenza Virtus have conceded two goals per game on average in their recent matches in all competitions.

Last Updated: 21 Oct 2026 06:33 PM
starting lineups
 
J. Seghetti
 
C. Cauz
5.64
 
M. Curto
 
L. Magnino
 
N. Corrado
 
E. Saporiti
 
D. Degli Innocenti
 
F. Bandinelli
 
K. Zedadka
 
J. Ceesay
 
B. Popov
 
R. Gagno
6.61
 
R. Marchizza
 
N. Brighenti
 
Andrea Papetti
 
T. Corazza
 
M. Valoti
 
A. Bellemo
8.2
 
G. Pellizzari
6.4
 
L. Caferri
 
C. Morra
7.6
 
N. Rauti
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Empoli
S. Shpendi
' Out: J. Ceesay
50
F. Di Stefano
' Out: E. Saporiti
69
Luca Belardinelli
' Out: F. Bandinelli
69
L. Deli
' Out: D. Degli Innocenti
70
M. Egan
' Out: L. Magnino
82
Substitutes for Vicenza Virtus
S. Merkaj
74' Out: N. Rauti
74
F. Alessio
' Out: C. Morra
74
T. Sandon
78' Out: R. Marchizza
78
L. Zonta
' Out: M. Valoti
83
statistics
51 Ball Possession 49
0 Goals 2
0.57 Expected Goals 2.01
match facts

REFEREE

C. Giuseppe Allegretta

STADIUM

Stadio Carlo Castellani - Computer Gross Arena

LOCATION

Empoli

  • Serie B 2026-2027 clash: Empoli host Vicenza Virtus on October 23, 2026.
  • Empoli are unbeaten in their last two, with a draw and an away win in their recent form run.
  • Empoli have won three of their last five matches, including two 1-0 victories on the road.
  • Vicenza Virtus remain winless in their last two after a 2-2 draw and a heavy 3-0 away win before it.
  • Empoli average just 0.89 goals per game, while Vicenza Virtus average a lowly 0.26.
  • Vicenza Virtus actually out-shoot Empoli, averaging 13.14 shots per game versus 11.50.
  • Possession is nearly even: Empoli 45.28% compared to Vicenza Virtus at 46.86%.
  • The prediction model favors a Double Chance on Empoli or a draw, rated at 1.44 with Betfair.
  • Win probabilities stand at 45% Empoli, 45% draw, and just 10% for Vicenza Virtus.
  • Empoli hold a dominant 91% to 9% edge in the head-to-head comparison metric.
  • Overall model comparison leans toward Empoli at 61.7% versus Vicenza Virtus at 38.3%.
  • The goals comparison strongly favors Empoli at 71% to 29%, though the attacking metric slightly favors Vicenza at 55%.
Last Updated: 21 Oct 2026 06:33 PM
head to head
all competitions
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
4 Corners 4
12 Fouls 23
4 Offsides 0
13 Shots 19
5 Shots on Goal 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0
0 Goals 2
2 Goals Conceded 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
serie b standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#14
8
2
3
3
-4
9
#17
8
2
1
5
-6
7
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

2.62
Bet365
3.39
Pinnacle
3.00
Pinnacle
99.01 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.62
3.20
2.70
93.94%
Betfair Betfair Logo
2.60
3.20
2.63
92.82%
Betano Betano Logo
2.60
3.35
2.72
95.17%
Dafabet Dafabet Logo
2.60
3.35
2.75
95.53%
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.50
3.10
2.62
90.56%

HIGHEST ODDS

3.20
Betano
2.28
Pinnacle
3.74
Pinnacle
98.19 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano Betano Logo
3.20
2.10
3.30
91.60%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
3.10
2.25
3.25
93.05%
Betfair Betfair Logo
3.10
2.10
3.10
89.18%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
3.05
2.08
3.38
90.54%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
3.05
2.08
3.38
90.54%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.82
Betano
2.52
Betano
3.00
William Hill
92.19 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano Betano Logo
2.82
2.52
2.87
90.92%
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.75
2.38
3.00
89.51%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.70
2.51
2.98
90.55%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.70
2.51
2.98
90.55%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.62
2.50
3.00
89.69%