Padova vs Sudtirol
G. Artistico
19'
Alessandro Capelli
87'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Padova
Sudtirol
|
Probability %
1
x
2
43%
32%
25%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.39
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Padova
Sudtirol
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
57%
43%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.39
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Padova
Sudtirol
|
HТ/FT Probability %
23%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Padova
Sudtirol
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
50%
50%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.39
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Padova
Sudtirol
|
Probability %
64%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.39
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
Double chance : draw or Sudtirol
Form and context
Padova come into this Serie B 2026-2027 fixture on the back of a 1-0 win at Avellino on 24 October, though that result followed three straight defeats in all competitions. Sudtirol drew 1-1 at home to Sampdoria on the same day, having lost 3-0 at Juve Stabia a week earlier.
Both sides have been closely matched in the head-to-head, with Sudtirol winning the most recent meeting 3-0 in January 2026 and the previous encounter finishing 1-1.
Team news
- Padova: No confirmed team news yet.
- Sudtirol: No confirmed team news yet.
What the numbers say
- Padova have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Sudtirol have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Sudtirol's recent away form in all competitions includes a 3-0 loss at Juve Stabia and a 4-1 win at Arezzo.
- The prediction model gives the draw and the away win 45% each, with a home win at 10%.
Our view
Padova's recent run has been inconsistent, with three defeats in their last five matches in all competitions before the Avellino win. Sudtirol have been the tighter side defensively on average and won the last head-to-head convincingly, which points to a cautious, low-scoring contest.
Most likely outcome: draw - the model rates a draw and an away win equally, and both teams have shown mixed recent form.
Last Updated: 25 Oct 2026 07:36 PM
Substitutes for Padova 
L. Carissoni
70' Out: M. Cocchi
70
A. Seghetti
' Out: L. Moro
70
Alessandro Capelli
' Out: E. Zuelli
78
K. Varas
' Out: Marco Pompetti
78
N. Galazzi
90' Out: Pietro Fusi
90
Substitutes for Sudtirol
R. Burnete
' Out: A. Vasic
45
F. Rispoli
' Out: D. Brik
62
K. Mixtur
' Out: A. Okoro
72
K. Zeroli
' Out: F. Davi
81
REFEREE
E. Manedo Mazzoni
STADIUM
Stadio Comunale Euganeo
LOCATION
Padova
- Serie B 2026-2027 clash between Padova and Sudtirol, scheduled for 27 October 2026.
- Padova arrive in strong form with three straight wins, including two victories on the road.
- Sudtirol's recent run is mixed: one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five.
- Head-to-head: Sudtirol won the most recent meeting 3-0, while the previous clash ended 1-1.
- Both sides have struggled for goals this season, averaging just 0.60 (Padova) and 0.63 (Sudtirol) per game.
- Sudtirol average slightly more shots (11.78) than Padova (10.72) despite lower possession.
- Padova hold the edge in average possession at 46.94% compared to Sudtirol's 42.24%.
- Median stats suggest a tighter contest: Padova lead in shots (16.5 vs 13.5) and possession (52.5% vs 47.5%).
- Padova pick up more bookings on average (3.5 yellow cards) than Sudtirol (2).
- Prediction model gives a 45% chance of a draw and 45% for a Sudtirol win, with Padova at just 10%.
- Recommended bet is Double Chance: Draw or Sudtirol, priced at 1.60 with Betano.
- Poisson distribution leans toward Sudtirol (63%) over Padova (37%) for this fixture.
1/
1/
1
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Total
Per Match
7
Corners
19
48
Fouls
39
5
Offsides
6
36
Shots
58
10
Shots on Goal
17
9
Yellow Cards
8
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goals
4
4
Goals Conceded
3
1
Clean Sheets
1
Last matches for PAD 
Serie B 2026-2027
27 OCT, 2026
Padova
2
Sudtirol
0
W
Serie B 2026-2027
24 OCT, 2026
Padova
1
Avellino
0
W
Serie B 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Padova
1
Virtus Entella
2
L
Serie B 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Padova
0
Carrarese
2
L
Serie B 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Padova
1
Palermo
2
L
Serie B 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Padova
1
Ascoli
0
W
Serie B 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Padova
1
Cremonese
3
L
Serie B 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
Padova
1
Verona
1
D
Serie B 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Padova
1
Pisa
0
W
Coppa Italia 2026-2027
15 AUG, 2026
Padova
0
Udinese
1
L
Last matches for SUD
Serie B 2026-2027
27 OCT, 2026
Sudtirol
0
Padova
2
L
Serie B 2026-2027
24 OCT, 2026
Sudtirol
1
Sampdoria
1
D
Serie B 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Sudtirol
0
Juve Stabia
3
L
Serie B 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Sudtirol
0
Ascoli
0
D
Serie B 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Sudtirol
4
Arezzo
1
W
Coppa Italia 2026-2027
15 SEP, 2026
Sudtirol
0
Genoa
1
L
Serie B 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Sudtirol
1
Modena
1
D
Serie B 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Sudtirol
2
Catanzaro
0
W
Serie B 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Sudtirol
1
Benevento
1
D
Serie B 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Sudtirol
1
Virtus Entella
0
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
2.36
SBO
3.20
Betano
4.10
Pinnacle
102.03 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
SBO
2.36
2.93
2.73
88.39%
Dafabet
2.22
3.15
3.55
95.27%
Betano
2.20
3.20
3.55
95.35%
Pinnacle
2.14
3.10
4.10
96.73%
Bet365
2.10
3.00
3.60
91.97%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.20
Bet365
2.16
Pinnacle
4.60
1xBet
100.72 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
3.20
2.05
3.60
92.76%
SBO
2.87
1.99
3.34
86.93%
Betano
2.87
1.98
4.20
91.61%
Pinnacle
2.83
2.16
4.46
96.10%
1xBet
Bonus
2.76
1.94
4.60
91.31%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.75
Bet365
2.37
Betano
3.98
1xBet
96.45 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
2.75
2.30
3.25
90.41%
Betano
2.52
2.37
3.55
90.87%
William Hill
2.50
2.20
3.80
89.47%
1xBet
Bonus
2.40
2.35
3.98
91.45%
Marathonbet
2.38
2.35
3.88
90.63%
